Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We first review at  Q1 performance in the major markets we follow</li>
<li>Then our outlook for Q2 with the Iran War outcome the major wild card</li>
<li>Some short-term vs  long term  implications of the ongoing Iran war </li>
</ul>


We first review at  Q1 performance in the major markets we follow
Then our outlook for Q2 with the Iran War outcome the major wild card
Some short-term vs  long term  implications of the ongoing Iran war 


Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yokogawa-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12795:1" rel="noopener">Yokogawa Electric (6841 JP) </a>management has launched several initiatives that have improved operating results and increased the share price. </li>
<li>It counts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saudi-aramco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27317:1" rel="noopener">Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shell-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22108:1" rel="noopener">Shell (SHEL LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bp-plc-sponsored-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27921:1" rel="noopener">BP (BP US)</a> as customers, among others. </li>
<li>As the company ramps up its digital business, its margin will improve even more and will trade closer to parity with its counterparts such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honeywell-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16765:1" rel="noopener">Honeywell International (HON US)</a> .</li>
</ul>



Yokogawa Electric (6841 JP) management has launched several initiatives that have improved operating results and increased the share price. 
It counts Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB) , Shell (SHEL LN) and BP (BP US) as customers, among others. 
As the company ramps up its digital business, its margin will improve even more and will trade closer to parity with its counterparts such as Honeywell International (HON US) .


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Topix fell 0.5% weekly amid broad weakness (62% of large-caps down), though shipping (+10.1%) and mining (+5.8%) sectors surged on crisis benefits</li>
<li>Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions caused oil price spikes to $111+, stoking stagflation fears and economic risks for oil-dependent Japan.</li>
<li>BOJ held rates at 0.75% citing Middle East uncertainties; strong wage hikes continued, but export growth slowed.</li>
</ul>


Topix fell 0.5% weekly amid broad weakness (62% of large-caps down), though shipping (+10.1%) and mining (+5.8%) sectors surged on crisis benefits
Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions caused oil price spikes to $111+, stoking stagflation fears and economic risks for oil-dependent Japan.
BOJ held rates at 0.75% citing Middle East uncertainties; strong wage hikes continued, but export growth slowed.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Strait Chaos Fuels Winners & Losers

<ul>
<li>Leadership globally is rotating to cyclical, materials, and commodity sectors</li>
<li>Japan lacks many pure play companies, so premiums will be commanded</li>
<li>We add a couple of cyclical names to increase Japanese exposure</li>
</ul>


Leadership globally is rotating to cyclical, materials, and commodity sectors
Japan lacks many pure play companies, so premiums will be commanded
We add a couple of cyclical names to increase Japanese exposure


Tactical Trading – Increasing Cyclical Exposure in Japan

Japan

INPEX CORPORATION is a holding company established through the reorganization of INPEX Corp and Teikoku Oil.  The Company manages subsidiaries that explores, produces, and sells oil and natural gas.

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Inpex Corp (1605 JP)

Q2 Outlook – A Tale of Two Regimes

Our outlook for Q2 2026. Separating the short-term noise from our longer-term investment themes. In Part 1 we look at hard assets while we look at...

Rikki Malik

Yokogawa Electric (6841): Catch Up

Yokogawa Electric's management has ramped up its digitalization initiatives that should improve OPM closer to 15% and therefore should see its...

Henry Soediarko

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Japan Strategy Weekly | Strait Chaos Fuels Winners & Losers

Topix index drops as large-caps decline, while shipping and mining sectors benefit from crisis; oil price spikes due to Iran war raise stagflation...

Mark Chadwick

Tactical Trading – Increasing Cyclical Exposure in Japan

Mitsubishi 8058.T rallied 8% yesterday with other potential beneficiaries of the Trump-Takaichi summit. Nikkei link below. Key is the development...

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Q2 Outlook – A Tale of Two Regimes

Our outlook for Q2 2026. Separating the short-term noise from our longer-term investment themes. In Part 1 we look at hard assets while we look at...

Rikki Malik

Yokogawa Electric (6841): Catch Up

Yokogawa Electric's management has ramped up its digitalization initiatives that should improve OPM closer to 15% and therefore should see its...

Henry Soediarko

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Japan Strategy Weekly | Strait Chaos Fuels Winners & Losers

​Topix index drops as large-caps decline, while shipping and mining sectors benefit from crisis; oil price spikes due to Iran war raise stagflation...

Mark Chadwick

Tactical Trading – Increasing Cyclical Exposure in Japan

Mitsubishi 8058.T rallied 8% yesterday with other potential beneficiaries of the Trump-Takaichi summit. Nikkei link below. Key is the development...

Rikki Malik

Topix index drops as large-caps decline, while shipping and mining sectors benefit from crisis; oil price spikes due to Iran war raise stagflation...