Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>According to Invest Chosun, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon (7751 JP)</a>'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh (7752 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.

Canon (7751 JP)'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs Ricoh (7752 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Last week, Hyundai Dept Store Group announced that it will establish a single holding company structure with Hyundai G.F. Holdings controlling all of the group affiliates.</li>
<li>Hyundai G.F. Holdings plans to make an in-kind investment in Hyundai Department Store (HDS) to make Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Department Store as subsidiaries.</li>
<li>This in-kind investment in HDS and Hyundai Green Food by Hyundai G.F. Holdings is not a deal that adds clear-cut value to Hyundai G.F. Holdings' shareholders. </li>
</ul>


Last week, Hyundai Dept Store Group announced that it will establish a single holding company structure with Hyundai G.F. Holdings controlling all of the group affiliates.
Hyundai G.F. Holdings plans to make an in-kind investment in Hyundai Department Store (HDS) to make Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Department Store as subsidiaries.
This in-kind investment in HDS and Hyundai Green Food by Hyundai G.F. Holdings is not a deal that adds clear-cut value to Hyundai G.F. Holdings' shareholders. 


Hyundai G.F. Holdings: A Holdco Creation With In-Kind Investment in HDS & Hyundai Green Food

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Hyundai G.F. Holdings will conduct a tender offer to Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Dept Store shareholders. The tendering period is August 11-September 1.</li>
<li>The target volume is 10,125,700 (Hyundai Green Food) and 4,669,556 (Hyundai Dept Store), corresponding to 29.89% and 19.95% of the outstanding shares, respectively.</li>
<li>We should approach this event trading with caution, taking into account the risk of an unhedged setup while monitoring the potential widening of the spread opening during the tendering period.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai G.F. Holdings will conduct a tender offer to Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Dept Store shareholders. The tendering period is August 11-September 1.
The target volume is 10,125,700 (Hyundai Green Food) and 4,669,556 (Hyundai Dept Store), corresponding to 29.89% and 19.95% of the outstanding shares, respectively.
We should approach this event trading with caution, taking into account the risk of an unhedged setup while monitoring the potential widening of the spread opening during the tendering period.


Hyundai G.F. Holdings' Stock Swap with Hyundai Green Food & Hyundai Dept Store

South Korea

Hyundai Green Food operates as a food services company. The Company provides food and food material distribution and other related services. Hyundai Green Food markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Hyundai Green Food (453340 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hyundai G.F. Holdings: A Holdco Creation With In-Kind Investment in HDS & Hyundai Green Food

This in-kind investment in Hyundai Dept Store (HDS) and Hyundai Green Food by Hyundai G.F. Holdings is not a deal that adds clear-cut value to...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai G.F. Holdings' Stock Swap with Hyundai Green Food & Hyundai Dept Store

This post details Hyundai G.F. Holdings' two-way stock swap event with Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Dept Store and assesses potential arbitrage...

Sanghyun Park

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