Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The real driver of ITCEN Global's sales, profits, and value is the Digital Asset and Web3 vertical, run partly through strategic holdings such as the Korea Gold Exchange. </li>
<li>If we annualize the company's net profit in 1Q 2026, that would suggest annualized net profit of 291 billion won. </li>
<li>If we attach a 10x P/E on annualized net profit of 291 billion won, this would suggest market cap of 2.9 trillion won (136% higher than its current market cap).</li>
</ul>


The real driver of ITCEN Global's sales, profits, and value is the Digital Asset and Web3 vertical, run partly through strategic holdings such as the Korea Gold Exchange. 
If we annualize the company's net profit in 1Q 2026, that would suggest annualized net profit of 291 billion won. 
If we attach a 10x P/E on annualized net profit of 291 billion won, this would suggest market cap of 2.9 trillion won (136% higher than its current market cap).


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>IT trio got in as 1st/2nd screens didn’t fill 200; KRX used 3rd‑stage, pulling in the three names with biggest average daily mkt cap.</li>
<li>Old buffer rule recycled constituents, but since two years ago Step 3 applies to the whole universe—first shortfall let big IT names like Hyundai Autoever slide in.</li>
<li>Dec 12 rebalance: ~₩60tn passive flow expected; IT trio volumes high, but joining KOSPI 200 IT index could still trigger noticeable price impact near effective date.</li>
</ul>


IT trio got in as 1st/2nd screens didn’t fill 200; KRX used 3rd‑stage, pulling in the three names with biggest average daily mkt cap.
Old buffer rule recycled constituents, but since two years ago Step 3 applies to the whole universe—first shortfall let big IT names like Hyundai Autoever slide in.
Dec 12 rebalance: ~₩60tn passive flow expected; IT trio volumes high, but joining KOSPI 200 IT index could still trigger noticeable price impact near effective date.


KRX Just Dropped the KOSPI 200 Dec Rebalance: Bigger IT Sector Surprise

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>There may not be any intra-review changes following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-heavy-industries-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy Industries</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-mipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2755:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mipo</a> merger due to timing and also due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics</a>' spinoff being added to the index.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> over the last few months and in the short-term too.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.
There may not be any intra-review changes following the Hyundai Heavy Industries/ Hyundai Mipo merger due to timing and also due to Samsung Biologics' spinoff being added to the index.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and the KOSPI2 INDEX over the last few months and in the short-term too.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for December

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.</li>
<li>Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.</li>
<li>As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
</ul>


We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.
Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.
As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).


Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The biggest takeaway from President Yoon's address to the nation today was his focus on election integrity and election fraud. </li>
<li>He was basically implying that the biggest reason for declaring a martial law was due to severe concerns about security breach issues at the National Election Commission.</li>
<li>One of the clear beneficiaries of President Yoon's speech today will be the cybersecurity sector.</li>
</ul>


The biggest takeaway from President Yoon's address to the nation today was his focus on election integrity and election fraud. 
He was basically implying that the biggest reason for declaring a martial law was due to severe concerns about security breach issues at the National Election Commission.
One of the clear beneficiaries of President Yoon's speech today will be the cybersecurity sector.


South Korean President Yoon's Address to the Nation: Focus on Election Integrity and Election Fraud

South Korea

Hyundai Autoever Corp. provides information technology services. The Company offers system integration, system management, information system development, and other services. Hyundai Autoever offers services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hyundai Autoever (307950 KS)

Korea Small Cap Gem #61: ITCEN Global

The real driver of ITCEN Global's sales, profits, and value is the Digital Asset and Web3 vertical, run partly through strategic holdings such as...

Douglas Kim

KRX Just Dropped the KOSPI 200 Dec Rebalance: Bigger IT Sector Surprise

KRX’s Dec KOSPI 200 rebalance dropped today with a big surprise — unexpected IT names sliding in, reshaping flows and setting up notable price...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for December

If the merger offsets the spinoff, there could be 7 index changes in Dec. Passive impact on the stock varies between 0.7-21x ADV. Adds have...

Brian Freitas

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding on $ACWI ($123-123.50), $EEM ($46)

Vermilion Research

South Korean President Yoon's Address to the Nation: Focus on Election Integrity and Election Fraud

The biggest takeaway from President Yoon's address to the nation today was his focus on election integrity and election fraud.

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)