Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q224 revenues of $12.8 billion, in line with their updated May outlook, ~flat QoQ and down 1% YoY.</li>
<li>Gross margin (non-GAAP) was 38.7%, down 1.1 points YoY but down a whopping 4.8 points from the April outlook.</li>
<li>Shares tanked &gt;24% in after hours trading. What's really going on at Intel? </li>
</ul>


Q224 revenues of $12.8 billion, in line with their updated May outlook, ~flat QoQ and down 1% YoY.
Gross margin (non-GAAP) was 38.7%, down 1.1 points YoY but down a whopping 4.8 points from the April outlook.
Shares tanked &gt;24% in after hours trading. What's really going on at Intel? 


Intel Q224 Meltdown. Don't Say We Didn't Warn You...

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>We see early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone markets, stable server market (strengths in AI server, stable in non-AI server market), but weaknesses in automotive and industrial.</li>
<li>We expect the PC semi market recovery of more than 10% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and silicon contents increase by adding AI into PC.</li>
<li>We expect the smartphone semi market recovery of 7-8% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and adopting 3nE foundry node. But, Huawei/HiSilicon will take some of the growth.</li>
</ul>


We see early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone markets, stable server market (strengths in AI server, stable in non-AI server market), but weaknesses in automotive and industrial.
We expect the PC semi market recovery of more than 10% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and silicon contents increase by adding AI into PC.
We expect the smartphone semi market recovery of 7-8% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and adopting 3nE foundry node. But, Huawei/HiSilicon will take some of the growth.


First Run of Global Semis' Guidances to Tell Early Signs of Recovery

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Intel's upcoming Meteor Lake family of chips will include a new specific component specifically for running AI processes locally on PCs.</li>
<li>Meteor Lake will enable mass market adoption of AI PCs by providing a platform for developers to create more advanced AI PC applications than are currently possible.</li>
<li>Meteor Lake's launch could start by end-October. Intel's Innovation conference September 19-20th will likely add visibility. Intel's potential supports a Long thesis for Taiwan's PC supply chain.</li>
</ul>


Intel's upcoming Meteor Lake family of chips will include a new specific component specifically for running AI processes locally on PCs.
Meteor Lake will enable mass market adoption of AI PCs by providing a platform for developers to create more advanced AI PC applications than are currently possible.
Meteor Lake's launch could start by end-October. Intel's Innovation conference September 19-20th will likely add visibility. Intel's potential supports a Long thesis for Taiwan's PC supply chain.


Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul>
<li>Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.</li>
<li>Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.</li>
<li>The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.</li>
</ul>


Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.
Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.
The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.


VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Intel has reached an agreement with the U.S. government, under which Washington will invest $8.9bn for a 9.9% equity stake in the company.  </li>
<li>Intel benefits from the optics of government backing, which could help sentiment and prevent downside pressure on the stock in the short term, i.e. near-term optics positive, fundamentals unchanged. </li>
<li>TSMC’s Japan and Germany fabs were structured through co-investments and partnerships, with equity involvement only when tied to technology access (e.g., Sony CMOS JV). </li>
</ul>


Intel has reached an agreement with the U.S. government, under which Washington will invest $8.9bn for a 9.9% equity stake in the company.  
Intel benefits from the optics of government backing, which could help sentiment and prevent downside pressure on the stock in the short term, i.e. near-term optics positive, fundamentals unchanged. 
TSMC’s Japan and Germany fabs were structured through co-investments and partnerships, with equity involvement only when tied to technology access (e.g., Sony CMOS JV). 


Intel (INTC.US): Intel–U.S. Government Equity Deal: Implications and Industry Perspective

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

Intel Q224 Meltdown. Don't Say We Didn't Warn You...

Q224 revenues $12.8 billion, in line, ~flat QoQ & down 1% YoY. GM of 38.7%, -1.1 points YoY but 4.8 points below forecast. >15% of workforce cut...

William Keating

First Run of Global Semis' Guidances to Tell Early Signs of Recovery

After the first Run of global semis' guidance, it tells early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone but weaknesses in automotive and industrial,...

Andrew Lu

Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Intel's Meteor Lake chip family will enable mass adoption of AI PCs and the company could become widely admired by the market again. This also...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be BSPDN. Intel announces its PowerVia technology, and scaling the backside is the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Intel (INTC.US): Intel–U.S. Government Equity Deal: Implications and Industry Perspective

U.S. government invests $8.9bn in Intel for 9.9% stake, boosting company sentiment and stock value in the short term- near-term optics positive,...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Intel Q224 Meltdown. Don't Say We Didn't Warn You...

Q224 revenues $12.8 billion, in line, ~flat QoQ & down 1% YoY. GM of 38.7%, -1.1 points YoY but 4.8 points below forecast. >15% of workforce cut...

William Keating

First Run of Global Semis' Guidances to Tell Early Signs of Recovery

After the first Run of global semis' guidance, it tells early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone but weaknesses in automotive and industrial,...

Andrew Lu

Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Intel's Meteor Lake chip family will enable mass adoption of AI PCs and the company could become widely admired by the market again. This also...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be BSPDN. Intel announces its PowerVia technology, and scaling the backside is the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Intel (INTC.US): Intel–U.S. Government Equity Deal: Implications and Industry Perspective

​U.S. government invests $8.9bn in Intel for 9.9% stake, boosting company sentiment and stock value in the short term- near-term optics positive,...

Patrick Liao

U.S. government invests $8.9bn in Intel for 9.9% stake, boosting company sentiment and stock value in the short term- near-term optics positive,...