Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.</li>
<li>The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.</li>
<li>Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.</li>
</ul>


The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.
The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.
Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.


Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The Q3FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Festival demand, 2) Sequential improvement in government spending, 3) Moderation in Urban consumption, 4) Some uptick in rural consumption, 5) Rising bond yields and 6) Currency tailwinds.</li><li>H1FY25 was challenging in terms of an overall reduction in government spending, credit tightening in unsecured lending, consumption slowdown especially in the urban area, extended monsoon, and inflation.</li><li>Collectively these factors have contributed to the slowdown in the corporate earnings during H1FY25. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Q3FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Festival demand, 2) Sequential improvement in government spending, 3) Moderation in Urban consumption, 4) Some uptick in rural consumption, 5) Rising bond yields and 6) Currency tailwinds.H1FY25 was challenging in terms of an overall reduction in government spending, credit tightening in unsecured lending, consumption slowdown especially in the urban area, extended monsoon, and inflation.Collectively these factors have contributed to the slowdown in the corporate earnings during H1FY25. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The NDA's landslide victory in Maharashtra has ushered in a period of political stability, boosting market sentiment and investor confidence. This will increase government spending on infrastructure &amp; rural development.</li>
<li>Analysts predict a modest recovery in corporate earnings in the second half of the fiscal year, potentially triggering a "mini risk-on rally". </li>
<li>While women-centric welfare schemes contributed to the NDA's success, concerns arise regarding their potential strain on state finances. </li>
</ul>


The NDA's landslide victory in Maharashtra has ushered in a period of political stability, boosting market sentiment and investor confidence. This will increase government spending on infrastructure &amp; rural development.
Analysts predict a modest recovery in corporate earnings in the second half of the fiscal year, potentially triggering a "mini risk-on rally". 
While women-centric welfare schemes contributed to the NDA's success, concerns arise regarding their potential strain on state finances. 


Maharashtra Elections Inject Optimism into Indian Markets

<ul><li>Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.</li><li>Notably, our benchmark index, the Nifty 50, reached the historic milestone of 26,216 on September 26, 2024, for the first time ever.</li><li>This achievement has propelled the Indian market capitalization to surpass the $5 Trillion mark, positioning it as the fourth largest market globally. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.Notably, our benchmark index, the Nifty 50, reached the historic milestone of 26,216 on September 26, 2024, for the first time ever.This achievement has propelled the Indian market capitalization to surpass the $5 Trillion mark, positioning it as the fourth largest market globally. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

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Indian Hotels (IH IN)

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

Q3FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

The Q3FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Festival demand, 2) Sequential improvement in government spending, 3) Moderation in Urban consumption

Axis Direct

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Maharashtra Elections Inject Optimism into Indian Markets

NDA's victory in Maharashtra boosts market sentiment, predicts recovery in corporate earnings, but raises concerns about strain on state finances...

Nimish Maheshwari

Diamonds In The Dust - Samvat 2081

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.

Axis Direct

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Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

​The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

Q3FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

The Q3FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Festival demand, 2) Sequential improvement in government spending, 3) Moderation in Urban consumption

Axis Direct

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Maharashtra Elections Inject Optimism into Indian Markets

​NDA's victory in Maharashtra boosts market sentiment, predicts recovery in corporate earnings, but raises concerns about strain on state finances...

Nimish Maheshwari

Diamonds In The Dust - Samvat 2081

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.

Axis Direct

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

NDA's victory in Maharashtra boosts market sentiment, predicts recovery in corporate earnings, but raises concerns about strain on state finances...