Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HDFC Bank results to FYE24 are improving and we retain it as a buy, with pre-provision returns improving slightly QoQ and best in peer group NPL ratio and coverage</li>
<li>Bank of Baroda is our core value Indian bank pick, for its undemanding valuations, healthy ROE and potential for NPL improvements</li>
<li>Bandhan bank is a potential contrarian pick for its value attributes; we are cautious on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio </li>
</ul>


HDFC Bank results to FYE24 are improving and we retain it as a buy, with pre-provision returns improving slightly QoQ and best in peer group NPL ratio and coverage
Bank of Baroda is our core value Indian bank pick, for its undemanding valuations, healthy ROE and potential for NPL improvements
Bandhan bank is a potential contrarian pick for its value attributes; we are cautious on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio 


Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 1: We like Quality Name HDFC Bank, Baroda Is the Value Pick

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) beat forecasts on the back of steady margins, better operating efficiency (lower sourcing cost and limited headcount addition) and lower provisioning, offset by a slightly tepid loan growth (+16% YoY)</li><li>The bank continued to witness recoveries in line with elevated gross slippages (190bps), resulting in further improvement in asset quality alongside steady PCR (~81%)</li><li>Deposit growth (+19% YoY) witnessed seasonal pick-up in current accounts, resulting in a strong CASA ratio at 42.2% (+255 bps QoQ), and a 10bps QoQ spike in incremental cost of deposits</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) beat forecasts on the back of steady margins, better operating efficiency (lower sourcing cost and limited headcount addition) and lower provisioning, offset by a slightly tepid loan growth (+16% YoY)The bank continued to witness recoveries in line with elevated gross slippages (190bps), resulting in further improvement in asset quality alongside steady PCR (~81%)Deposit growth (+19% YoY) witnessed seasonal pick-up in current accounts, resulting in a strong CASA ratio at 42.2% (+255 bps QoQ), and a 10bps QoQ spike in incremental cost of depositsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki, SBI Life Insurance, Shriram Finance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>ICICIB reported a healthy domestic credit growth of 17/3% YoY/QoQ vs. our expectation of ~18%. Retail books grew by 19/4% YoY/QoQ, and Business Banking grew by 32/6.5% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>SME book grew by 25/4% YoY/QoQ and the domestic corporate book grew by 10%/flat YoY/QoQ.</li><li>Deposit growth was strong at 20/6% YoY/QoQ, driven by a robust CASA Deposit growth of 10/13% YoY. CASA Ratio improved to 42.2% vs 45.8/39.6% YoY/QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICIB reported a healthy domestic credit growth of 17/3% YoY/QoQ vs. our expectation of ~18%. Retail books grew by 19/4% YoY/QoQ, and Business Banking grew by 32/6.5% YoY/QoQ.SME book grew by 25/4% YoY/QoQ and the domestic corporate book grew by 10%/flat YoY/QoQ.Deposit growth was strong at 20/6% YoY/QoQ, driven by a robust CASA Deposit growth of 10/13% YoY. CASA Ratio improved to 42.2% vs 45.8/39.6% YoY/QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Bank - Inline Quarter; Strong Performance to Continue

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Aadhar Housing Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aadhar Housing Finance (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$600m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates from the company’s recent filings.</li>
</ul>


Aadhar Housing Finance (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$600m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.
In this note, we look at the updates from the company’s recent filings.


Aadhar Housing Finance Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Growth Picking Up

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Canara Bank has seen stunning profit expansion over the past several years </li>
<li>Lower NPLs can drive lower credit costs to support profit expansion further</li>
<li>ROE moved from 11.7% to 17.3% over the past several years</li>
</ul>


Canara Bank has seen stunning profit expansion over the past several years 
Lower NPLs can drive lower credit costs to support profit expansion further
ROE moved from 11.7% to 17.3% over the past several years


Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

India

ICICI Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Bank offers saving accounts, loans, debit, credit cards, insurance, investments, mortgages, and online banking services. ICICI Bank serves customers worldwide.

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ICICI Bank Ltd (ICICIBC IN)

Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 1: We like Quality Name HDFC Bank, Baroda Is the Value Pick

We provide new 4QFYE24 data on 4 of the 10 Indian banks that have reported in our enlarged peer group; we rate HDFC Bank a buy, as well as Baroda...

Victor Galliano

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki, SBI Life Insurance, Shriram Finance

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) beat forecasts on the back of steady margins, better operating efficiency (lower sourcing cost and limited headcount addition)

HDFC Securities

ICICI Bank - Inline Quarter; Strong Performance to Continue

ICICIB reported a healthy domestic credit growth of 17/3% YoY/QoQ vs. our expectation of ~18%. Retail books grew by 19/4% YoY/QoQ, and Business...

Axis Direct

Aadhar Housing Finance Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Growth Picking Up

As per media reports, Aadhar Housing Finance is likely to launch its IPO in mid-May with an aim of raising around US$600m.

Sumeet Singh

Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

Radically lower NPLs and sharply higher net profit can continue with benign credit costs, especially as Loss Loans are down a lot. ROE and ROA are...

Daniel Tabbush

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