Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Compared to the tightly crowded KOSPI 200, the sector ETFs' rebalancing flow trading appears relatively less crowded, which led to a significantly higher flow/price correlation on the rebalancing day.</li>
<li>The KRX now delivers the rebalancing results of the KRX Sector &amp; K-New Deal Indexes only to paying customers. This can increase the profit effect of acquiring prior information.</li>
<li>So, safe play, which builds up a position from the time this information is acquired, rather than an aggressive preemptive position build-up, can still obtain a sufficient level of juice.</li>
</ul>


Compared to the tightly crowded KOSPI 200, the sector ETFs' rebalancing flow trading appears relatively less crowded, which led to a significantly higher flow/price correlation on the rebalancing day.
The KRX now delivers the rebalancing results of the KRX Sector &amp; K-New Deal Indexes only to paying customers. This can increase the profit effect of acquiring prior information.
So, safe play, which builds up a position from the time this information is acquired, rather than an aggressive preemptive position build-up, can still obtain a sufficient level of juice.


Backtesting Implications: Korea Sector ETFs Rebalancing on the 8th

<ul>
<li>Iljin HySolus and Hyundai Heavy Industries will release the ESOP volumes, 0.82% and 3.93% of SO, on September 1st and 17th. They have risen 2.3% and 145.8% from the listings.</li>
<li>Despite the small profit, it seems more probable that the Iljin HySolus ESOP will attempt to dispose of its shares immediately after the release, potentially leading to another price correction.</li>
<li>On the other hand, I would seek a hedge for the HHI ESOP lockup release. I would look at KSOE as a hedge for my short position on HHI.</li>
</ul>


Iljin HySolus and Hyundai Heavy Industries will release the ESOP volumes, 0.82% and 3.93% of SO, on September 1st and 17th. They have risen 2.3% and 145.8% from the listings.
Despite the small profit, it seems more probable that the Iljin HySolus ESOP will attempt to dispose of its shares immediately after the release, potentially leading to another price correction.
On the other hand, I would seek a hedge for the HHI ESOP lockup release. I would look at KSOE as a hedge for my short position on HHI.


ESOP Lockup Releases: Iljin HySolus & Hyundai Heavy Industries

<ul>
<li>The correlation and sensitivity between passive flow and price impact have been significantly high for adds/deletes. So, we need a basket-trade setup focusing on potential adds/deletes.</li>
<li>We will see 12 changes for Semicon and 6 for Autos. Bank won't present any change.</li>
<li>
SK Square and Iljin Hysolus are the most prominent names to join the KRX Sector Indices this time. They will have a passive impact of 2.03x and 3.97x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The correlation and sensitivity between passive flow and price impact have been significantly high for adds/deletes. So, we need a basket-trade setup focusing on potential adds/deletes.
We will see 12 changes for Semicon and 6 for Autos. Bank won't present any change.

SK Square and Iljin Hysolus are the most prominent names to join the KRX Sector Indices this time. They will have a passive impact of 2.03x and 3.97x ADTVs, respectively.


Introducing KRX Sector Indices: SK Square & Iljin Hysolus Deserve Attention for Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>The ETF operator's room to play around in index weighting is relatively minimal. Rebalancing is completed in one trading day. So, the actual passive impact was more intense and substantial.</li>
<li>The rebalancing result based on the average float-adjusted MC from May 2 to yesterday: Additions Iljin Hysolus, Halla Holdings, &amp; DTR Automotive / Deletions Nexen Tire, Kumho HT, &amp; Seoyon
</li>
<li>Their estimated passive impact is more significant than that of the previous rebalancing. It is substantial enough to consider a preemptive position build-up for them.</li>
</ul>


The ETF operator's room to play around in index weighting is relatively minimal. Rebalancing is completed in one trading day. So, the actual passive impact was more intense and substantial.
The rebalancing result based on the average float-adjusted MC from May 2 to yesterday: Additions Iljin Hysolus, Halla Holdings, &amp; DTR Automotive / Deletions Nexen Tire, Kumho HT, &amp; Seoyon

Their estimated passive impact is more significant than that of the previous rebalancing. It is substantial enough to consider a preemptive position build-up for them.


KRX Autos (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing: Watch Iljin HySolus, Halla Holdings, & DTR Automotive

<ul>
<li>All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.</li>
<li>A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.</li>
<li>That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).</li>
</ul>


All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.
A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.
That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).


Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

South Korea

Iljin Hysolus Co Ltd operates environmental problem solving businesses. The Company provides hydrogen solutions, CNG solutions, diesel solutions and other services. Iljin Hysolus conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS)

Backtesting Implications: Korea Sector ETFs Rebalancing on the 8th

This post backtests the flow trading performance for the rebalancings of Korea's sector ETFs on the 8th and discusses unique patterns and...

Sanghyun Park

ESOP Lockup Releases: Iljin HySolus & Hyundai Heavy Industries

This post investigates the two ESOP lockup releases we will see in September in Korea: Iljin HySolus and Hyundai Heavy Industries.

Sanghyun Park

Introducing KRX Sector Indices: SK Square & Iljin Hysolus Deserve Attention for Rebalancing

This post introduces the KRX Sector Indices and screens the likely adds/deletes at the upcoming rebalancing in September, including SK Square and...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Autos (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing: Watch Iljin HySolus, Halla Holdings, & DTR Automotive

We are midway through the KRX Autos rebalancing screening period. The results at the last close are Iljin HySolus, Halla Holdings, & DTR Auto...

Sanghyun Park

Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

This post examines the shorting patterns for the KOSPI 200 additions at the last rebalancing and argues the same patterns will likely repeat for...

Sanghyun Park

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