External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>OCL’s Q3FY25 SA EBITDA was Rs91.5bn, at a 25% miss to our estimate due to lower-than expected GRM (at USD2.95 from inventory loss of USD3.7/bbl) and weak marketing performance amid LPG under-recoveries of Rs54.5bn.</li><li>Core GRM was better at USD6.6/bbl vs USD5.5/bbl (Emkay).</li><li>Petchem EBIT-loss expanded to Rs1.5bn vs loss of Rs916mn QoQ, on lower deltas.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

OCL’s Q3FY25 SA EBITDA was Rs91.5bn, at a 25% miss to our estimate due to lower-than expected GRM (at USD2.95 from inventory loss of USD3.7/bbl) and weak marketing performance amid LPG under-recoveries of Rs54.5bn.Core GRM was better at USD6.6/bbl vs USD5.5/bbl (Emkay).Petchem EBIT-loss expanded to Rs1.5bn vs loss of Rs916mn QoQ, on lower deltas.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil - Inventory Loss and Marketing Weakness Drag Earnings

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 150 is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity and moderation in auto fuel marketing margins</li><li>IOCL’s Q2FY26 reported EBITDA at INR 146bn (+286.6% YoY, +15.7% QoQ) and APAT at INR76bn (+41.2x YoY, +33.8% QoQ) came in below our estimates due to lower-than-expected refining margin and marketing volumes</li><li>Reported GRMs came in at USD 10.66/bbl (+5.7x YoY, +3.9x QoQ)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 150 is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity and moderation in auto fuel marketing marginsIOCL’s Q2FY26 reported EBITDA at INR 146bn (+286.6% YoY, +15.7% QoQ) and APAT at INR76bn (+41.2x YoY, +33.8% QoQ) came in below our estimates due to lower-than-expected refining margin and marketing volumesReported GRMs came in at USD 10.66/bbl (+5.7x YoY, +3.9x QoQ)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, TVS Motor, SRF...

<ul><li>We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher refining GRMs</li><li>Upstream segment earnings to decline by 0.2% YoY but grow by 6.3% QoQ owing to sequential rise in crude prices and rupee depreciation</li><li>We expect high LNG spot rate to have an adverse impact on natural gas offtake volume from Industrial and Commercial customers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher refining GRMsUpstream segment earnings to decline by 0.2% YoY but grow by 6.3% QoQ owing to sequential rise in crude prices and rupee depreciationWe expect high LNG spot rate to have an adverse impact on natural gas offtake volume from Industrial and Commercial customersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil and Gas (Q2FY26 Result Preview): Strong refining margins to lift earnings

<ul>
<li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 136 is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity and moderation in auto fuel marketing margins</li>
<li>IOCL’s Q1FY26 reported EBITDA at INR 126bn (+46% YoY, -7.1% QoQ) and APAT at INR 57bn (+115.2% YoY, -21.7% QoQ) came in above our estimates due to higher-than-expected marketing margin</li>
<li>Reported GRMs came in at USD 2.15/bbl (-66.4% YoY, -72.6% QoQ)</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 136 is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity and moderation in auto fuel marketing margins
IOCL’s Q1FY26 reported EBITDA at INR 126bn (+46% YoY, -7.1% QoQ) and APAT at INR 57bn (+115.2% YoY, -21.7% QoQ) came in above our estimates due to higher-than-expected marketing margin
Reported GRMs came in at USD 2.15/bbl (-66.4% YoY, -72.6% QoQ)

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Ahluwalia Contracts

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 124, is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity, lower refining margins, and moderation in auto fuel marketing margins</li><li>IOCL’s Q3FY25 reported EBITDA at INR 71bn (-54% YoY, +89% QoQ) and APAT at INR 28.7bn (-64% YoY, +14.9x QoQ) came in below our estimates</li><li>Earnings were impacted by weak performance from petchem segment, lower refining margins, inventory loss and absorption of under-recovery on LPG</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 124, is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity, lower refining margins, and moderation in auto fuel marketing marginsIOCL’s Q3FY25 reported EBITDA at INR 71bn (-54% YoY, +89% QoQ) and APAT at INR 28.7bn (-64% YoY, +14.9x QoQ) came in below our estimatesEarnings were impacted by weak performance from petchem segment, lower refining margins, inventory loss and absorption of under-recovery on LPGContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, DLF, Macrotech Developers, Balkrishna Industries

India

Indian Oil Corporation Limited explores for and refines crude oil, in addition to manufacturing petroleum & petroleum products. The Company's products include lubricating oils, liquid petroleum gas, aviation turbine fuels, greases, wax, bitumen and asphalt. Indian Oil Corporation has retail outlets throughout India. The greatest majority shareholding in the Company is held by Indian Government.

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Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)

Indian Oil - Inventory Loss and Marketing Weakness Drag Earnings

OCL’s Q3FY25 SA EBITDA was Rs91.5bn, at a 25% miss to our estimate due to lower-than expected GRM (at USD2.95 from inventory loss of USD3.7/bbl)

Emkay

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, TVS Motor, SRF...

Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 150 is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies...

HDFC Securities

Oil and Gas (Q2FY26 Result Preview): Strong refining margins to lift earnings

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Ahluwalia Contracts

Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) with a target price of INR 136 is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, DLF, Macrotech Developers, Balkrishna Industries

Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 124, is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem...

HDFC Securities

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