Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.</li><li>Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.</li><li>Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.</li><li>Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year.</li><li>US Group II base oils domestic price-premium to export prices similarly stays in relatively narrow range so far this year.</li><li>US Group II heavy-grade price-discount to prices in markets like India similarly holds in relatively narrow range throughout most of this year.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year.US Group II base oils domestic price-premium to export prices similarly stays in relatively narrow range so far this year.US Group II heavy-grade price-discount to prices in markets like India similarly holds in relatively narrow range throughout most of this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul>
<li>Global base oils margins rise in response to increasingly lower crude oil prices.</li>
<li>Mostly-steady outright prices magnify impact of lower crude oil prices.</li>
<li>Firmer margins and steady outright prices point to stronger-than-usual fundamentals for the time of year.</li>
</ul>


Global base oils margins rise in response to increasingly lower crude oil prices.
Mostly-steady outright prices magnify impact of lower crude oil prices.
Firmer margins and steady outright prices point to stronger-than-usual fundamentals for the time of year.


Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 20 October

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In Japan, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In Japan, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (28 Sep 2026)

Japan

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. explores, imports, refines, and distributes petroleum and its related products.  The Company also manufactures and sells petrochemical products.

Price Gauge
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Idemitsu Kosan (5019 JP)

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades. Lower crude...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year. US Group II base...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 20 October

Global base oils margins rise in response to increasingly lower crude oil prices. Mostly-steady outright prices magnify impact of lower crude oil...

Base Oil News

Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (28 Sep 2026)

Discover three pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades. Lower crude...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year. US Group II base...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 20 October

Global base oils margins rise in response to increasingly lower crude oil prices. Mostly-steady outright prices magnify impact of lower crude oil...

Base Oil News

Japan: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (28 Sep 2026)

​Discover three pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover three pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.