Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

Ctt-Correios De Portugal Sa / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Bnode | BIPT signals regulatory relief for Bpost on priority mail • E-commerce & Logistics | early evidence of demand shock for Chinese online platforms • Corporate agenda | week 34 - 38</li></ul>

In this edition: • Bnode | BIPT signals regulatory relief for Bpost on priority mail • E-commerce & Logistics | early evidence of demand shock for Chinese online platforms • Corporate agenda | week 34 - 38

What's News in Amsterdam - 17 August (Bnode |  E-commerce & Logistics | Corporate agenda)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI China ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI), we believe upside remains limited with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), S&amp;P 500, and several European indexes still below major resistance.</li>
<li>We continue to expect rangebound price action in the months ahead on the MSCI ACWI.</li>
<li>And, rangebound price action could very well be the theme for all of 2023 (with resistance at $93 and support at $75-77 on ACWI-US)</li>
</ul>


We remain neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI), we believe upside remains limited with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), S&amp;P 500, and several European indexes still below major resistance.
We continue to expect rangebound price action in the months ahead on the MSCI ACWI.
And, rangebound price action could very well be the theme for all of 2023 (with resistance at $93 and support at $75-77 on ACWI-US)


Hang Seng and MSCI China Bottoming -- Add; Europe Still Leading; Shift From U.S. To Non-U.S.

<ul><li>In this edition: • Philips | increases FY26 adjusted EBITA and FCF outlook reflecting US tariff refund benefit • Basic-Fit | updates FY26 guidance for underlying EBITDA less rent • DHL | DHL eCommerce to strengthen position in the Baltics with Venipak acquisition • E-commerce & Logistics | Shein reports 1Q26 net loss of USD 99m</li></ul>

In this edition: • Philips | increases FY26 adjusted EBITA and FCF outlook reflecting US tariff refund benefit • Basic-Fit | updates FY26 guidance for underlying EBITDA less rent • DHL | DHL eCommerce to strengthen position in the Baltics with Venipak acquisition • E-commerce & Logistics | Shein reports 1Q26 net loss of USD 99m

What's News in Amsterdam - 28 July (Philips | Basic-Fit | DHL | E-com & Logistics)

Oesterreichische Post Ag / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Aalberts | strong acceleration of organic revenue growth in 26Q2 • ABN Amro | Dutch state completes reduction of its stake, now at 20.5% • BE Semiconductor Industries | long-term outlook remains strong, well reflected in its share price • InPost | acceptance period extended until 18 September • RELX Group | continues to accelerate underlying growth and margin expansion • Sligro Food Group | interim dividend and share buyback despite poor 1H26 results • Austrian Post | strengthens its SEE parcel platform with Serbian acquisition</li></ul>

In this edition: • Aalberts | strong acceleration of organic revenue growth in 26Q2 • ABN Amro | Dutch state completes reduction of its stake, now at 20.5% • BE Semiconductor Industries | long-term outlook remains strong, well reflected in its share price • InPost | acceptance period extended until 18 September • RELX Group | continues to accelerate underlying growth and margin expansion • Sligro Food Group | interim dividend and share buyback despite poor 1H26 results • Austrian Post | strengthens its SEE parcel platform with Serbian acquisition

Oesterreichische Post AG - What's News in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | U.S. grocery demand weakens as volume declines outweigh inflation • E-commerce & Logistics | Chinese platforms facing increasing legal & regulatory risks • Corporate Agenda | week 30 - 33</li></ul>

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | U.S. grocery demand weakens as volume declines outweigh inflation • E-commerce & Logistics | Chinese platforms facing increasing legal & regulatory risks • Corporate Agenda | week 30 - 33

What's News in Amsterdam - 20 July (Ahold Delhaize | E-commerce & Logistics | Corporate agenda)

Luxembourg

InPost S.A. is an e-commerce enablement platform. InPost provides delivery services through its network of automated parcel machines, including those in the UK, as well as to-door couriers and fulfillment services to e-commerce merchants.

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InPost (INPST NA)

What's News in Amsterdam - 17 August (Bnode | E-commerce & Logistics | Corporate agenda)

In this edition: • Bnode | BIPT signals regulatory relief for Bpost on priority mail • E-commerce & Logistics | early evidence of demand shock...

The IDEA!

Hang Seng and MSCI China Bottoming -- Add; Europe Still Leading; Shift From U.S. To Non-U.S.

We remain neutral on global equities $ACWI and expect rangebound price action in the months (possibly year) ahead. Specific $ACWI trading range we...

Vermilion Research

What's News in Amsterdam - 28 July (Philips | Basic-Fit | DHL | E-com & Logistics)

In this edition: • Philips | increases FY26 adjusted EBITA and FCF outlook reflecting US tariff refund benefit • Basic-Fit | updates FY26 guidance...

The IDEA!

Oesterreichische Post AG - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Aalberts | strong acceleration of organic revenue growth in 26Q2 • ABN Amro | Dutch state completes reduction of its stake, now...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 20 July (Ahold Delhaize | E-commerce & Logistics | Corporate agenda)

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | U.S. grocery demand weakens as volume declines outweigh inflation • E-commerce & Logistics | Chinese...

The IDEA!

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