Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 22nd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star Resources, Lottery.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 22nd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star Resources, Lottery.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 22nd): Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star Resources

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Timing:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">Fortescue (FMG AU)</a> is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.</li>
<li>
Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.</li>
</ul>



Timing:Fortescue (FMG AU) is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.

Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.

Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.


Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Timing: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> reports annual results on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, 8:00 AM AEST. Corresponding local times for its international listings are detailed in the Insight.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Options positioning ahead of the results suggests at least one trader is making a sizeable bet on post-earnings upside.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Gain insight into BHP’s earnings-day price history , volatility setup, and options market positioning to be ready for the upcoming announcement.</li>
</ul>



Timing: BHP (BHP AU) reports annual results on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, 8:00 AM AEST. Corresponding local times for its international listings are detailed in the Insight.

Highlight: Options positioning ahead of the results suggests at least one trader is making a sizeable bet on post-earnings upside.

Why Read: Gain insight into BHP’s earnings-day price history , volatility setup, and options market positioning to be ready for the upcoming announcement.


BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.</li>
<li>The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.</li>
<li>We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.
The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.
We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.


S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Boss Energy's FY26 guidance raised doubts over Honeymoon's ability to reach nameplate capacity, clouding the outlook and raising valuation concerns.</li><li> -Boss Energy&rsquo;s operational update triggers share price sell-off -Feasibility study assumptions questioned, given FY26 guidance -Nameplate capacity concerns for Honeymoon translate into much lower valuations/price targets -Expert study will commence shortly, but with no end date yet confirmed</li></ul>

Boss Energy's FY26 guidance raised doubts over Honeymoon's ability to reach nameplate capacity, clouding the outlook and raising valuation concerns. -Boss Energy&rsquo;s operational update triggers share price sell-off -Feasibility study assumptions questioned, given FY26 guidance -Nameplate capacity concerns for Honeymoon translate into much lower valuations/price targets -Expert study will commence shortly, but with no end date yet confirmed

Honeymoon Uncertainty Clouds Boss' Outlook

Australia

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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IGO Ltd (IGO AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 22nd): Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star Resources

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

Gaudenz Schneider

BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside

BHP to report annual results on August 19, with options suggesting bullish post-earnings move. Gain insight into earnings history and market...

Gaudenz Schneider

S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

The market consultation ends in 2 weeks, and the conclusions should be announced soon after that. A lot of the stocks have moved significantly over...

Brian Freitas

Honeymoon Uncertainty Clouds Boss' Outlook

Boss Energy's FY26 guidance raised doubts over Honeymoon's ability to reach nameplate capacity, clouding the outlook and raising valuation...

FNArena

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 22nd): Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star Resources

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Bluescope Steel, CSL, Wesfarmers, Northern Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

​Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

Gaudenz Schneider

BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside

​BHP to report annual results on August 19, with options suggesting bullish post-earnings move. Gain insight into earnings history and market...

Gaudenz Schneider

S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

The market consultation ends in 2 weeks, and the conclusions should be announced soon after that. A lot of the stocks have moved significantly over...

Brian Freitas

Honeymoon Uncertainty Clouds Boss' Outlook

Boss Energy's FY26 guidance raised doubts over Honeymoon's ability to reach nameplate capacity, clouding the outlook and raising valuation...

FNArena

Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

BHP to report annual results on August 19, with options suggesting bullish post-earnings move. Gain insight into earnings history and market...