Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> would <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02649202-6A1143054?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications</a>, and therefore would no longer accept lower-quality ore.</li>
<li>Mincor subsequently withdrew its earnings guidance, and Wyloo Metals shortly followed by declaring its A$1.40/share unconditional on-market Offer <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02650576-6A1143658?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">best and final</a>.</li>
<li>This morning (4 April), Mincor released its <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02651163-6A1143881?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Target Statement</a>, and recommends shareholders accept the Offer from Wyloo.</li>
</ul>


Last week, Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) said BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and therefore would no longer accept lower-quality ore.
Mincor subsequently withdrew its earnings guidance, and Wyloo Metals shortly followed by declaring its A$1.40/share unconditional on-market Offer best and final.
This morning (4 April), Mincor released its Target Statement, and recommends shareholders accept the Offer from Wyloo.


Mincor Backs Wyloo's Offer After BHP Offtake Uncertainties

<ul>
<li>One may presume that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moved their <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares received from their non-CCASS holdings of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. It does not tell us much else. </li>
<li>Allocation in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-m-entertainment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3500:1" rel="noopener">S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)</a> partial Offer was 44.14%. With shares trading ~₩95k, that was a pretty good outcome. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> has asked the Japanese government to investigate YFO's alleged breaches of FEFTA. Expect YFO to say they did no wrong. Expect Toyo to complain about it. </li>
</ul>


One may presume that Prosus (PRX NA) moved their Meituan (3690 HK) shares received from their non-CCASS holdings of Tencent (700 HK). It does not tell us much else. 
Allocation in the S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) partial Offer was 44.14%. With shares trading ~₩95k, that was a pretty good outcome. 

Toyo Construction (1890 JP) has asked the Japanese government to investigate YFO's alleged breaches of FEFTA. Expect YFO to say they did no wrong. Expect Toyo to complain about it. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

<ul>
<li>Earlier today (30 March), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and will no longer accept lower-quality ore.</li>
<li>Mincor delivers 100% of its ore to BHP.  It will continue to deliver on-specification ore to BHP, but has withdrawn its forward guidance. </li>
<li>Shares rolled over 5.7% to close at A$1.42/share, above Wyloo's unconditional A$1.40/share. Offer.</li>
</ul>


Earlier today (30 March), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) said BHP Group (BHP AU) would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and will no longer accept lower-quality ore.
Mincor delivers 100% of its ore to BHP.  It will continue to deliver on-specification ore to BHP, but has withdrawn its forward guidance. 
Shares rolled over 5.7% to close at A$1.42/share, above Wyloo's unconditional A$1.40/share. Offer.


<ul>
<li>Lithium play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> has now thrice rejected <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle Corp (ALB US)</a>'s proposals. </li>
<li>Liontown has labeled Albermarle's third bid of A$2.50/share as opportunistic. </li>
<li>Albemarle has picked up 2.2% in Liontown. But that is dwarfed by Tim Goyder's (chairman)'s 15% stake, who is not engaged at the current bid price. </li>
</ul>


Lithium play Liontown Resources (LTR AU) has now thrice rejected Albemarle Corp (ALB US)'s proposals. 
Liontown has labeled Albermarle's third bid of A$2.50/share as opportunistic. 
Albemarle has picked up 2.2% in Liontown. But that is dwarfed by Tim Goyder's (chairman)'s 15% stake, who is not engaged at the current bid price. 


Liontown (LTR AU) Rejects Albemarle's Advances

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), Trial Holdings (5882 JP) and PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Estia Health (EHE AU), Healius (HLS AU), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Australia

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

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IGO Ltd (IGO AU)

Mincor Backs Wyloo's Offer After BHP Offtake Uncertainties

Wyloo's broker will be standing in the market at $1.40. Only buy above terms on the expectation of a competing Offer. Yet with Wyoloo holding 23%+,...

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Mincor: Did Twiggy Thwart BHP Offtake?

Mincor's inability to supply BHP with the inferior product will eat into costs. And sentiment. That probably plays into Wyloo's court. Your...

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Liontown (LTR AU) Rejects Albemarle's Advances

What is "fair" is highly subjective, given volatile lithium prices, EV demand, and general sentiment. But I couldn't recommend chasing it here. ...

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Mar) - Toshiba, Toyo, Healius, Mincor, Rakuten Bank, SBI Sumishin, Harita

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Estia, Healius, Mincor, Nitro, Jiangnan, Toshiba, Toyo, Golden Energy) and ECM...

Arun George

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