External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Biogen terminated partnership with InnoCare. On 15 Feb, Biogen terminated the collaboration with InnoCare on orelabrutinib for the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) and other autoimmune diseases.</li><li>The two parties started the collaboration in Jul 2021, and since then, InnoCare has received US$125mn upfront payment, and was eligible to receive up to US$812.5mn milestone payment and future sales royalties according to the original agreement.</li><li>However, due to the current termination, future payment will not happen, while InnoCare doesn’t need to return the upfront payment. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Biogen terminated partnership with InnoCare. On 15 Feb, Biogen terminated the collaboration with InnoCare on orelabrutinib for the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) and other autoimmune diseases.The two parties started the collaboration in Jul 2021, and since then, InnoCare has received US$125mn upfront payment, and was eligible to receive up to US$812.5mn milestone payment and future sales royalties according to the original agreement.However, due to the current termination, future payment will not happen, while InnoCare doesn’t need to return the upfront payment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

InnoCare Pharma (9969 HK) – Breakup with Biogen on Orelabrutinib

<ul><li>InnoCare recorded total revenue of RMB196mn in 3Q22, including RMB183mn sales from orelabrutinib (+64% QoQ, +147 YoY).</li><li>Sales of orelabrutinib during 9M22 reached RMB400mn, representing +129% YoY growth.</li><li>The strong sales growth was mainly driven by the increasing market penetration after NRDL inclusion effective since Jan 2022. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

InnoCare recorded total revenue of RMB196mn in 3Q22, including RMB183mn sales from orelabrutinib (+64% QoQ, +147 YoY).Sales of orelabrutinib during 9M22 reached RMB400mn, representing +129% YoY growth.The strong sales growth was mainly driven by the increasing market penetration after NRDL inclusion effective since Jan 2022. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

InnoCare Pharma (9969 HK) – Strong sales of orelabrutinib in 3Q22

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>There’s an “insurmountable obstacle” to license-in business model. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a> has to go all the way to the end. Otherwise, Antengene won't end up well.</li>
<li>Considering the pipeline quality/speed of clinical advancement/high cost of license-in/fierce competition/just APAC rights/limited cash balance, the biggest problem Antengene has to face is how to “survive this winter” .</li>
<li>Theoretically, Antengene is undervalued, so if willing to, investors could do short-term trade. However, due to the concerns, we are still bearish on Antengene’s outlook overall. </li>
</ul>


There’s an “insurmountable obstacle” to license-in business model. Antengene (6996 HK) has to go all the way to the end. Otherwise, Antengene won't end up well.
Considering the pipeline quality/speed of clinical advancement/high cost of license-in/fierce competition/just APAC rights/limited cash balance, the biggest problem Antengene has to face is how to “survive this winter” .
Theoretically, Antengene is undervalued, so if willing to, investors could do short-term trade. However, due to the concerns, we are still bearish on Antengene’s outlook overall. 


Antengene (6996.HK) 22H1-Defective Business Model and Uncompetitive Pipeline; Bearish on the Outlook

<ul>
<li>CanSino’s performance declined in 22H1 due to decreased demand of COVID-19 vaccine. Since we have analyzed our concerns on performance in prior insight, there should be psychological expectations for the decline.</li>
<li>The COVID-19 vaccine business brings CanSino rich cash flow and helps it establish commercial team. Together with MCV2/MCV4/mRNA/PCV13i, it's too early to be completely bearish on CanSino.</li>
<li>The market has exaggerated the impact of performance decline of COVID-19 vaccine on CanSino. Although 2022 is a difficult year, it is a good time to bottom fish this stock.</li>
</ul>


CanSino’s performance declined in 22H1 due to decreased demand of COVID-19 vaccine. Since we have analyzed our concerns on performance in prior insight, there should be psychological expectations for the decline.
The COVID-19 vaccine business brings CanSino rich cash flow and helps it establish commercial team. Together with MCV2/MCV4/mRNA/PCV13i, it's too early to be completely bearish on CanSino.
The market has exaggerated the impact of performance decline of COVID-19 vaccine on CanSino. Although 2022 is a difficult year, it is a good time to bottom fish this stock.


CanSino Biologics (6185.HK/688185.CH) 2022H1 - It's Too Early to Be Completely Bearish on CanSino

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>InnoCare recorded total revenue of RMB246.0mn in 1H22, including RMB217.0mn sales from orelabrutinib (+115% YoY).</li><li>The total net loss was RMB445.8mn (vs RMB213.1mn net loss in 1H21), which was affected by RMB160.0mn foreign exchange loss in 1H22.</li><li>The gross profit margin of orelabrutinib sales was 82.8% in 1H22, compared to 90.3% in 1H21 and 89.0% in FY21, with the GMP decrease mainly due to the price cut for NRDL inclusion.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

InnoCare recorded total revenue of RMB246.0mn in 1H22, including RMB217.0mn sales from orelabrutinib (+115% YoY).The total net loss was RMB445.8mn (vs RMB213.1mn net loss in 1H21), which was affected by RMB160.0mn foreign exchange loss in 1H22.The gross profit margin of orelabrutinib sales was 82.8% in 1H22, compared to 90.3% in 1H21 and 89.0% in FY21, with the GMP decrease mainly due to the price cut for NRDL inclusion.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

InnoCare Pharma (9969 HK) – Strong Sales of Orelabrutinib in 1H22

China

InnoCare Pharma Limited researches, develops, manufactures, and distributes pharmaceuticals. The Company produces antibiotic drugs, respiratory drugs, cardiovascular drugs, vitamin tablets, health care drugs, and other related products. InnoCare Pharma markets its products throughout China.

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InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK)

InnoCare Pharma (9969 HK) – Breakup with Biogen on Orelabrutinib

On 15 Feb, Biogen terminated the collaboration with InnoCare on orelabrutinib for the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) and other autoimmune...

CMB International

InnoCare Pharma (9969 HK) – Strong sales of orelabrutinib in 3Q22

InnoCare recorded total revenue of RMB196mn in 3Q22, including RMB183mn sales from orelabrutinib (+64% QoQ, +147 YoY). Sales of orelabrutinib...

CMB International

Antengene (6996.HK) 22H1-Defective Business Model and Uncompetitive Pipeline; Bearish on the Outlook

There’s an “insurmountable obstacle” to license-in business model.Antengene has to go all the way to the end. Otherwise, it won't end up well. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CanSino Biologics (6185.HK/688185.CH) 2022H1 - It's Too Early to Be Completely Bearish on CanSino

The market has exaggerated the impact of performance decline of COVID-19 vaccine on CanSino. Although 2022 is a difficult year, considering MCV2...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

InnoCare Pharma (9969 HK) – Strong Sales of Orelabrutinib in 1H22

The total net loss was RMB445.8mn (vs RMB213.1mn net loss in 1H21), which was affected by RMB160.0mn foreign exchange loss in 1H22.

CMB International

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