Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the December batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. There have been 47% more games approved in 2024 compared to 2023.</li>
<li>Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease got one approval.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the December batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. There have been 47% more games approved in 2024 compared to 2023.
Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease got one approval.


Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 32 potential and close adds and 44 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>We expect 29 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 31 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 32 potential and close adds and 44 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
We expect 29 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 31 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the November batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>None of the companies that we are tracking got any approval for November batch.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the November batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
None of the companies that we are tracking got any approval for November batch.


Tencent/Netease: Second Month of Game Approval Disappointment

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the October batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>None of the companies that we are tracking got any approval for October batch.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the October batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
None of the companies that we are tracking got any approval for October batch.


Tencent/Netease: Zeroed Again After Three Months

China

iDreamSky Technology operates a digital entertainment platform, primarily publishing and operating mobile games through apps and websites in China. The company also develops mobile games, offers in-game information and advertising services, and engages in IP derivatives business, including console game experiences and sales of trendy products. It was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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iDreamSky Technology (1119 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

There could be 78 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 57 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Tencent/Netease: Second Month of Game Approval Disappointment

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of November, which is the second consecutive month in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: Zeroed Again After Three Months

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of October. None of the stocks we are tracking got any...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of December. Of names that we track, Netease received...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

There could be 78 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 57 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Tencent/Netease: Second Month of Game Approval Disappointment

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of November, which is the second consecutive month in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 15th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, SMIC, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: Zeroed Again After Three Months

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of October. None of the stocks we are tracking got any...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM