Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>On 10 August, Hang Seng Index launched a market consultation on potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> methodology.</li>
<li>If the proposals are approved, there will be 20 stocks added to the index in December creating a lot of flow and impact for the index constituents.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 13.4% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$73.3bn (US$9.3bn), so this could be implemented in a phased manner.</li>
</ul>


On 10 August, Hang Seng Index launched a market consultation on potential changes to the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) methodology.
If the proposals are approved, there will be 20 stocks added to the index in December creating a lot of flow and impact for the index constituents.
One way turnover is estimated at 13.4% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$73.3bn (US$9.3bn), so this could be implemented in a phased manner.


HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

<ul>
<li>On 7 October, Hang Seng announced the conclusions of the market consultation to increase the number of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> constituents from 30 to 50.</li>
<li>While most of the proposals will be implemented as proposed, a liquidity requirement has been tightened, and revenue thresholds have been imposed for companies qualifying through the Sales Growth Stream.</li>
<li>The changes will be implemented in a single step at the December rebalance and that creates a lot of flow for all the index members, current and new.</li>
</ul>


On 7 October, Hang Seng announced the conclusions of the market consultation to increase the number of Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) constituents from 30 to 50.
While most of the proposals will be implemented as proposed, a liquidity requirement has been tightened, and revenue thresholds have been imposed for companies qualifying through the Sales Growth Stream.
The changes will be implemented in a single step at the December rebalance and that creates a lot of flow for all the index members, current and new.


HSTECH Index: Market Consultation Conclusions, Updated Potential Adds & The Borderline Names

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The market consultation results have been announced. All proposed changes will be adopted in full with two additional requirements to avoid low-liquidity and low-revenue names.</li>
<li>We expect 20 ADDs and no DELs in December 2026. We estimate one-way flow of around US$4bn with 11 expected ADDs having more than 3x ADV to buy.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The market consultation results have been announced. All proposed changes will be adopted in full with two additional requirements to avoid low-liquidity and low-revenue names.
We expect 20 ADDs and no DELs in December 2026. We estimate one-way flow of around US$4bn with 11 expected ADDs having more than 3x ADV to buy.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec26: New Rules Confirmed with Some Modifications; Latest Expectations

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AI investment has shifted to infrastructure buildout, where growth is driven by rising content per server rather than unit volumes, supporting more stable system-level demand.</li>
<li>Value is concentrated at the server board level, with interconnect offering standardised, architecture-linked exposure, while PCB provides direct but execution-dependent leverage to system complexity.</li>
<li>Earnings visibility depends on alignment between hyperscaler capex and order momentum; divergence signals a shift from expansion to a more volatile digestion phase.</li>
</ul>


AI investment has shifted to infrastructure buildout, where growth is driven by rising content per server rather than unit volumes, supporting more stable system-level demand.
Value is concentrated at the server board level, with interconnect offering standardised, architecture-linked exposure, while PCB provides direct but execution-dependent leverage to system complexity.
Earnings visibility depends on alignment between hyperscaler capex and order momentum; divergence signals a shift from expansion to a more volatile digestion phase.


AI Infrastructure: Value Shifts to the Server Board Level

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>HSIL adopted all six proposed HS TECH changes, five unchanged and one with modifications, and the new rules take effect on 7 Dec 2026.</li>
<li>Selection by market value and sales growth was adopted with modifications, adding a turnover floor for non-constituents and a minimum sales test for sales growth candidates.</li>
<li>The velocity test, innovation screening, weighting, caps and quarterly review are retained from the current rules.</li>
</ul>


HSIL adopted all six proposed HS TECH changes, five unchanged and one with modifications, and the new rules take effect on 7 Dec 2026.
Selection by market value and sales growth was adopted with modifications, adding a turnover floor for non-constituents and a minimum sales test for sales growth candidates.
The velocity test, innovation screening, weighting, caps and quarterly review are retained from the current rules.


HS TECH Consultation Conclusions: Retained and Refined Rules

Hong Kong

Innoscience is the largest 8-inch Integrated Device Manufacture (IDM) fully focused on GaN technology in the world.

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InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK)

HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

Following a market consult, there could be 20 adds for the index in Dec leading to a one-way turnover of 13.4% and a round-trip trade of US$9.3bn....

Brian Freitas

HSTECH Index: Market Consultation Conclusions, Updated Potential Adds & The Borderline Names

Introduction/tightening of revenue/liquidity criteria changes the list of potential adds. Estimated one-way turnover at the Dec rebalance is 14.2%...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec26: New Rules Confirmed with Some Modifications; Latest Expectations

There could be more than 5x ADV to buy for the top 5 expected ADDs. Many other names have more than 1x ADV to trade. The flow expectations can...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

AI Infrastructure: Value Shifts to the Server Board Level

Re-sharing as recent AI infrastructure spending and deployment trends continue to reinforce the discussion around where value capture is becoming...

Duncan Chan

HS TECH Consultation Conclusions: Retained and Refined Rules

HSIL adopted all six HS TECH proposals and added two new screens to constituent selection. We set out which rules are retained and which are refined.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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