External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>IOH fully absorbed its FY23 capex budget in 4Q23 signaling its growth commitments, hence its guidance for further outperformance in FY24F. </li><li>IOH subs offer significant ARPU upside to over Rp40k in FY24F and onwards, hence the 50% EBITDA margin guidance should be attainable. </li><li>We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA); reiterate Buy rating on strong fundamentals and the growth outlook. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IOH fully absorbed its FY23 capex budget in 4Q23 signaling its growth commitments, hence its guidance for further outperformance in FY24F. IOH subs offer significant ARPU upside to over Rp40k in FY24F and onwards, hence the 50% EBITDA margin guidance should be attainable. We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA); reiterate Buy rating on strong fundamentals and the growth outlook. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ISAT IJ - Earnings Beat Offers a Credible Prospect of Further Growth Outperformance in FY24

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat (ISAT IJ)</a> 2Q2023 saw the benefit of surging seasonal demand driving data usage coupled with its stronger network post the 3 integration. </li>
<li>The company saw a further increase in subscribers in 2Q2023 to over 100m, along with higher ARPUs, which rose by +8.6% YoY in 2Q2023 helping to improve returns.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat (ISAT IJ)</a> continues to invest in maintaining the quality of its network as well as offering new value-added products to customers, boosting retention and profitability.</li>
</ul>



Indosat (ISAT IJ) 2Q2023 saw the benefit of surging seasonal demand driving data usage coupled with its stronger network post the 3 integration. 
The company saw a further increase in subscribers in 2Q2023 to over 100m, along with higher ARPUs, which rose by +8.6% YoY in 2Q2023 helping to improve returns.

Indosat (ISAT IJ) continues to invest in maintaining the quality of its network as well as offering new value-added products to customers, boosting retention and profitability.


Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Sails Set on a More Profitable Course

<ul><li>The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava areas.</li><li>IOH now has better network performance especially for Hutch3 subscribers.</li><li>Right off the bat, Hutch3 prices increased post Lebaran leveraging on this network experience upgrade. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava areas.IOH now has better network performance especially for Hutch3 subscribers.Right off the bat, Hutch3 prices increased post Lebaran leveraging on this network experience upgrade. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (ISAT IJ) - Bigger Fish to Fry – Significant Upside

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harum-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1604:1" rel="noopener">Harum Energy (HRUM IJ)</a> as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Given the focus is on liquidity, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a> as higher probability deletion candidates.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
We see Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Harum Energy (HRUM IJ) as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.
Given the focus is on liquidity, we see Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ), Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) as higher probability deletion candidates.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Amman Mineral Internasional / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and 6 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-copper-gold-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28447:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and 6 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 30 April.
The largest passive inflows are expected in Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ), Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ) and Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

Indonesia

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)

ISAT IJ - Earnings Beat Offers a Credible Prospect of Further Growth Outperformance in FY24

We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA)

BRI Danareksa Research

Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Sails Set on a More Profitable Course

Indosat (ISAT IJ) continues to invest in maintaining the quality of its network as well as offering new value-added products to customers, boosting...

Angus Mackintosh

Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (ISAT IJ) - Bigger Fish to Fry – Significant Upside

The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava...

BRI Danareksa Research

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Changes to the LQ45 Index will be announced soon & become effective after the close on 31 Jan. We see three potential changes. The adds outperform...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

Methodology changes means constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index that will be implemented on 30 April. There are big flows and big...

Brian Freitas

ISAT IJ - Earnings Beat Offers a Credible Prospect of Further Growth Outperformance in FY24

We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA)

BRI Danareksa Research

Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Sails Set on a More Profitable Course

Indosat (ISAT IJ) continues to invest in maintaining the quality of its network as well as offering new value-added products to customers, boosting...

Angus Mackintosh

Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (ISAT IJ) - Bigger Fish to Fry – Significant Upside

The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava...

BRI Danareksa Research

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Changes to the LQ45 Index will be announced soon & become effective after the close on 31 Jan. We see three potential changes. The adds outperform...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

Methodology changes means constituent changes for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index that will be implemented on 30 April. There are big flows and big...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks