Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sanil Electric reported excellent IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 35,000 won, which is 16.7% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The demand ratio from 2,205 institutional investors was 414 to 1. Sanil Electric (062040 KS) IPO will start trading on 29 July 2024. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Sanil Electric is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 58,593 won (67% higher than the IPO price of 35,000 won).</li>
</ul>


Sanil Electric reported excellent IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 35,000 won, which is 16.7% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
The demand ratio from 2,205 institutional investors was 414 to 1. Sanil Electric (062040 KS) IPO will start trading on 29 July 2024. 
Our base case valuation of Sanil Electric is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 58,593 won (67% higher than the IPO price of 35,000 won).


Sanil Electric IPO Book Building Results Analysis

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. </li>
<li>In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.</li>
<li>NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). </li>
</ul>


On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. 
In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.
NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). 


What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150440" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150558" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a>.
</li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Sanil is fully valued in the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Caseand Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case.

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Sanil is fully valued in the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150440" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.
In Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD564.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD33mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jun 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD564.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD33mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 28th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion

South Korea

Hyundai Electric & Energy Systems (HE&E), which makes various electric equipment including transformers, switchgear, motors, low & medium voltage circuit breakers, power electronics, and power electronics & control systems.

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Hyundai Electric & Energy (267260 KS)

Sanil Electric IPO Book Building Results Analysis

Sanil Electric reported excellent IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 35,000 won, which is 16.7% higher than the high...

Douglas Kim

What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies...

Douglas Kim

Sanil Electric IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Sanil is fully valued in the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.

Arun George

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 28th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI, Celltrion

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Samsung SDI,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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