Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Among Korea's local metaverse ETFs, the Big Three have significant AUMs. At yesterday's closing prices, their AUMs are ₩0.41T, ₩0.40T, and ₩0.20T, respectively. Their total is now 1 trillion won.</li>
<li>Those on which we can perform stable momentum trading are the 14 stocks included in all three ETFs. Passive funds account for +3% of MC in half of these names.</li>
<li>Weighting adjustment uses keyword relevance. So, estimation is not easy. Nevertheless, since the absolute value does not change significantly, we can reduce the error by using the previous rebalancing weighting.</li>
</ul>


Among Korea's local metaverse ETFs, the Big Three have significant AUMs. At yesterday's closing prices, their AUMs are ₩0.41T, ₩0.40T, and ₩0.20T, respectively. Their total is now 1 trillion won.
Those on which we can perform stable momentum trading are the 14 stocks included in all three ETFs. Passive funds account for +3% of MC in half of these names.
Weighting adjustment uses keyword relevance. So, estimation is not easy. Nevertheless, since the absolute value does not change significantly, we can reduce the error by using the previous rebalancing weighting.


Korea Local Metaverse ETFs: Passive Flow Preview

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide a list of 34 metaverse related stocks that are yet to be included in the metaverse ETFs in Korea. </li>
<li>These companies have recently announced that they will expand into the metaverse related businesses.</li>
<li>The next metaverse ETFs rebalance in Korea is in December and we highlight a list of 10 companies mentioned in this report could get included in these metaverse ETFs.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide a list of 34 metaverse related stocks that are yet to be included in the metaverse ETFs in Korea. 
These companies have recently announced that they will expand into the metaverse related businesses.
The next metaverse ETFs rebalance in Korea is in December and we highlight a list of 10 companies mentioned in this report could get included in these metaverse ETFs.


A List of Metaverse Related Stocks Which Could Be Included in the Next Metaverse ETFs Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The four major Korean metaverse ETFs' market caps surged by 934% from 76.2 billion won in 13 October to 788 billion won in 23 November.</li>
<li>Since 18 to 23 November, there has been a big sector rotation from the metaverse related stocks to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.</li>
<li>There will likely be high volatility among the metaverse related stocks with less than 1 trillion won in market cap in the upcoming metaverse ETFs rebalancing in December.</li>
</ul>


The four major Korean metaverse ETFs' market caps surged by 934% from 76.2 billion won in 13 October to 788 billion won in 23 November.
Since 18 to 23 November, there has been a big sector rotation from the metaverse related stocks to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
There will likely be high volatility among the metaverse related stocks with less than 1 trillion won in market cap in the upcoming metaverse ETFs rebalancing in December.


Korean Metaverse ETFs Rebalancing & A Sector Rotation into Semis?

<div class="content-highlight"><p>In the past few days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hybe-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28959:1" rel="noopener">HYBE (352820 KS)</a> announced an equity based partnership with Dunamu as well as the launch of the BTS NFT (non-fungible token). Dunamu will invest 700 billion won in HYBE through a third-party allocation and paid-in capital increase. HYBE will also invest 500 billion won in Dunamu through a third-party allocation and paid-in capital increase.</p></div><ul>
<li>HYBE will issue 2.3 million new shares (5.9% of current outstanding shares of 39 million) at a purchase price of 304,008 won in this transaction. HYBE currently has a stock price of 383,500 won so the purchase price is about 21% lower than the current price. </li>
<li>As a result of this transaction, HYBE will have a 2.48% stake in Dunamu, which would imply a value of 20.2 trillion won ($17.2 billion) for Dunamu. The date of this share acquisition completion will be on 24 November.</li>
</ul><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>Metaverse &amp; NFT - A Re-Rating Factor for HYBE? </strong>The metaverse and NFT have taken the world by storm in 2021. One could argue that the extremely strong demand for NFT and metaverse in 2021 have been one of the key reasons for the re-rating of HYBE this year. Certainly, HYBE faces the risk associated with its high dependence on the BTS. However, it has been able to partly diffuse this risk with the acquisition of Ithaca Holdings in April 2021. Now, with the extraordinary demand for NTF and metaverse related contents and services, HYBE is well positioned to capitalize these trends.</p></div>

In the past few days, HYBE (352820 KS) announced an equity based partnership with Dunamu as well as the launch of the BTS NFT (non-fungible token). Dunamu will invest 700 billion won in HYBE through a third-party allocation and paid-in capital increase. HYBE will also invest 500 billion won in Dunamu through a third-party allocation and paid-in capital increase.
HYBE will issue 2.3 million new shares (5.9% of current outstanding shares of 39 million) at a purchase price of 304,008 won in this transaction. HYBE currently has a stock price of 383,500 won so the purchase price is about 21% lower than the current price. 
As a result of this transaction, HYBE will have a 2.48% stake in Dunamu, which would imply a value of 20.2 trillion won ($17.2 billion) for Dunamu. The date of this share acquisition completion will be on 24 November.
Metaverse &amp; NFT - A Re-Rating Factor for HYBE? The metaverse and NFT have taken the world by storm in 2021. One could argue that the extremely strong demand for NFT and metaverse in 2021 have been one of the key reasons for the re-rating of HYBE this year. Certainly, HYBE faces the risk associated with its high dependence on the BTS. However, it has been able to partly diffuse this risk with the acquisition of Ithaca Holdings in April 2021. Now, with the extraordinary demand for NTF and metaverse related contents and services, HYBE is well positioned to capitalize these trends.

