External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>IOH fully absorbed its FY23 capex budget in 4Q23 signaling its growth commitments, hence its guidance for further outperformance in FY24F. </li><li>IOH subs offer significant ARPU upside to over Rp40k in FY24F and onwards, hence the 50% EBITDA margin guidance should be attainable. </li><li>We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA); reiterate Buy rating on strong fundamentals and the growth outlook. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IOH fully absorbed its FY23 capex budget in 4Q23 signaling its growth commitments, hence its guidance for further outperformance in FY24F. IOH subs offer significant ARPU upside to over Rp40k in FY24F and onwards, hence the 50% EBITDA margin guidance should be attainable. We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA); reiterate Buy rating on strong fundamentals and the growth outlook. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ISAT IJ - Earnings Beat Offers a Credible Prospect of Further Growth Outperformance in FY24

<ul><li>The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava areas.</li><li>IOH now has better network performance especially for Hutch3 subscribers.</li><li>Right off the bat, Hutch3 prices increased post Lebaran leveraging on this network experience upgrade. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava areas.IOH now has better network performance especially for Hutch3 subscribers.Right off the bat, Hutch3 prices increased post Lebaran leveraging on this network experience upgrade. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (ISAT IJ) - Bigger Fish to Fry – Significant Upside

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.</li><li>Expect IOH and EXCL to deliver sturdy EBITDA margins as telcos refrain from taking commercial initiativesin 1Q24, hence limited NP downside.</li><li>Maintain sector OW rating as TLKM results imply the sector remains constructive, hence recent sharp de-rating is unwarranted.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.Expect IOH and EXCL to deliver sturdy EBITDA margins as telcos refrain from taking commercial initiativesin 1Q24, hence limited NP downside.Maintain sector OW rating as TLKM results imply the sector remains constructive, hence recent sharp de-rating is unwarranted.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: 1Q24 Preview: TLKM’s Inline 1Q24 Earnings Implies Possible Limited Downside for ISAT and EXCL

<ul><li>Organic and inorganic opportunities for rerating4Q23 foretells positive trends for better subs demographics and ARPU for IOH &amp; XL, justifying their guidance for FY24 revenue to outperform.</li><li>TLKM’s valuation reflects mainly ex-Java challenges</li><li>Integrated services qualities can be unlocked with the presence of a strategic investor.An EXCL-FREN M&amp;A may not trigger a tender-offer</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Organic and inorganic opportunities for rerating4Q23 foretells positive trends for better subs demographics and ARPU for IOH &amp; XL, justifying their guidance for FY24 revenue to outperform.TLKM’s valuation reflects mainly ex-Java challengesIntegrated services qualities can be unlocked with the presence of a strategic investor.An EXCL-FREN M&amp;A may not trigger a tender-offerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco - Organic and Inorganic Opportunities for Rerating

<ul><li>IOH may see 4Q23 revenue growth (+3.9%qoq) provided that it absorbs its capex budget, while we expect margins to continue to improve. </li><li>Expect TLKM &amp; EXCL to deliver 4Q23 revenue growth of 4.0%/1.5% qoq but with opex potentially weighing on the 4Q23 margins.</li><li>ISAT is our top pick for expected earnings improvements, while EXCL is an attractive merger target and has value unlocking potential.  </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IOH may see 4Q23 revenue growth (+3.9%qoq) provided that it absorbs its capex budget, while we expect margins to continue to improve. Expect TLKM &amp; EXCL to deliver 4Q23 revenue growth of 4.0%/1.5% qoq but with opex potentially weighing on the 4Q23 margins.ISAT is our top pick for expected earnings improvements, while EXCL is an attractive merger target and has value unlocking potential.  Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

4Q23 Preview: Telcos to Deliver Tangible Quarterly Topline Growth with Broadly In-Line Earnings

Indonesia

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)

ISAT IJ - Earnings Beat Offers a Credible Prospect of Further Growth Outperformance in FY24

We include the Home BB Internet take-up, raise our FY24-25F earnings by 23%/19%, raise our TP to Rp13,300 (implying 6.1x EV/EBITDA)

BRI Danareksa Research

Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (ISAT IJ) - Bigger Fish to Fry – Significant Upside

The IOH roadmap has become clearcut with the management providing guidance for network capacity and coverage expansion by frontloading in exJava...

BRI Danareksa Research

Telco: 1Q24 Preview: TLKM’s Inline 1Q24 Earnings Implies Possible Limited Downside for ISAT and EXCL

We noted Telkom’s resilient 1Q24 topline as per expectations amid seasonality which implies IOH and EXCL may also deliver inline revenue.

BRI Danareksa Research

Telco - Organic and Inorganic Opportunities for Rerating

Organic and inorganic opportunities for rerating4Q23 foretells positive trends for better subs demographics and ARPU for IOH & XL, justifying their...

BRI Danareksa Research

4Q23 Preview: Telcos to Deliver Tangible Quarterly Topline Growth with Broadly In-Line Earnings

ISAT is our top pick for expected earnings improvements, while EXCL is an attractive merger target and has value unlocking potential.

BRI Danareksa Research