AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel hired Tan specifically for his deep ecosystem ties. Demanding he wield that influence while having zero financial footprint in the industry is a naive contradiction.</li>
<li>The Rivos bidding war was a tactical masterclass that established a valuation floor and forced a competitor to pay a premium.</li>
<li>While the media frets over portfolio disclosures, Tan has doubled the stock and secured billions in capital in a market otherwise built on circular debt bubbles.</li>
</ul>


Intel hired Tan specifically for his deep ecosystem ties. Demanding he wield that influence while having zero financial footprint in the industry is a naive contradiction.
The Rivos bidding war was a tactical masterclass that established a valuation floor and forced a competitor to pay a premium.
While the media frets over portfolio disclosures, Tan has doubled the stock and secured billions in capital in a market otherwise built on circular debt bubbles.


CEO With Muddy Boots: Why Intel Needs Lip-Bu Tan’s Baggage

<ul>
<li>Intel's supply constraints aren't manufacturing issues; three independent demand drivers have converged simultaneously, something which the firm seemed to have under-modelled.  </li>
<li>Hyperscalers are abandoning their flexible procurement model to secure multi-year CPU commitments for the first time, indicating structural demand shifts rather than temporary spikes.</li>
<li>Even TSMC-manufactured Intel products are sold out, proving this is demand-driven across both internal and outsourced capacity.</li>
</ul>


Intel's supply constraints aren't manufacturing issues; three independent demand drivers have converged simultaneously, something which the firm seemed to have under-modelled.  
Hyperscalers are abandoning their flexible procurement model to secure multi-year CPU commitments for the first time, indicating structural demand shifts rather than temporary spikes.
Even TSMC-manufactured Intel products are sold out, proving this is demand-driven across both internal and outsourced capacity.


The Structural Forces Behind Intel's Supply Squeeze

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> may outsource iPad CPU production to Intel in 2027.</li>
<li>U.S. semiconductor reshoring faces fundamental structural barriers, and Trump is trying to blame this by pushing TSMC to move advanced manufacturing technology to the U.S. </li>
<li>The key variable remains Intel’s 18A execution. However, Intel’s current CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, has not demonstrated an aggressive stance so far.</li>
</ul>



Apple (AAPL US) may outsource iPad CPU production to Intel in 2027.
U.S. semiconductor reshoring faces fundamental structural barriers, and Trump is trying to blame this by pushing TSMC to move advanced manufacturing technology to the U.S. 
The key variable remains Intel’s 18A execution. However, Intel’s current CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, has not demonstrated an aggressive stance so far.


Intel (INTC.US): Apple M-Series in 2027; Intel 18A Is the Key.

<ul>
<li>Multiple industry checks now indicate that Apple is preparing to source its entry-level M-series processors from Intel’s 18A node with EMIB-T packaging as early as 2027.</li>
<li>The revenue impact will be modest, but the signalling value is enormous: Apple does not hand out advanced-node access unless the foundry roadmap is de-risked.</li>
<li>This development aligns directly with the structural shifts we’ve been highlighting; Intel’s packaging-first wedge, foundry credibility, and TSMC’s overcapacity creating space for second-sourcing.</li>
</ul>


Multiple industry checks now indicate that Apple is preparing to source its entry-level M-series processors from Intel’s 18A node with EMIB-T packaging as early as 2027.
The revenue impact will be modest, but the signalling value is enormous: Apple does not hand out advanced-node access unless the foundry roadmap is de-risked.
This development aligns directly with the structural shifts we’ve been highlighting; Intel’s packaging-first wedge, foundry credibility, and TSMC’s overcapacity creating space for second-sourcing.


Apple’s 18A Test Case Is the Inflection Intel Needed

<ul>
<li>DRAM has jumped 172 % YoY and is still climbing; another 30–50 % hike is baked into Q4, wiping out the 4–6 % operating margins most PC OEMs live on.</li>
<li>Intel’s soldered-down LPDDR5X, once hated for killing the lucrative RAM-up-sell, now locks the memory cost inside the processor.</li>
<li>With memory inflation off their books via a safe margin play, OEMs can hold notebook ASPs and guidance</li>
</ul>


DRAM has jumped 172 % YoY and is still climbing; another 30–50 % hike is baked into Q4, wiping out the 4–6 % operating margins most PC OEMs live on.
Intel’s soldered-down LPDDR5X, once hated for killing the lucrative RAM-up-sell, now locks the memory cost inside the processor.
With memory inflation off their books via a safe margin play, OEMs can hold notebook ASPs and guidance


How 172% DRAM Spikes Turn Intel’s ‘Worst’ Feature Into Its Best Asset

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Intel Corp (INTC US)

CEO With Muddy Boots: Why Intel Needs Lip-Bu Tan’s Baggage

Intel hired Lip-Bu Tan for his industry connections, but expecting him to use them without financial involvement is naive.

Mint Finance

The Structural Forces Behind Intel's Supply Squeeze

Intel is facing supply constraints due to three simultaneous demand drivers, including hyperscalers securing multi-year CPU commitments, leading...

Mint Finance

Intel (INTC.US): Apple M-Series in 2027; Intel 18A Is the Key.

Apple may outsource iPad CPU production to Intel in 2027, while U.S. semiconductor reshoring faces barriers. Intel's 18A execution is the key...

Patrick Liao

Apple’s 18A Test Case Is the Inflection Intel Needed

Apple sourcing entry-level M-series processors from Intel's 18A node signals a shift in the industry landscape towards Intel's packaging-first...

Mint Finance

How 172% DRAM Spikes Turn Intel’s ‘Worst’ Feature Into Its Best Asset

DRAM prices have surged 172% YoY, impacting PC OEMs' operating margins. Intel's LPDDR5X now includes memory cost, allowing OEMs to maintain...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CEO With Muddy Boots: Why Intel Needs Lip-Bu Tan’s Baggage

​Intel hired Lip-Bu Tan for his industry connections, but expecting him to use them without financial involvement is naive.

Mint Finance

The Structural Forces Behind Intel's Supply Squeeze

​Intel is facing supply constraints due to three simultaneous demand drivers, including hyperscalers securing multi-year CPU commitments, leading...

Mint Finance

Intel (INTC.US): Apple M-Series in 2027; Intel 18A Is the Key.

​Apple may outsource iPad CPU production to Intel in 2027, while U.S. semiconductor reshoring faces barriers. Intel's 18A execution is the key...

Patrick Liao

Apple’s 18A Test Case Is the Inflection Intel Needed

​Apple sourcing entry-level M-series processors from Intel's 18A node signals a shift in the industry landscape towards Intel's packaging-first...

Mint Finance

How 172% DRAM Spikes Turn Intel’s ‘Worst’ Feature Into Its Best Asset

​DRAM prices have surged 172% YoY, impacting PC OEMs' operating margins. Intel's LPDDR5X now includes memory cost, allowing OEMs to maintain...

Mint Finance

Intel hired Lip-Bu Tan for his industry connections, but expecting him to use them without financial involvement is naive.

Intel is facing supply constraints due to three simultaneous demand drivers, including hyperscalers securing multi-year CPU commitments, leading...

Apple may outsource iPad CPU production to Intel in 2027, while U.S. semiconductor reshoring faces barriers. Intel's 18A execution is the key...

Apple sourcing entry-level M-series processors from Intel's 18A node signals a shift in the industry landscape towards Intel's packaging-first...

DRAM prices have surged 172% YoY, impacting PC OEMs' operating margins. Intel's LPDDR5X now includes memory cost, allowing OEMs to maintain...