Inventory-Driven Positive US Growth Surprise Is a Chimera
The advance estimate of US real GDP for 1Q 2019 (reported before export and import data for March are available) showed a surprisingly strong...
625 Views
Seismic Shift in Fed's View Driven by Anaemic M2, Implying US$-Weakness and an EM-Positive Year
Fed chairman Jay Powell's extraordinary flip-flops over the past 3 months have left his communication strategy in tatters (unsurprising, given that...
742 Views
House Loss Is a Mild Setback for Trump; Yield Curve Likely to Flatten as Fiscal Challenges Emerge
The US has returned to divided government, after two years in which the Republicans controlled all branches of government. The Republican majority...
589 Views
Direct Selling Sector Analysis: Currency Exchange Moves to Headwind in 3Q
After 4 quarters of largely favorable currency comparisons for the Direct Selling companies we follow, Avon Products (AVP US), Herbalife Ltd (HLF...
597 Views
'Quantitative Squeezing': Prospects for Global Liquidity in 2018
We conclude five points about Global Liquidity in 2018: Global Liquidity will expand by around US$5 trillion net in 2018. This is stilla positive...
431 Views