Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

Hyundai Engineering & Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

Hyundai Engineering & Construction (000720 KS)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the details of the 10 most recent companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans (April and March 2025).</li>
<li>These 10 companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans are down on average 1.3% versus KOSPI which is down 2% in the same period.</li>
<li>Three companies that have outperformed KOSPI (since their Corporate Value Up report announcement) include Hanmi Semiconductor, Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction, and Samyang Foods. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the details of the 10 most recent companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans (April and March 2025).
These 10 companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans are down on average 1.3% versus KOSPI which is down 2% in the same period.
Three companies that have outperformed KOSPI (since their Corporate Value Up report announcement) include Hanmi Semiconductor, Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction, and Samyang Foods. 


Korea Value Up (3 Winners and 7 Losers Among KOSPI 200 Companies) In March and April 2025

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between DL Holdings Co (000210 KS) (go long) and DL E&amp;C (375500 KS) (go short).</li>
<li>In the past three months, DL Holdings' share price is down 9.9% versus DL E&amp;C which is up 21%. We believe this gap has become too excessive.</li>
<li>The shares sold short volume/total traded volume ratio is more than double for DL E&amp;C versus DL Holdings from 31 March to 9 April. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between DL Holdings Co (000210 KS) (go long) and DL E&amp;C (375500 KS) (go short).
In the past three months, DL Holdings' share price is down 9.9% versus DL E&amp;C which is up 21%. We believe this gap has become too excessive.
The shares sold short volume/total traded volume ratio is more than double for DL E&amp;C versus DL Holdings from 31 March to 9 April. 


A Pair Trade Between DL Holdings and DL E&C

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Based on prices and turnover from 22 January, there could be one deletion from the index in January. Plus there will be capping and float changes.</li>
<li>There are four stocks that meet the inclusion criteria, but all are non-pure play companies, and the index is already at the limit of 15 non-pure play companies.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$506m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


Based on prices and turnover from 22 January, there could be one deletion from the index in January. Plus there will be capping and float changes.
There are four stocks that meet the inclusion criteria, but all are non-pure play companies, and the index is already at the limit of 15 non-pure play companies.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$506m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.


Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Next Week

<ul>
<li>Although it is UNCERTAIN when the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East will end, if these wars indeed come to an end, this could POSITIVELY IMPACT Korean construction sector.</li>
<li>The end of the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East is likely to NEGATIVELY IMPACT the Korean military/defense sector. </li>
<li>The major Korean construction companies have low valuation multiples. On the other hand, the major Korean military/defense companies have high valuation multiples.</li>
</ul>


Although it is UNCERTAIN when the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East will end, if these wars indeed come to an end, this could POSITIVELY IMPACT Korean construction sector.
The end of the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East is likely to NEGATIVELY IMPACT the Korean military/defense sector. 
The major Korean construction companies have low valuation multiples. On the other hand, the major Korean military/defense companies have high valuation multiples.


Trump Trade: Korean Construction Vs Military Stocks Amid Potential End of War in Ukraine?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.</li>
<li>There could be buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem</a>, while there could be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:992:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Pharm</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4292:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-steel-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:963:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmoam-t-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10360:1" rel="noopener">CosmoAM&amp;T</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F</a>.</li>
<li>Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 3x-14.5x of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.
There could be buying in Hyundai Rotem, while there could be selling in KT Corp, Celltrion Pharm, Kum Yang, Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction, Hyundai Steel, CosmoAM&amp;T and L&amp;F.
Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 3x-14.5x of ADV to trade.


Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

South Korea

Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd., a general construction company, provides civil engineering, architectural, industrial, and electrical engineering services.  The Company constructs roadways, dams, bridges, ports, industrial plants, apartment complexes, and cultural facilities.

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Hyundai Engineering & Construction (000720 KS)

Korea Value Up (3 Winners and 7 Losers Among KOSPI 200 Companies) In March and April 2025

In this insight, we provide the details of the 10 most recent companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans (April and...

Douglas Kim

A Pair Trade Between DL Holdings and DL E&C

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between DL Holdings Co (000210 KS) (go long) and DL E&C (375500 KS) (go short).

Douglas Kim

Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Next Week

There could be 1 delete in Jan. There are unlikely to be any adds; one name is close. Estimated 1-way turnover is 6.8% resulting in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

Trump Trade: Korean Construction Vs Military Stocks Amid Potential End of War in Ukraine?

Although it is UNCERTAIN when the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East will end, if these wars indeed come to an end, this could POSITIVELY IMPACT...

Douglas Kim

Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

There could be 1 add and up to 7 deletes from global passive portfolios in Nov. Trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the...

Brian Freitas

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