A Equity-Based Partnership Between HYBE and Dunamu & The Upcoming Launch of BTS NFT

<h2>Block deals regulatory filing summary</h2><p>It turned out that Netmarble's next target was the remaining 0.34% of its unlocked Kakao Bank shares. The company put out a regulatory filing after the market closed yesterday.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/226/139/original/Screen+Shot+2021-08-25+at+6.09.44+PM.png?1629929669" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="226139"></figure></section><p><strong>Netmarble revealed that it had sold 1</strong><strong>,619,591 shares through block deals during the pre-market trading on August 25 for ₩133.1B, suggesting a deal price per share of ₩82,200.</strong> This represents a 3.75% discount to the close price on August 24 and an 8.46% discount to the close price on August 23.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Block deal details"}'>Block deal details</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shares sold"}'>Number of shares sold</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1619591}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>1,619,591</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total deal value"}'>Total deal value</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":133.1303802}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩133.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Deal price per share"}'><strong>Deal price per share</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":82199.99999999999}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*1000000000/R[-2]C[0]"><strong>₩82,200</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Bank on August 24"}'><strong> - Discount to the price on August 24</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.03747072599531633}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C[1]-R4C2)/R[0]C[1]"><strong>3.75%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Bank on August 23"}'><strong> - Discount to the price on August 23</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.08463251670378635}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C[1]-R4C2)/R[0]C[1]"><strong>8.46%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Bank on August 20"}'> - Discount to the price on August 20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09670329670329686}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[0]C[1]-R4C2)/R[0]C[1]">9.67%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX KIND"}'>Source: KRX KIND</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The following is the number of Kakao Bank stock purchases by investor type on August 25. Netmarble's counterparties can be seen as foreign institutional investors in that there is only "Foreign" other than local retail that has purchased more than 1.6M on this day. Of course, this is by no means unusual.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/226/142/original/Screen+Shot+2021-08-25+at+6.30.30+PM.png?1629930722" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="226142"></figure></section>

Block deals regulatory filing summaryIt turned out that Netmarble's next target was the remaining 0.34% of its unlocked Kakao Bank shares. The company put out a regulatory filing after the market closed yesterday.Netmarble revealed that it had sold 1,619,591 shares through block deals during the pre-market trading on August 25 for ₩133.1B, suggesting a deal price per share of ₩82,200. This represents a 3.75% discount to the close price on August 24 and an 8.46% discount to the close price on August 23.





Block deal details

Number of shares sold
1,619,591


Total deal value
₩133.1B


Deal price per share
₩82,200


 - Discount to the price on August 24
3.75%


 - Discount to the price on August 23
8.46%


 - Discount to the price on August 20
9.67%

Source: KRX KIND

The following is the number of Kakao Bank stock purchases by investor type on August 25. Netmarble's counterparties can be seen as foreign institutional investors in that there is only "Foreign" other than local retail that has purchased more than 1.6M on this day. Of course, this is by no means unusual.

Netmarble Again Sold Kakao Bank: Real-World Float Change & Additional Stake Sale Possibility

South Korea

HYBE Co., Ltd. operates as an entertainment company. The Company provides music production, album distribution, entertainers management, publicity, planning, training, and other services. HYBE also makes television shows.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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HYBE (352820 KS)

Korea Local Metaverse ETFs: Passive Flow Preview

This post tracks and previews the passive flows of Korea's three metaverse sector ETFs for the upcoming semi-annual rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

Korean Metaverse ETFs Rebalancing & A Sector Rotation into Semis?

Despite the tremendous surge in the Korean metaverse ETFs in the past five weeks, the metaverse ETFs have been underperforming relative to Samsung...

Douglas Kim

A Equity-Based Partnership Between HYBE and Dunamu & The Upcoming Launch of BTS NFT

In the past few days, HYBE announced an equity based partnership with Dunamu as well as the launch of the BTS NFT (non-fungible token).

Douglas Kim

Netmarble Again Sold Kakao Bank: Real-World Float Change & Additional Stake Sale Possibility

This post details Netmarble's block deals involving its remaining unlocked shares of Kakao Bank. The post examines Kakao Bank's real-world float...

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korea Local Metaverse ETFs: Passive Flow Preview

This post tracks and previews the passive flows of Korea's three metaverse sector ETFs for the upcoming semi-annual rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

A List of Metaverse Related Stocks Which Could Be Included in the Next Metaverse ETFs Rebalance

In this insight, we provide 34 metaverse related stocks that are yet to be included in the metaverse ETFs in Korea and 10 stocks which could get...

Douglas Kim

Korean Metaverse ETFs Rebalancing & A Sector Rotation into Semis?

Despite the tremendous surge in the Korean metaverse ETFs in the past five weeks, the metaverse ETFs have been underperforming relative to Samsung...

Douglas Kim

A Equity-Based Partnership Between HYBE and Dunamu & The Upcoming Launch of BTS NFT

In the past few days, HYBE announced an equity based partnership with Dunamu as well as the launch of the BTS NFT (non-fungible token).

Douglas Kim

Netmarble Again Sold Kakao Bank: Real-World Float Change & Additional Stake Sale Possibility

This post details Netmarble's block deals involving its remaining unlocked shares of Kakao Bank. The post examines Kakao Bank's real-world float...

Sanghyun Park