HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Beijing municipality has added fertility treatment in its medical insurance program. We analyzed related impact.</li>
<li>If we hope to have more companies entering global TOP50 during “14th Five-Year Plan” period, domestic medical device companies need at least 25% annualized revenue growth to make it happen.</li>
<li>Actually, the national medical insurance doesn't determine market size directly but adjust the “distribution”. There's no need to focus solely on anti-tumor field, but rare diseases and central nervous system diseases.</li>
</ul>


The Beijing municipality has added fertility treatment in its medical insurance program. We analyzed related impact.
If we hope to have more companies entering global TOP50 during “14th Five-Year Plan” period, domestic medical device companies need at least 25% annualized revenue growth to make it happen.
Actually, the national medical insurance doesn't determine market size directly but adjust the “distribution”. There's no need to focus solely on anti-tumor field, but rare diseases and central nervous system diseases.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The newly released education and training policy increased the short-term volatility in healthcare sector, especially those subsectors with high valuation.</li>
<li>Recently, the Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak (the Delta variant) has spread widely in China.</li>
<li>Favorable policies would support the further expansion of anti-HIV drug market in China. </li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs and R&amp;D Center of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jacobio-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29696:1" rel="noopener">Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK)</a>.Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The newly released education and training policy increased the short-term volatility in healthcare sector, especially those subsectors with high valuation.
Recently, the Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak (the Delta variant) has spread widely in China.
Favorable policies would support the further expansion of anti-HIV drug market in China. 
Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs and R&amp;D Center of CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK), Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) and Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK).Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma / Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma (000999 CH)

<ul>
<li>In our view, China's biotech companies have sold their core pipelines/products too early, resulting in the loss of opportunities to gain much greater benefits in the future.</li>
<li>We summarized the impact of tariff policy implemented by the US on China's healthcare industry. Short-term headwinds are inevitable, but in long term, it helps force the industry to upgrade.</li>
<li>After Spring Festival, the acquisition progress of Tasly by CR Sanjiu has significantly accelerated – SASAC/SAMR approvals have been received. It’s possible for the deal to be completed in 25Q1.</li>
</ul>


In our view, China's biotech companies have sold their core pipelines/products too early, resulting in the loss of opportunities to gain much greater benefits in the future.
We summarized the impact of tariff policy implemented by the US on China's healthcare industry. Short-term headwinds are inevitable, but in long term, it helps force the industry to upgrade.
After Spring Festival, the acquisition progress of Tasly by CR Sanjiu has significantly accelerated – SASAC/SAMR approvals have been received. It’s possible for the deal to be completed in 25Q1.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Jiangsu Hoperun Software / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.</li>
<li>There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.
There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Dec 24 Results: ~80% Hit Rate; US$1bn+ One-Way Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>We correctly forecast 4/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.</li>
<li>Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 12.24bn (US$1.69bn).</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the December rebalance.
We correctly forecast 4/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 12.24bn (US$1.69bn).


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.7bn Round-Trip Trade

China

Intco Medical Technology Co.,Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical supplies. The Company produces disposable gloves, wheelchairs, gauzes, electrodes, and other products. Intco Medical Technology markets its products throughout China.

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Intco Medical Technology Lt (300677 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

Assisted reproduction is covered by medical insurance; We analyzed the benchmark of medical device companies' globalization, clarify the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.6)

The insight mainly analyzed increasing short-term volatility in healthcare sector by newly released education policy, Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

China's biotech sells core assets too early, missing out on future benefits. US tariff impacts short-term, but will lead to industry upgrade. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Dec 24 Results: ~80% Hit Rate; US$1bn+ One-Way Flows

We estimate US$851mn and US$191mn one-way flows for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 December 2024 index rebal events respectively.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.7bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. The round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 12.24bn...

Brian Freitas

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China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

Assisted reproduction is covered by medical insurance; We analyzed the benchmark of medical device companies' globalization, clarify the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.6)

The insight mainly analyzed increasing short-term volatility in healthcare sector by newly released education policy, Nanjing COVID-19 outbreak,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

​China's biotech sells core assets too early, missing out on future benefits. US tariff impacts short-term, but will lead to industry upgrade. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Dec 24 Results: ~80% Hit Rate; US$1bn+ One-Way Flows

We estimate US$851mn and US$191mn one-way flows for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 December 2024 index rebal events respectively.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.7bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. The round-trip trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 12.24bn...

Brian Freitas

China's biotech sells core assets too early, missing out on future benefits. US tariff impacts short-term, but will lead to industry upgrade. The...

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1.7bn Round-Trip Trade