Concise Playbook for the Week, Global Markets Playbook

Kevin George

Concise Playbook for the Week

Global Markets Playbook

I am an active trader in stocks, FX and commodities with over 15 years' market experience. I hold a master's degree in finance and have developed a strong skill base in technical analysis. 

Alongside technical setups I will provide earnings analysis, company valuation analysis and macroeconomic studies for the key market releases.

Equity Bottom-Up

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 'end of the dollar' has been nigh since 2005.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar will be the last to go crash, says CNN.com's John Sutter.com.com/Doom merchants are back.</li>
<li>The end of thedollar has been in place since 2005, says Sutter.</li>
</ul>


The 'end of the dollar' has been nigh since 2005.
The U.S. dollar will be the last to go crash, says CNN.com's John Sutter.com.com/Doom merchants are back.
The end of thedollar has been in place since 2005, says Sutter.


U.S. Dollar Outlook: Remembering The Jay-Z Hip Euro Top

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

<ul><li>Equity investors in countries with overvalued currencies have two ways to lose and those with undervalued currencies have two ways to win.</li><li>Today’s strong USD looks, in the end, to be our currency and our problem.</li><li>Keep an eye out for dangerously destructive economic policies, but don’t use that as an excuse to avoid the asset class entirely.</li><li>The yen and euro are at their cheapest levels in decades and hedging emerging market equities would be an expensive proposition even if the currencies weren’t generally cheap versus the USD.</li></ul>

Equity investors in countries with overvalued currencies have two ways to lose and those with undervalued currencies have two ways to win.Today’s strong USD looks, in the end, to be our currency and our problem.Keep an eye out for dangerously destructive economic policies, but don’t use that as an excuse to avoid the asset class entirely.The yen and euro are at their cheapest levels in decades and hedging emerging market equities would be an expensive proposition even if the currencies weren’t generally cheap versus the USD.

Managing Director, MTS Research

Peter Beuttell

Managing Director

MTS Research

MTS Research Limited is an independent investment research company specialising in technical analysis. 

MTS Research provides technical analysis services in the form of regular publications and consultancy advice, catering for a number of different investment approaches from absolute or relative returns to long-only and long/short.  The company has a global client base of blue-chip financial institutions ranging in size and stretching from Los Angeles to Tokyo, via New York, London, Frankfurt and Hong Kong.  

MTS was founded in 1989 at the request of Morgan Grenfell Investment Services Limited (MGIS), the ERISA arm of Morgan Grenfell Asset Management (subsequently Deutsche Asset Management), by Peter Beuttell, a Portfolio Manager at MGIS between 1987 and 1989. 

Peter is a qualified Chartered Accountant and self-taught market technician with over 30 years experience.  At MGIS, Peter managed money in European, Australasian and Far East markets for US clients, such as American Airlines and American Petrofina.  He achieved first quartile perfomance on their behalf by blending fundamental and technical analysis in his investment decision-making.  

After an initial focus on the EAFE markets (Europe, Australasia and Far East), the company has recently expanded its coverage to include the Americas, thanks to the recently-completed two-year Knowledge Transfer Partnership with the University of Plymouth.  The resulting software – the Technical Overlay Program (TOP) – allows fund managers to access an immediate Technical view on any market, sector, stock, bond yield, currency or commodity within their selected universe.

MTS Research consists of a team of five based in Penzance and London. 

Technical Analysis

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul / Technical Analysis

DXY is ending a 5-wave rally off the February low.  For clearer completion, we need to see a smaller 5-waver up from the 14th June low finish off properly, and in doing so it should make targets at 95.87-97.52.  A 3-5 point correction should follow, and bearish divergence is forming in the weekly and daily indicators to confirm that risk.However, if we are left with a clear 5-waver of about 8 points up from 88, it would suggest at least one more rally leg to come, possibly two.  If the latter…

DXY is ending a 5-wave rally off the February low.  For clearer completion, we need to see a smaller 5-waver up from the 14th June low finish off properly, and in doing so it should make targets at 95.87-97.52.  A 3-5 point correction should follow, and bearish divergence is forming in the weekly and daily indicators to confirm that risk.However, if we are left with a clear 5-waver of about 8 points up from 88, it would suggest at least one more rally leg to come, possibly two.  If the latter…

US Dollar:  Rally from February Is in Its Later Stages

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix</a> 13:51 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/573/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1477795990" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15573"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Touted trimming at 99+ in currencies that look extended (TRY, SGD for example). Euro held 1.08 which puts pressure on the DXY and the dollar in a broader sense. How the Euro reacts early this week is key for the DXY bias. This is the part of the topping cycle that gets tricky with risk we fade below ideal resistance. We may very well…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix 13:51 min.FX webcastDXY – Touted trimming at 99+ in currencies that look extended (TRY, SGD for example). Euro held 1.08 which puts pressure on the DXY and the dollar in a broader sense. How the Euro reacts early this week is key for the DXY bias. This is the part of the topping cycle that gets tricky with risk we fade below ideal resistance. We may very well…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 23 October 2016DXY 99.50To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1477273790372000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHR6xvNfhECLWKkeL1ePS7EfTKOzA">http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm</a> 11:47 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/155/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1477187467" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15155"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY 98.50 target met and surpassed. Pattern resistance is rising toward the 99+ area and with time would edge toward the macro 100 barrier. Fresh support comes in at recent congestion low at 98.10. Above 99 we will start locking in gains in a number of EM currencies. We are watching the Euro 1.08 level and DXY 99+ to fine tune a top. A Euro break below 1.08…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 23 October 2016DXY 99.50To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm 11:47 min.FX webcastDXY 98.50 target met and surpassed. Pattern resistance is rising toward the 99+ area and with time would edge toward the macro 100 barrier. Fresh support comes in at recent congestion low at 98.10. Above 99 we will start locking in gains in a number of EM currencies. We are watching the Euro 1.08 level and DXY 99+ to fine tune a top. A Euro break below 1.08…

United States

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The Fund seeks to follow the Deutsche Bank Long USD Currency Portfolio Index which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of the six major world currencies - the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona & Swiss franc.

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Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul (UUP US)

U.S. Dollar Outlook: Remembering The Jay-Z Hip Euro Top

The 'end of the dollar' has been nigh since 2005. The U.S. dollar will be the last to go crash, says CNN.com's John Sutter.com.com/Doom merchants...

Kevin George

GMO Q2 2022 Quarterly Letter

Equity investors in countries with overvalued currencies have two ways to lose and those with undervalued currencies have two ways to win. Today’s...

Fund Newsletters

US Dollar: Rally from February Is in Its Later Stages

DXY is ending a 5-wave rally off the February low. For clearer completion, we need to see a smaller 5-waver up from the 14th June low finish off...

Peter Beuttell

US Dollar Topping Process

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix 13:51 min.DXY –...

Thomas Schroeder

Fine Tuning DXY Top Zone

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 23 October 2016DXY 99.50To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm 11:47 min.DXY 98.50 target...

Thomas Schroeder

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