Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$125-$126 and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The RBI’s March 2025 surveys highlight a balanced recovery, with easing inflation expectations, strong rural sentiment, and sector-specific growth prospects across banking, manufacturing, and services.</li>
<li>With moderate credit growth and consumer confidence improving, sectors like agri-finance, retail, and infrastructure are poised for growth, while inflationary pressures and currency depreciation may impact import-dependent companies.</li>
<li>India's economic recovery is steady, with sector-specific positioning crucial. As rural confidence rises and inflation expectations moderate, growth opportunities are more identifiable, especially in rural finance and manufacturing.</li>
</ul>


The RBI’s March 2025 surveys highlight a balanced recovery, with easing inflation expectations, strong rural sentiment, and sector-specific growth prospects across banking, manufacturing, and services.
With moderate credit growth and consumer confidence improving, sectors like agri-finance, retail, and infrastructure are poised for growth, while inflationary pressures and currency depreciation may impact import-dependent companies.
India's economic recovery is steady, with sector-specific positioning crucial. As rural confidence rises and inflation expectations moderate, growth opportunities are more identifiable, especially in rural finance and manufacturing.


Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.</li>
<li>In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.</li>
<li>This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.
In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.
This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates


Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Knowledge Realty Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/knowledge-realty-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44486:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT IN)</a> raised about US$550m in its India IPO in Aug 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>KRT is India's largest office REIT by gross asset value, owning and operating a portfolio of premium Grade-A office parks leased primarily to multinational tenants across key Indian office markets.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT IN) raised about US$550m in its India IPO in Aug 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
KRT is India's largest office REIT by gross asset value, owning and operating a portfolio of premium Grade-A office parks leased primarily to multinational tenants across key Indian office markets.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Knowledge Realty Trust IPO Lockup Expiry - US$4bn+ Lockup Release

Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

<ul>
<li>We compiled the share price movements of 183 global travel/mobility stocks to uncover general trends and identify rotation and laggard plays   </li>
<li>Tourist countries like Greece, Spain and Turkey did very well. The U.S. also performed well, almost all names closed the year higher except for those with unique problems  </li>
<li>China and anything that is China-focused performed the worst, even companies that delivered great results are not spared and currently trading at cheap valuations </li>
</ul>


We compiled the share price movements of 183 global travel/mobility stocks to uncover general trends and identify rotation and laggard plays   
Tourist countries like Greece, Spain and Turkey did very well. The U.S. also performed well, almost all names closed the year higher except for those with unique problems  
China and anything that is China-focused performed the worst, even companies that delivered great results are not spared and currently trading at cheap valuations 


2023 Winners & Losers: Laggards and Rotation Plays for Global Travel/Mobility Stocks

India

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd. operates IndiGo, India's largest passenger airline by domestic market share, focusing on low fares, punctuality, and a hassle-free travel experience. The company provides air transportation services for passengers and cargo on scheduled flights, along with ancillary services like car rental, airport lounge access, and travel insurance. IndiGo is headquartered in Gurugram, Haryana, India, and was founded in 2004.

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IndiGo (INDIGO IN)

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

RBI Forward-Looking Survey Analysis

RBI surveys show balanced recovery in India, with rural sentiment strong and growth prospects in banking, manufacturing, and services. Sector...

Nimish Maheshwari

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Knowledge Realty Trust IPO Lockup Expiry - US$4bn+ Lockup Release

Blackstone is offering to sell part of its stake in KRT, up to 25.03% for ~INR119.88bn (~US$1.26bn), at a floor price of INR108/unit. The deal...

Akshat Shah

2023 Winners & Losers: Laggards and Rotation Plays for Global Travel/Mobility Stocks

This report provides a quick peek on the best and worst performers in the world of global aviation and the industries that revolve around it. We...

Mo Aziz

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China and Japan Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Remains Weak

China's Shanghai Composite and Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact on global equities $ACWI; U.S....

Vermilion Research

RBI Forward-Looking Survey Analysis

​RBI surveys show balanced recovery in India, with rural sentiment strong and growth prospects in banking, manufacturing, and services. Sector...

Nimish Maheshwari

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Knowledge Realty Trust IPO Lockup Expiry - US$4bn+ Lockup Release

Blackstone is offering to sell part of its stake in KRT, up to 25.03% for ~INR119.88bn (~US$1.26bn), at a floor price of INR108/unit. The deal...

Akshat Shah

2023 Winners & Losers: Laggards and Rotation Plays for Global Travel/Mobility Stocks

This report provides a quick peek on the best and worst performers in the world of global aviation and the industries that revolve around it. We...

Mo Aziz

RBI surveys show balanced recovery in India, with rural sentiment strong and growth prospects in banking, manufacturing, and services. Sector...