CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 317% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 64%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 317% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 64%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 295% versus the MSCI ASEAN's  59%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 295% versus the MSCI ASEAN's  59%


Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.</li>
<li>Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.</li>
<li>Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.</li>
</ul>


Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.
Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.
Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.


Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

<ul>
<li>Most large Asian markets' forward PE multiples are significantly higher than their long-term averages. But their valuations relative to Asia-ex-Japan are mostly at the averages, only Korea's is significantly lower.</li>
<li>HK/China's relative PE is slightly lower than average, Taiwan's is slightly higher. ASEAN markets' relative PE are sharply lower than their averages, but we think most lack rerating catalysts.</li>
<li>We think Korea and Philippines deserve to get rerated. India's relative PE, though at its long-term average, could decline slightly further, to reach its recent bottoms.</li>
</ul>


Most large Asian markets' forward PE multiples are significantly higher than their long-term averages. But their valuations relative to Asia-ex-Japan are mostly at the averages, only Korea's is significantly lower.
HK/China's relative PE is slightly lower than average, Taiwan's is slightly higher. ASEAN markets' relative PE are sharply lower than their averages, but we think most lack rerating catalysts.
We think Korea and Philippines deserve to get rerated. India's relative PE, though at its long-term average, could decline slightly further, to reach its recent bottoms.


Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

Philippines

International Container Terminal Services, Inc. (ICTSI) is a global port management company specializing in acquiring, developing, managing, and operating common-user container ports and terminals worldwide. The company provides a range of services, including container handling, cargo handling, stevedoring, berthing, storage, and services for refrigerated containers. ICTSI is headquartered in Manila, Philippines, and was established in December 1987.

International Container Terminal Services (ICT PM)

International Container Terminal Services

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International Container Terminal Services (ICT PM)

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 54

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 53

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 54

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 53

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

​18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

​Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...