Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management / Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management (2799 HK)

<ul>
<li>We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.
Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China’s gaming regulator, National Press and Publication Administration granted publication licenses to a list of 45 games, ending the nine-month long freeze on new game approvals in the country.</li>
<li>While it comes as a relief, The Cyberspace Administration of China has kicked off a formal campaign to investigate and rectify algorithm security issues of tech companies.</li>
<li>Though any of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> games didn’t receive approvals, the company’s shares have moved positively during today’s trade and up 2.1% from yesterday’s close.</li>
</ul>


China’s gaming regulator, National Press and Publication Administration granted publication licenses to a list of 45 games, ending the nine-month long freeze on new game approvals in the country.
While it comes as a relief, The Cyberspace Administration of China has kicked off a formal campaign to investigate and rectify algorithm security issues of tech companies.
Though any of Tencent (700 HK) games didn’t receive approvals, the company’s shares have moved positively during today’s trade and up 2.1% from yesterday’s close.


Tencent – End of Game Approval Freeze Is a Positive; but Regulators Are Not Slowing Down

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval last night, after 8 months of silence.</li>
<li>We discussed in our previous note that China would resume game approval.</li>
<li>There is no game approved for Tencent and Netease this round but we believe their approval will come in due time.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval last night, after 8 months of silence.
We discussed in our previous note that China would resume game approval.
There is no game approved for Tencent and Netease this round but we believe their approval will come in due time.


Tencent/Netease: China Game Approval Resumption Is a Relieve, but Not Out of Tunnel

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/qingci-games-ipo-future-imperfect-and-tense" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62199" rel="noopener">Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense</a>, we stated that it is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title.  </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.
In Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense, we stated that it is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title.  
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we give the IPO a pass. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  </li>
<li>It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. </li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.
The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  
It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. 


Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

China

iDreamSky Technology operates a digital entertainment platform, primarily publishing and operating mobile games through apps and websites in China. The company also develops mobile games, offers in-game information and advertising services, and engages in IP derivatives business, including console game experiences and sales of trendy products. It was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

iDreamSky Technology (1119 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

We forecast 7 adds to the HSCI in June. For the September rebalance, we forecast 19 adds & 19 deletes (7 on mkt cap, 4 on liquidity, 8 on long...

Brian Freitas

Tencent – End of Game Approval Freeze Is a Positive; but Regulators Are Not Slowing Down

While ending the nine-month long freeze on new game approvals comes as a relief, China has kicked off a formal campaign on algorithm security...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Tencent/Netease: China Game Approval Resumption Is a Relieve, but Not Out of Tunnel

China resumed game approval. We view this as a very positive development for game developers and to a larger extent the TMT industry.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Qingci Games IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we give the IPO a pass. Pricing is set for 9 Dec and...

Arun George

Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Qingci aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)