Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> does not seem to be able to get out of hot water.</li>
<li>In yet another accounting and governance pothole, the bank has disclosed a surprising take on interest income, which was overstated by INR 6.7 bn. </li>
<li>The internal audit department also reported unsubstantiated balances of INR 6 bn in other assets, which was netted off with liabilities. </li>
</ul>



Indusind Bank (IIB IN) does not seem to be able to get out of hot water.
In yet another accounting and governance pothole, the bank has disclosed a surprising take on interest income, which was overstated by INR 6.7 bn. 
The internal audit department also reported unsubstantiated balances of INR 6 bn in other assets, which was netted off with liabilities. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> are high probability inclusions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> are high probability deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> is also a potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> deletion in September and there will be continued pressure on the stock.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be two changes for the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the June rebalance.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) are high probability inclusions while Indusind Bank (IIB IN) and Nestle India (NEST IN) are high probability deletions.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) is also a potential NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) deletion in September and there will be continued pressure on the stock.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> stock was down 27% yesterday following the announcement of Derivatives Portfolio losses that have wiped out 2.35% of equity.</li>
<li>Foreign investors were big sellers in the last 3 months of 2024. That led to increased foreign room, leading to an index upweight in February and index inclusion in March.</li>
<li>The drop in market cap and free float market cap will see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> in June and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> in September.</li>
</ul>


The Indusind Bank (IIB IN) stock was down 27% yesterday following the announcement of Derivatives Portfolio losses that have wiped out 2.35% of equity.
Foreign investors were big sellers in the last 3 months of 2024. That led to increased foreign room, leading to an index upweight in February and index inclusion in March.
The drop in market cap and free float market cap will see Indusind Bank (IIB IN) deleted from the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index in June and the NIFTY Index in September.


IndusInd Bank (IIB IN): Stock Crashes on Derivatives Losses; Index Selling Next

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>IndusInd Bank recently disclosed a significant accounting discrepancy in its derivatives portfolio, estimated to impact its net worth by INR 1,580 crore (~2.35%). </li>
<li>The issue pertains to internal trades executed over the past 7–8 years, now identified through a detailed internal review initiated following regulatory changes.</li>
<li>This development, when viewed alongside the abrupt CFO exit, regulatory pushback on CEO tenure, and existing operational challenges, raises concerns around internal controls, risk governance, and management credibility.</li>
</ul>


IndusInd Bank recently disclosed a significant accounting discrepancy in its derivatives portfolio, estimated to impact its net worth by INR 1,580 crore (~2.35%). 
The issue pertains to internal trades executed over the past 7–8 years, now identified through a detailed internal review initiated following regulatory changes.
This development, when viewed alongside the abrupt CFO exit, regulatory pushback on CEO tenure, and existing operational challenges, raises concerns around internal controls, risk governance, and management credibility.


IndusInd Bank: Derivative Discrepancy Surfaces, Raising Governance Concerns

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>IndusInd Bank (IIB)’s PAT declined 39% YoY/rose 5% QoQ to ~INR14b (in line), as NII and NIM were broadly in line, while provisions continued to remain high.</li><li>NII declined 2.2% QoQ to INR52.3b (in line), while NIM contracted by another 15bp QoQ to 3.93% (in line).</li><li>Loan books grew 12% YoY (2.7% QoQ), led by corporate and commercial books, while the VF business has started showing some improvement with robust disbursements.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

IndusInd Bank (IIB)’s PAT declined 39% YoY/rose 5% QoQ to ~INR14b (in line), as NII and NIM were broadly in line, while provisions continued to remain high.NII declined 2.2% QoQ to INR52.3b (in line), while NIM contracted by another 15bp QoQ to 3.93% (in line).Loan books grew 12% YoY (2.7% QoQ), led by corporate and commercial books, while the VF business has started showing some improvement with robust disbursements.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IndusInd Bank - In-Line Quarter; Near-Term Challenges Persist

India

IndusInd Bank Limited is a Mumbai-based Indian new generation bank established in 1994. The Bank provides a range of banking and financial services including  wholesale banking, credit monitoring, risk management, tele-banking, investment banking and commercial lending. IndusInd Bank operates branches throughout India as well as an office in Dubai and London.

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Indusind Bank (IIB IN)

IndusInd Bank- Never Ending Trouble

Indusind Bank faces more trouble for its accounting and governance practices. Latest announcement reveals excess interest charged worth INR 6.7 bn...

Nitin Mangal

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

With the review period complete, Trent and Bharat Electronics could replace IndusInd Bank and Nestle in the Sensex in June. IndusInd Bank is also a...

Brian Freitas