Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.</li>
<li>Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.</li>
<li>We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.</li>
</ul>


There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.
Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.
We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.


Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elan-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19789:1" rel="noopener">Elan Microelectronics (2458 TT)</a> will be removed from the FTSE Taiwan Mid Cap 100 Index on September 16th. As a result, it could see 12+ days of volume of selling.</li>
<li>We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.</li>
<li>The stock has already underperformed notebook-related peers by a wide margin, hence a further underperformance caused by passive selling could open up a rebound opportunity,</li>
</ul>



Elan Microelectronics (2458 TT) will be removed from the FTSE Taiwan Mid Cap 100 Index on September 16th. As a result, it could see 12+ days of volume of selling.
We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.
The stock has already underperformed notebook-related peers by a wide margin, hence a further underperformance caused by passive selling could open up a rebound opportunity,


Elan Microelectronics Event: Index Removal Selling Could Exacerbate Price Divergence

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally</li>
<li>Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally
Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD714.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,083mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Hon Hai, Umc, Alchip Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD714.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,083mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Hon Hai, Umc, Alchip Tech.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 19th): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Hon Hai

<ul>
<li>Samsung Electronics and Nanya Technology will report their results this week. Samsung could reportedly increase NAND prices this month, giving a potential hint to the memory outlook they will provide.</li>
<li>Hon Hai will begin mass production of its Model C electric car in 4Q23E in Taiwan. This will provide a proof point for Hon Hai's global EV platform business model.</li>
<li>Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Electronics and Nanya Technology will report their results this week. Samsung could reportedly increase NAND prices this month, giving a potential hint to the memory outlook they will provide.
Hon Hai will begin mass production of its Model C electric car in 4Q23E in Taiwan. This will provide a proof point for Hon Hai's global EV platform business model.
Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung & Nanya Earnings; AI Names Rebound Again

Taiwan

Innolux Corporation manufactures TFT-LCD, LCD models and LCD monitors. The company also provides research, development, manufacturing and retails business.

Innolux Corp (3481 TT)

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics Event: Index Removal Selling Could Exacerbate Price Divergence

We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

Strong rebound after CNY with TSMC leading the gains. Nvidia results and key Taiwan companies reporting in the upcoming week. High spreads have...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 19th): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Hon Hai

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Elec, Global...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung & Nanya Earnings; AI Names Rebound Again

Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.

Vincent Fernando, CFA