Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q323 revenues of $5.8 billion, $100 million above midpoint, up 7.5% QoQ and up 4% YoY. Net income of $299 million, significantly up from $27 million in the second quarter.</li>
<li>Forecasted Q423 revenues of $6.1 billion at the midpoint, up ~5% QoQ</li>
<li>MI300 forecasted to hit &gt; $2 billion in 2024 making it the fastest product ramp to $1 billion in the company's history</li>
</ul>


Q323 revenues of $5.8 billion, $100 million above midpoint, up 7.5% QoQ and up 4% YoY. Net income of $299 million, significantly up from $27 million in the second quarter.
Forecasted Q423 revenues of $6.1 billion at the midpoint, up ~5% QoQ
MI300 forecasted to hit &gt; $2 billion in 2024 making it the fastest product ramp to $1 billion in the company's history


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KKR raised around US$730m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric's (6525 JP)</a> (KE) Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and looked at valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


KKR raised around US$730m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric's (6525 JP) (KE) Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and looked at valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Kokusai Electric IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Now for the Real Test

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>This week will see a wave of earnings releases for the industry including Intel, Microsofot, Mediatek, ASE, and UMC.</li>
<li>TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and mobile.</li>
<li>Taiwan AI names were some of the top losers across our Taiwan Tech universe last week.</li>
</ul>


This week will see a wave of earnings releases for the industry including Intel, Microsofot, Mediatek, ASE, and UMC.
TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and mobile.
Taiwan AI names were some of the top losers across our Taiwan Tech universe last week.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch for Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, ASE, UMC Results; AI Names Top Losers

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Q323 revenues of $17.28 billion. In US$ terms, this represented a 10.2% increase QoQ, but still down 14.6% YoY.</li>
<li>TSMC’s forecasted Q423 revenues of $19.2 billion at the midpoint, representing a 10% QoQ increase</li>
<li>CEO C.C Wei robustly rebuffed Intel's popular claim to be on track for process technology leadership by 2025</li>
</ul>


Q323 revenues of $17.28 billion. In US$ terms, this represented a 10.2% increase QoQ, but still down 14.6% YoY.
TSMC’s forecasted Q423 revenues of $19.2 billion at the midpoint, representing a 10% QoQ increase
CEO C.C Wei robustly rebuffed Intel's popular claim to be on track for process technology leadership by 2025


TSMC. Robust Defence Of Process Technology Leadership

<ul>
<li>TSMC reported 3Q23 results yesterday -- Gross margin beat expectations and remains near historical highs.</li>
<li>TSMC maintains expectation of a 15-20% earnings CAGR through 2026E. Gross margin guided to remain near all-time highs.</li>
<li>Accumulate TSMC as a Structural Long position -- Undemanding multiple can drive Target Price NT$760 for ~40% Upside.</li>
</ul>


TSMC reported 3Q23 results yesterday -- Gross margin beat expectations and remains near historical highs.
TSMC maintains expectation of a 15-20% earnings CAGR through 2026E. Gross margin guided to remain near all-time highs.
Accumulate TSMC as a Structural Long position -- Undemanding multiple can drive Target Price NT$760 for ~40% Upside.


TSMC Results Highlight PC, Smartphone, Auto Turn-Arounds; Undemanding Valuation Can Drive 40% Upside

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

AMD Q323. MI300 >$2 Billion in 2024

MI300 forecasted to hit > $2 billion in 2024. This will make it the fastest product ramp to $1 billion in the company's history. Wow!

William Keating

Kokusai Electric IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Now for the Real Test

KKR raised around US$730m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric's (6525 JP) (KE) Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch for Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, ASE, UMC Results; AI Names Top Losers

TSMC results last week provided positive color on the 2024E onwards outlook for the company as well as comments regarding a turn around for PC and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. Robust Defence Of Process Technology Leadership

Q323 revenue $17.28 billion, +10.2% QoQ in US$ terms but still down 14.6% YoY. Q423 revenues of $19.2 billion, +10% QoQ. CEO C.C. Wei says his N3P...

William Keating

TSMC Results Highlight PC, Smartphone, Auto Turn-Arounds; Undemanding Valuation Can Drive 40% Upside

TSMC maintained its expectation of a 15-20% earnings CAGR through 2026E. It also reiterated its view that it can maintain its gross margin near all...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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