Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Server related names higher after some big sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI should be a positive for Nidec</li>
<li>Watch for P&amp;C weakness in Japan following losses for peers overnight as Hurricane Milton intensifies as it approaches the Florida coast line</li>
<li>Oil back above $80 will continue to push related names higher; possible refiner pair with 4 days of TPX FFW selling for recent outperformer Idemitsu</li>
</ul>


Server related names higher after some big sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI should be a positive for Nidec
Watch for P&amp;C weakness in Japan following losses for peers overnight as Hurricane Milton intensifies as it approaches the Florida coast line
Oil back above $80 will continue to push related names higher; possible refiner pair with 4 days of TPX FFW selling for recent outperformer Idemitsu


Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

<ul>
<li>Big move higher for oil set to spike the JP oil major Inpex although the refiners have large outstanding short interests and may squeeze</li>
<li>The higher oil price is negative for Japan’s utilities which have yet to restart reactors and are dependent on oil/gas imports to fuel their thermal generation</li>
<li>Details are limited on a potential Seven Bank stake sale by 7&amp;I, but there should be room for upside as shorts continue to cover</li>
</ul>


Big move higher for oil set to spike the JP oil major Inpex although the refiners have large outstanding short interests and may squeeze
The higher oil price is negative for Japan’s utilities which have yet to restart reactors and are dependent on oil/gas imports to fuel their thermal generation
Details are limited on a potential Seven Bank stake sale by 7&amp;I, but there should be room for upside as shorts continue to cover


Japan Morning Connection: Spike in Oil Positive for Inpex and Refiners

<ul>
<li>Profit taking hit tech/semi's as tensions rapidly escalate in the Middle East, causing defense and oil related names to move higher</li>
<li>NEC remains overlooked as a defence play in Japan despite the MoD's growing for budget for electronic warfare and satellite defence capabilities</li>
<li>Renewables in the US are leading the way YTD, although Japan is far behind the curve despite PM Ishiba being a pro wind/solar and hawkish towards nuclear.</li>
</ul>


Profit taking hit tech/semi's as tensions rapidly escalate in the Middle East, causing defense and oil related names to move higher
NEC remains overlooked as a defence play in Japan despite the MoD's growing for budget for electronic warfare and satellite defence capabilities
Renewables in the US are leading the way YTD, although Japan is far behind the curve despite PM Ishiba being a pro wind/solar and hawkish towards nuclear.


Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

<ul>
<li>Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.</li>
<li>Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.</li>
<li>Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.</li>
</ul>


Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.
Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.
Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>
Market: The broader Topix Index ended the week 59 points, or -2.6%,</li>
<li>
Movers: Kusuri No Aoki Holdings shares rose sharply this week after the Japanese drugstore operator's first-quarter profit climbed (+49% yoy)</li>
<li>
Activist Watch: Dalton have also taken significant positions in Rinnai and Nitta</li>
</ul>



Market: The broader Topix Index ended the week 59 points, or -2.6%,

Movers: Kusuri No Aoki Holdings shares rose sharply this week after the Japanese drugstore operator's first-quarter profit climbed (+49% yoy)

Activist Watch: Dalton have also taken significant positions in Rinnai and Nitta


Japan Weekly | Kusuri No Aoki, Inpex, Mit Motors, Rinnai

Japan

INPEX CORPORATION is a holding company established through the reorganization of INPEX Corp and Teikoku Oil.  The Company manages subsidiaries that explores, produces, and sells oil and natural gas.

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Inpex Corp (1605 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Spike in Oil Positive for Inpex and Refiners

Surge in oil may squeeze refiners with short interests. Negative for Japanese utilities yet to restart reactors. Potential upside for Seven Bank as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

Middle East tensions cause defense/oil stocks to rise; NEC undervalued in Japan defense sector; US leads in renewables, Japan lags behind despite...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Weekly | Kusuri No Aoki, Inpex, Mit Motors, Rinnai

Japanese market declines as Topix Index falls 2.6%, while Kusuri No Aoki Holdings sees profit rise and Dalton takes positions in Rinnai and Nitta.

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

​Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Spike in Oil Positive for Inpex and Refiners

Surge in oil may squeeze refiners with short interests. Negative for Japanese utilities yet to restart reactors. Potential upside for Seven Bank as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NEC Overlooked as a Defence Play

Middle East tensions cause defense/oil stocks to rise; NEC undervalued in Japan defense sector; US leads in renewables, Japan lags behind despite...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

​Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Weekly | Kusuri No Aoki, Inpex, Mit Motors, Rinnai

​Japanese market declines as Topix Index falls 2.6%, while Kusuri No Aoki Holdings sees profit rise and Dalton takes positions in Rinnai and Nitta.

Mark Chadwick

Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Japanese market declines as Topix Index falls 2.6%, while Kusuri No Aoki Holdings sees profit rise and Dalton takes positions in Rinnai and Nitta.