Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

<ul>
<li>Local indices in China including the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> will rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>There are many changes for the indices and there are stocks that are adds and/or deletes from multiple indices which results in cumulative or offsetting flows.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover at the close tomorrow in China will be around US$7.5bn with big impact on a lot of stocks.</li>
</ul>


Local indices in China including the CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, STAR50 Index and SSE50 Index will rebalance at the close tomorrow.
There are many changes for the indices and there are stocks that are adds and/or deletes from multiple indices which results in cumulative or offsetting flows.
We estimate turnover at the close tomorrow in China will be around US$7.5bn with big impact on a lot of stocks.


China: Consolidated Flows at the Close Tomorrow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co., / Event-Driven

Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co., (300124 CH)

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>Kweichow Moutai and Contemporary Amperex continue in the top 5 of gross flows but BYD and Chongking Changan Auto are now in the top 5 of nets <em>and</em> gross.</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND were net buyers of RMB 1.61bn. BYD, Wuxi Apptec, and Chongking Changan Auto were joined by Shenzhen Inovance and Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Rail in the top five.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
Kweichow Moutai and Contemporary Amperex continue in the top 5 of gross flows but BYD and Chongking Changan Auto are now in the top 5 of nets and gross.
Last week, NORTHBOUND were net buyers of RMB 1.61bn. BYD, Wuxi Apptec, and Chongking Changan Auto were joined by Shenzhen Inovance and Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Rail in the top five.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Dec 23): Back to Net Buying Led by Autos, SZ Inovance, HSR

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples (inflows of $818 million) led the inflows. Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows), Materials ($1,131 million worth of outflows) led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Mindray, China Yangtze Power, Shenzhen Inovance Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples (inflows of $818 million) led the inflows. Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows), Materials ($1,131 million worth of outflows) led the outflows.
We highlight inflows into Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Mindray, China Yangtze Power, Shenzhen Inovance Technology.


Northbound Flows (November): Inflows (Consumer Staples, Healthcare) Offset by Outflows (Financials)

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$359.9 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, BYD, CMB, Wuliangye, Midea, CATL.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$359.9 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, materials.
We highlight flows for Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, BYD, CMB, Wuliangye, Midea, CATL.


Northbound Flows (Dec 1st): Hygon Information, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, BYD

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The announcement of the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber Technologies (UBER US)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a> was a big one last week. There were announcements for some other indices too.</li>
<li>There are many indices in China that will be rebalanced at the close on Friday, the biggest being the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KWEB US</a>.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet in ETF world with net inflows to China focused ETFs and net outflows for Japan.</li>
</ul>


The announcement of the inclusion of Uber Technologies (UBER US) in the S&amp;P 500 INDEX was a big one last week. There were announcements for some other indices too.
There are many indices in China that will be rebalanced at the close on Friday, the biggest being the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and KWEB US.
Relatively quiet in ETF world with net inflows to China focused ETFs and net outflows for Japan.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KWEB, CSI300/500, STAR50, SSE50, ChiNext, SET50, Chips, Denso, SPX

China

Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes computer components. The Company produces high end processors, deep computing processors, accelerators, calculator chips, and other related products. Hygon Information Technology markets its products worldwide.

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Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

China: Consolidated Flows at the Close Tomorrow

Local indices in China rebalance tomorrow and we estimate passives will need to trade around CNY 54bn (US$7.5bn). There will be big impact on some...

Brian Freitas

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Dec 23): Back to Net Buying Led by Autos, SZ Inovance, HSR

Quiddity NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect Monitor: Net buying resumes. EVs see rebound flows on BYD. Shenzhen Innovance and Beijing Shanghai HSR are two...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (November): Inflows (Consumer Staples, Healthcare) Offset by Outflows (Financials)

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Dec 1st): Hygon Information, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, BYD

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KWEB, CSI300/500, STAR50, SSE50, ChiNext, SET50, Chips, Denso, SPX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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