Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor would create the third largest auto group in the world.</li>
<li>If this merger is successful, it could have a short term positive impact on Hyundai Motor since it could result in a reduction of overlapping sales/marketing and production of Nissan.</li>
<li>However, a merger of Honda and Nissan could negatively impact Hyundai Motor over the long term because the merged entity could produce more high quality, price competitive vehicles.</li>
</ul>


A potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor would create the third largest auto group in the world.
If this merger is successful, it could have a short term positive impact on Hyundai Motor since it could result in a reduction of overlapping sales/marketing and production of Nissan.
However, a merger of Honda and Nissan could negatively impact Hyundai Motor over the long term because the merged entity could produce more high quality, price competitive vehicles.


A Potential Merger Between Honda and Nissan - Impact on Hyundai Motor and Kia Corp

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Unisoc secures US$448M in funding to improve development of 5G chips, highlighting the growing importance of 5G technology in the tech industry.</li><li>India aims to attract more electric vehicle manufacturers by expanding incentives, signaling a push towards sustainable transportation solutions.</li><li>Nvidia collaborates with Thailand on AI despite challenges in the data center ecosystem, showing commitment to advancing AI technology globally.</li></ul>

Unisoc secures US$448M in funding to improve development of 5G chips, highlighting the growing importance of 5G technology in the tech industry.India aims to attract more electric vehicle manufacturers by expanding incentives, signaling a push towards sustainable transportation solutions.Nvidia collaborates with Thailand on AI despite challenges in the data center ecosystem, showing commitment to advancing AI technology globally.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-Dec-2024): Unisoc gets $448M to enhance 5G chip development.

<ul>
<li>On 27 November, Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) announced that it plans to buy back 1 trillion won worth of its shares (700 billion won to be cancelled).</li>
<li>Trump's aggressive tariff policy has been one of the major factors negatively impacting Hyundai Motor's share price in the past several months. </li>
<li>Hyundai Motor's valuation has become more attractive.  There are also other investments such as its stakes in Boston Dynamics and Hyundai Motor India that could be valued higher. </li>
</ul>


On 27 November, Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) announced that it plans to buy back 1 trillion won worth of its shares (700 billion won to be cancelled).
Trump's aggressive tariff policy has been one of the major factors negatively impacting Hyundai Motor's share price in the past several months. 
Hyundai Motor's valuation has become more attractive.  There are also other investments such as its stakes in Boston Dynamics and Hyundai Motor India that could be valued higher. 


Hyundai Motor: Share Buyback of 1 Trillion Won and Trump's Tariffs

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global fund positioning in the Motor Vehicles sector has entered a fresh decline following a revival between 2020 and 2023.</li>
<li>A record-low 10% of active Global funds are now overweight, with the sector holding an average underweight of -1.41%, making it the 4th largest industry-level underweight among active managers.</li>
<li>Long-Term declines in Japanese autos have hit new lows, while German and US autos have drifted lower since 2023.</li>
</ul>


Global fund positioning in the Motor Vehicles sector has entered a fresh decline following a revival between 2020 and 2023.
A record-low 10% of active Global funds are now overweight, with the sector holding an average underweight of -1.41%, making it the 4th largest industry-level underweight among active managers.
Long-Term declines in Japanese autos have hit new lows, while German and US autos have drifted lower since 2023.


Global Autos:  Falling Investor Confidence

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)

A Potential Merger Between Honda and Nissan - Impact on Hyundai Motor and Kia Corp

In this insight, we discuss the impact of a potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor which would create one of the largest auto groups...

Douglas Kim

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-Dec-2024): Unisoc gets $448M to enhance 5G chip development.

Unisoc secures $448M funding for 5G chip development, India aims to attract EV manufacturers, Nvidia partners with Thailand for AI despite data...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Autos: Falling Investor Confidence

Tesla overtakes Stellantis as the most widely held Auto company. General Motors is ahead of the almost uninvestable Ford Motor Co.

Steven Holden

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52-week Range

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A Potential Merger Between Honda and Nissan - Impact on Hyundai Motor and Kia Corp

In this insight, we discuss the impact of a potential merger between Nissan Motor and Honda Motor which would create one of the largest auto groups...

Douglas Kim

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (06-Dec-2024): Unisoc gets $448M to enhance 5G chip development.

Unisoc secures $448M funding for 5G chip development, India aims to attract EV manufacturers, Nvidia partners with Thailand for AI despite data...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Hyundai Motor: Share Buyback of 1 Trillion Won and Trump's Tariffs

On 27 November, Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) announced that it plans to buy back 1 trillion won worth of its shares (700 billion won to be cancelled).

Douglas Kim

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Autos: Falling Investor Confidence

Tesla overtakes Stellantis as the most widely held Auto company. General Motors is ahead of the almost uninvestable Ford Motor Co.

Steven Holden

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...