Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gradiant announced a tender offer, buyback, and cancellation of 3,571,428 shares (25% of outstanding shares) at 14,000 won per share (16% higher than current price).</li>
<li>The total amount of this deal is worth 50 billion won. The tender offer period is from 11 November to 5 December. </li>
<li>In our view, this tender offer, buyback, and cancellation of nearly 25% of outstanding shares is a major positive catalyst that should boost its share price. </li>
</ul>


Gradiant announced a tender offer, buyback, and cancellation of 3,571,428 shares (25% of outstanding shares) at 14,000 won per share (16% higher than current price).
The total amount of this deal is worth 50 billion won. The tender offer period is from 11 November to 5 December. 
In our view, this tender offer, buyback, and cancellation of nearly 25% of outstanding shares is a major positive catalyst that should boost its share price. 


Gradiant - Tender Offer, Buyback, and Cancellation of 25% of Outstanding Shares

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Global semiconductor sales saw a 40% rise in Americas in July, with Acer hitting record highs in India and Indonesia.</li><li>Foxconn is reviewing a European semiconductor plant and investing in technology, as SEMI CEO calls for 10-20 wafer fabs in India.</li><li>Semiconductor giants reveal sustainability plans at Semicon Taiwan 2024, while ASE forms SiPhIA consortium for advancements in silicon photonics. UK auto industry embraces net-zero amid EV revolution, and China's leading AI chip unicorn faces revenue decline despite sector growth.</li></ul>

Global semiconductor sales saw a 40% rise in Americas in July, with Acer hitting record highs in India and Indonesia.Foxconn is reviewing a European semiconductor plant and investing in technology, as SEMI CEO calls for 10-20 wafer fabs in India.Semiconductor giants reveal sustainability plans at Semicon Taiwan 2024, while ASE forms SiPhIA consortium for advancements in silicon photonics. UK auto industry embraces net-zero amid EV revolution, and China's leading AI chip unicorn faces revenue decline despite sector growth.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Sep-2024): Global semiconductor sales up in July; Americas surge 40%

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sillajen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22838:1" rel="noopener">SillaJen Inc (215600 KS)</a> is the biggest one.</li>
<li>The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of SillaJen Inc (215600 KS) is the biggest one.
The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.
The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

South Korea

Gradiant Corporation operates as a electronic commerce retail company. The Company provides smart shopping, books, travel, performance planning and production, ticket reservation and sales agency, and other related services. Gradiant markets its products worldwide.

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Gradiant (035080 KS)

Gradiant - Tender Offer, Buyback, and Cancellation of 25% of Outstanding Shares

Gradiant announced a tender offer, buyback, and cancellation of 3,571,428 shares (25% of outstanding shares) at 14,000 won per share (16% higher...

Douglas Kim

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Sep-2024): Global semiconductor sales up in July; Americas surge 40%

Global semiconductor sales up, Acer hits record highs in India/Indonesia, Foxconn eyeing Europe plant, SEMI CEO pushes for fabs in India, giants...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

There are 11 changes at the Dec rebal: mostly in line with forecasts. SillaJen is a surprise add; Devsisters is a surprise delete. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

There could be 11 changes at the Dec rebalance. Most changes are high probability and will result in a big churn in the IT & Healthcare sectors....

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

There could be 10 changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

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