Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The management ownership stake of Hyundai Hyms is up for sale. J&amp;P Private Equity firm which owns 52.88% stake in Hyundai Hyms has sent out teaser letters to potential buyers. </li>
<li>Including a management premium ranging from 30% to 50%, the potential acquisition price (including management premium) could be worth about 481 billion won to 555 billion won.</li>
<li>Since the second largest shareholder, HD Korea Shipbuilding &amp; Offshore Engineering (HD KSOE) (20.89% stake), has the right of first negotiation, the selling side must first negotiate with HD KSOE.</li>
</ul>


The management ownership stake of Hyundai Hyms is up for sale. J&amp;P Private Equity firm which owns 52.88% stake in Hyundai Hyms has sent out teaser letters to potential buyers. 
Including a management premium ranging from 30% to 50%, the potential acquisition price (including management premium) could be worth about 481 billion won to 555 billion won.
Since the second largest shareholder, HD Korea Shipbuilding &amp; Offshore Engineering (HD KSOE) (20.89% stake), has the right of first negotiation, the selling side must first negotiate with HD KSOE.


M&A of Hyundai Hyms - Who Will Buy Controlling Stake?

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Sejin Heavy Industries Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HHI–Mipo merger overlaps Dec review: Mipo dropped Nov 26, desk holds cash, rebal Dec 12, new HHI shares list Dec 15 but capped at 10%.</li>
<li>No ad-hoc replacement for Mipo Nov 26; Dec review will add a new name, likely Sejin Heavy (075580 KS), with no other significant flows flagged.</li>
<li>Sejin Heavy’s recent post-rally volume cools; passive inflow ~1.5x DTV may trigger visible price action, with potential front-running 1–2 days ahead of Dec 12 ETF rebal.</li>
</ul>


HHI–Mipo merger overlaps Dec review: Mipo dropped Nov 26, desk holds cash, rebal Dec 12, new HHI shares list Dec 15 but capped at 10%.
No ad-hoc replacement for Mipo Nov 26; Dec review will add a new name, likely Sejin Heavy (075580 KS), with no other significant flows flagged.
Sejin Heavy’s recent post-rally volume cools; passive inflow ~1.5x DTV may trigger visible price action, with potential front-running 1–2 days ahead of Dec 12 ETF rebal.


Another Passive Flow Trading Target Identified: Sejin Heavy in the Dec Shipbuilding ETF Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD743.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD96mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), NAVER, HANWHA AEROSPACE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD743.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD96mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), NAVER, HANWHA AEROSPACE.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), NAVER

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> is elevated vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> as the accretion trade unfolds.</li>
<li>As rates go up, investors may opt for direct exposure to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, as opposed to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> indirectly, contributing to short squeezing JPB.</li>
<li>Expect near-term weakness in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>, IF the exclusivity with Blackrock/MSC ends this weekend without resolution.</li>
</ul>



Prosus NV (PRX NA) is elevated vs. Tencent (700 HK) as the accretion trade unfolds.
As rates go up, investors may opt for direct exposure to Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), as opposed to Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) indirectly, contributing to short squeezing JPB.
Expect near-term weakness in CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK), IF the exclusivity with Blackrock/MSC ends this weekend without resolution.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Prosus/Tencent, Japan Post Bank, CK Holdings, Seven & I

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the June rebalance complete, we highlight 11 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.2-7.5 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.2-5.8 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6-7 months with a big move higher in the last month. Trim positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the June rebalance complete, we highlight 11 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.2-7.5 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.2-5.8 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6-7 months with a big move higher in the last month. Trim positions into strength.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Around the Corner

South Korea

Hyundai Hyms Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes shipbuilding components. The Company produces fore blocks, aft blocks, ship pipes and steel outfittings, steel pretreatment, section cutting and built up, and other related products. Hyundai Hyms also produces gas generators.

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Hyundai Hyms (460930 KS)

M&A of Hyundai Hyms - Who Will Buy Controlling Stake?

The management ownership stake of Hyundai Hyms is up for sale. J&P Private Equity firm which owns 52.88% stake in Hyundai Hyms has sent out teaser...

Douglas Kim

Another Passive Flow Trading Target Identified: Sejin Heavy in the Dec Shipbuilding ETF Rebal

HD Hyundai Mipo is out of SOL Shipbuilding TOP3 Plus ETF, with Sejin Heavy (075580 KS) set to replace. I checked with FnGuide on timing; they said...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), NAVER

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Prosus/Tencent, Japan Post Bank, CK Holdings, Seven & I

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Around the Corner

We highlight 11 potential changes for the index in June. Impact varies from 0.2-7.5x ADV. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes...

Brian Freitas

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