Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>DGB Financial Group's market cap makes it virtually impossible to get deleted even with Kakao Pay's GICS change in this June rebalancing.</li>
<li>It's unclear whether this has damaged the price impact of K200 inclusion. Nevertheless, the intensity of the pre-rebalancing flow wasn't aggressive, possibly due to the combination of factors, including this.</li>
<li>This suggests the possibility of an intense price impact resulting from a more concentrated flow right before the effective date, so we should prepare a setup that considers this.</li>
</ul>


DGB Financial Group's market cap makes it virtually impossible to get deleted even with Kakao Pay's GICS change in this June rebalancing.
It's unclear whether this has damaged the price impact of K200 inclusion. Nevertheless, the intensity of the pre-rebalancing flow wasn't aggressive, possibly due to the combination of factors, including this.
This suggests the possibility of an intense price impact resulting from a more concentrated flow right before the effective date, so we should prepare a setup that considers this.


Clarifying Market's Inaccurate Constituent Change Forecast in K200 Rebalancing with GICS Revision

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>The Korea Exchange announced special changes in KOSPI 200 index.</li>
<li>Effective 3 April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities (008560 KS)</a> will be excluded from the KOSPI 200 index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dgb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6138:1" rel="noopener">DGB Financial Group (139130 KS)</a> will replace it. </li>
<li>We think that there could be slightly better capital flow into DGB Financial as compared to other regional/smaller banks in Korea including BNK Financial</li>
</ul>


The Korea Exchange announced special changes in KOSPI 200 index.
Effective 3 April, Meritz Securities (008560 KS) will be excluded from the KOSPI 200 index and DGB Financial Group (139130 KS) will replace it. 
We think that there could be slightly better capital flow into DGB Financial as compared to other regional/smaller banks in Korea including BNK Financial


KOSPI 200: Special Changes & Rising Delinquency Ratios of Banks in Korea

<ul>
<li>Amorepacific Group is more likely to remain in LargeCap due to its share price surge earlier this year. Instead, Hyundai Autoever will likely face a large→mid migration.</li>
<li>Of Small→Mid migrants. Sebang and Kum Yang deserve attention, as they will rank high in the Mid due to the rapid market cap growth over the past six months.</li>
<li>YTD performance seems to have a higher correlation with individual sector performance than causality with this event. So, there is still a circumstantial probability that justifies the trade.</li>
</ul>


Amorepacific Group is more likely to remain in LargeCap due to its share price surge earlier this year. Instead, Hyundai Autoever will likely face a large→mid migration.
Of Small→Mid migrants. Sebang and Kum Yang deserve attention, as they will rank high in the Mid due to the rapid market cap growth over the past six months.
YTD performance seems to have a higher correlation with individual sector performance than causality with this event. So, there is still a circumstantial probability that justifies the trade.


KOSPI Size Index Migration: Names to Trade as We Are 30D Towards Effective

<ul>
<li>NPS said it would add 50 KOSPI stocks to KOSPI 200 for direct management. However, the key was when this would be implemented and which ones would be included.</li>
<li>SBS, one of Korea's major networks, exclusively reported that NPS finalized the constituent stocks of the NPS-KR250 and started rebalancing trading on the 50 additional KOSPI stocks from January.</li>
<li>Hence, tracing and identifying who these additional 50 KOSPI stocks are is becoming the hottest topic in Korea's local market at this point.</li>
</ul>


NPS said it would add 50 KOSPI stocks to KOSPI 200 for direct management. However, the key was when this would be implemented and which ones would be included.
SBS, one of Korea's major networks, exclusively reported that NPS finalized the constituent stocks of the NPS-KR250 and started rebalancing trading on the 50 additional KOSPI stocks from January.
Hence, tracing and identifying who these additional 50 KOSPI stocks are is becoming the hottest topic in Korea's local market at this point.


Korea NPS Reportedly Finalized Additional 50 KOSPI Stocks in Its BM for Direct Management

<ul>
<li>Hankyung's report is a clear misunderstanding under the current index methodology. The possibility of Samchully and Daesung Holdings' KOSPI 200 inclusion is NONE.</li>
<li>However, the issue of deteriorating the market representation of the K200 index, which is caused by the top stocks outside the index, is gaining attention in the local financial space.</li>
<li>So, we should prepare for the possibility that KRX will revise the methodology. In this case, an intense preemptive flow for the top names outside the KOSPI 200 can appear.</li>
</ul>


Hankyung's report is a clear misunderstanding under the current index methodology. The possibility of Samchully and Daesung Holdings' KOSPI 200 inclusion is NONE.
However, the issue of deteriorating the market representation of the K200 index, which is caused by the top stocks outside the index, is gaining attention in the local financial space.
So, we should prepare for the possibility that KRX will revise the methodology. In this case, an intense preemptive flow for the top names outside the KOSPI 200 can appear.


Misunderstandings & Truth About Samchully & Daesung Holdings Entering KOSPI 200

South Korea

Hyundai Autoever Corp. provides information technology services. The Company offers system integration, system management, information system development, and other services. Hyundai Autoever offers services worldwide.

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Hyundai Autoever (307950 KS)

Clarifying Market's Inaccurate Constituent Change Forecast in K200 Rebalancing with GICS Revision

This post clarifies the market's inaccurate constituent change forecast on the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalancing in June with the GICS revision,...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200: Special Changes & Rising Delinquency Ratios of Banks in Korea

Korea Exchange announced special changes in KOSPI 200. Effective 3 April, Meritz Securities will be excluded from the KOSPI 200 index and DGB...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Index Migration: Names to Trade as We Are 30D Towards Effective

This post examines the names to trade for the KOSPI Size Index migration event, as we are 30 days toward the effective date.

Sanghyun Park

Korea NPS Reportedly Finalized Additional 50 KOSPI Stocks in Its BM for Direct Management

This post investigates the 50 additional KOSPI stocks that Korea NPS has reportedly chosen for its benchmark index for direct management, called...

Sanghyun Park

Misunderstandings & Truth About Samchully & Daesung Holdings Entering KOSPI 200

This post explains why Hankyung's report about Samchully and Daesung Holdings entering K200 is a misunderstanding. Still, it can lead to revising...

Sanghyun Park

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