Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The memory giants, Samsung and SK Hynix, have driven the Korean collapse, as AI anxiety and competition concern takes hold. However, there's more to Korea than memory and AI capex.</li>
<li>Throughout last month's carnage, Korean earnings estimates continued to be upgraded - not only in tech but also in financials, retail, basic materials, energy and industrial services.</li>
<li>Based on strong growth, attractive valuations, healthy balance-sheets, robust earnings upgrades, we highlight 15 non-tech Korean companies. Companies from industrials, select household products, basic materials have the strongest growth forecasts.</li>
</ul>


The memory giants, Samsung and SK Hynix, have driven the Korean collapse, as AI anxiety and competition concern takes hold. However, there's more to Korea than memory and AI capex.
Throughout last month's carnage, Korean earnings estimates continued to be upgraded - not only in tech but also in financials, retail, basic materials, energy and industrial services.
Based on strong growth, attractive valuations, healthy balance-sheets, robust earnings upgrades, we highlight 15 non-tech Korean companies. Companies from industrials, select household products, basic materials have the strongest growth forecasts.


Asian Equities: Korea - If Not Memory, Then What?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.</li>
<li>The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.</li>
<li>According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 10 November, it was announced that Ki-Sun Chung was promoted to Vice Chairman which could signal more positive news flow on HD Hyundai in the coming months.
The consensus expects DPS of 4,200 won for HD Hyundai in 2023, which suggests a dividend yield of 7.1%. HD Hyundai has one of the highest dividend yields in KOSPI200.
According to our NAV analysis, it suggests a base case valuation of 71,970 won per share for HD Hyundai, representing a 22% upside from current levels.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the April-June quarter earnings season winds down, positive surprises outnumber disappointments. Consensus earnings estimates keep getting upgraded in Asia and the US. Asian EPS upgrade has lately outpaced US's.</li>
<li>Over the last month, consensus 2026 EPS estimate of Asia-ex-Japan has been upgraded 4.4%, driven by Korea (12.8%), Taiwan (5.8%), Thailand (5.5%). 105 of 162 market-sectors have seen EPS upgrades.</li>
<li>The encouraging signs are: breadth across a wide range of sectors and not driven by AI capex only. Sectors not directly linked to AI exuberance are among top earnings gainers.</li>
</ul>


As the April-June quarter earnings season winds down, positive surprises outnumber disappointments. Consensus earnings estimates keep getting upgraded in Asia and the US. Asian EPS upgrade has lately outpaced US's.
Over the last month, consensus 2026 EPS estimate of Asia-ex-Japan has been upgraded 4.4%, driven by Korea (12.8%), Taiwan (5.8%), Thailand (5.5%). 105 of 162 market-sectors have seen EPS upgrades.
The encouraging signs are: breadth across a wide range of sectors and not driven by AI capex only. Sectors not directly linked to AI exuberance are among top earnings gainers.


Asian Equities: A Stupendous Earnings Quarter; Asia Matching US in Upgrades

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated short interest was USD19.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated short interest was USD19.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated holding was USD1,724.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD6,402mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial, SamsungElecMech, Doosan Enerbility.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated holding was USD1,724.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD6,402mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial, SamsungElecMech, Doosan Enerbility.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial

South Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding company. The Company provides naval shipbuilding, industrial shipbuilding, crude oil tanker, bulk carrier, container carrier, and other related services. HD Hyundai Heavy Industries also offers offshore and engineering, engine and machinery, offshore, industrial, and marine plant services.

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)

Asian Equities: Korea - If Not Memory, Then What?

KR memory giants have driven equity crash, but many non-tech firms show strong growth, cheap valuation, healthy balance sheets & EPS upgrades. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: A Stupendous Earnings Quarter; Asia Matching US in Upgrades

Positive earnings surprises continue as consensus EPS est are upgraded in Asia & the US, with Asian EPS upgrades surpassing those in US. Various...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Korea - If Not Memory, Then What?

​KR memory giants have driven equity crash, but many non-tech firms show strong growth, cheap valuation, healthy balance sheets & EPS upgrades. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Dividend Gems: HD Hyundai

FTC decided to conditionally approve the acquisition of STX Heavy Industries by HD Korea Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. With this business...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: A Stupendous Earnings Quarter; Asia Matching US in Upgrades

​Positive earnings surprises continue as consensus EPS est are upgraded in Asia & the US, with Asian EPS upgrades surpassing those in US. Various...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Woori Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KR memory giants have driven equity crash, but many non-tech firms show strong growth, cheap valuation, healthy balance sheets & EPS upgrades. We...

Positive earnings surprises continue as consensus EPS est are upgraded in Asia & the US, with Asian EPS upgrades surpassing those in US. Various...