Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.</li>
<li>The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF.</li>
</ul>


It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.
The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.
There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ended on 31 May. Announcement of the changes will be made on 9 June with implementation at the close on 16 June.</li>
<li>There could be 3 or 4 A-share additions due to their inclusion in Northbound Stock Connect. That in turn expands the index universe and could result in 2-3 deletions.</li>
<li>If there are 4 adds and 2 deletes at the June rebalance, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be 13.4% and will result in a one-way trade of US$81m.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ended on 31 May. Announcement of the changes will be made on 9 June with implementation at the close on 16 June.
There could be 3 or 4 A-share additions due to their inclusion in Northbound Stock Connect. That in turn expands the index universe and could result in 2-3 deletions.
If there are 4 adds and 2 deletes at the June rebalance, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be 13.4% and will result in a one-way trade of US$81m.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas Airways, Mineral Resource.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 5th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas Airways, Mineral Resource.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): NAB, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Aussie lithium miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a> has inked a $US10bn+ merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livent-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27434:1" rel="noopener">Livent (LTHM US)</a> to form the world's fifth largest lithium producer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> tackled this "merger-of-equals" and the index implications in <a href="https://skr.ma/kwkmN" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises</a>. </li>
<li>The spoils of ongoing lithium demand for electric vehicle batteries will ostensibly go to the prevalent, low-cost producer. Yet Livent shareholders may question the lack of premium in the transaction. </li>
</ul>


Aussie lithium miner Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) has inked a $US10bn+ merger with Livent (LTHM US) to form the world's fifth largest lithium producer.

Travis Lundy tackled this "merger-of-equals" and the index implications in Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises. 
The spoils of ongoing lithium demand for electric vehicle batteries will ostensibly go to the prevalent, low-cost producer. Yet Livent shareholders may question the lack of premium in the transaction. 


Yunnan Chihong Zinc&Germanium Co, Ltd. / Index Rebalance

Yunnan Chihong Zinc&Germanium Co, Ltd. (600497 CH)

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends on 31 May. Announcement of the changes will be made on 9 June with implementation at the close on 16 June.</li>
<li>There could be 4 or 5 A-share additions due to their inclusion in Northbound Stock Connect. That in turn expands the universe and could result in up to 3 deletions.</li>
<li>If all changes go through as expected, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be 15.1% resulting in a one-way trade of US$99m.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends on 31 May. Announcement of the changes will be made on 9 June with implementation at the close on 16 June.
There could be 4 or 5 A-share additions due to their inclusion in Northbound Stock Connect. That in turn expands the universe and could result in up to 3 deletions.
If all changes go through as expected, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be 15.1% resulting in a one-way trade of US$99m.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Identifying Potential Changes

Australia

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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IGO Ltd (IGO AU)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

With the review period complete, there could be 4 adds and 2 deletes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): NAB, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Allkem/Livent: Enlarged Charging Unit

As Travis pointed out, a cross-border arb will be "difficult" because lithium is a bouncy theme and one could get legged pretty easily. To this,...

David Blennerhassett

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Identifying Potential Changes

There could be 4/5 A-shares added to the index in June resulting in up to 3 deletions. One-way turnover will be 15% and the one-way trade nearly...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

With the review period complete, there could be 4 adds and 2 deletes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): NAB, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos, Qantas

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Natl Aust Bank, Pilbara Minerals, Igo, Santos,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Allkem/​Livent: Enlarged Charging Unit

As Travis pointed out, a cross-border arb will be "difficult" because lithium is a bouncy theme and one could get legged pretty easily. To this,...

David Blennerhassett

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Identifying Potential Changes

There could be 4/5 A-shares added to the index in June resulting in up to 3 deletions. One-way turnover will be 15% and the one-way trade nearly...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

Allkem/Livent: Enlarged Charging Unit

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Identifying Potential Changes