Deciphering real estate markets globally., Rems Advisors

TAN Kok Keong

Deciphering real estate markets globally.

Rems Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>A key issue facing many Government across the globe is how to keep home affordable while maintaining an environment attractive for foreign investments.  This issue runs deep whether you are in developed countries like United Kingdom, Australia, Singapore or emerging markets like Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam, etc.</p><p>The huge disparity in prices of luxury homes vs what middle to lower income groups can afford has been largely caused by the relative strong purchasing powers of foreign participants in…</p>

A key issue facing many Government across the globe is how to keep home affordable while maintaining an environment attractive for foreign investments.  This issue runs deep whether you are in developed countries like United Kingdom, Australia, Singapore or emerging markets like Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam, etc.The huge disparity in prices of luxury homes vs what middle to lower income groups can afford has been largely caused by the relative strong purchasing powers of foreign participants in…

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A new market consultation could increase the number of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22913:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX)</a> constituent stocks from 30 to 50 and introduce capping for the largest stocks.</li>
<li>The change could take place in December 2026 or June 2027 and changing liquidity patterns will affect the final list of additions to the index.</li>
<li>There will be 20 inclusions to the index and there will be a big reduction in the weight of the Financials sector with Real Estate being the biggest winner.</li>
</ul>


A new market consultation could increase the number of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) (FBMKLCI INDEX) constituent stocks from 30 to 50 and introduce capping for the largest stocks.
The change could take place in December 2026 or June 2027 and changing liquidity patterns will affect the final list of additions to the index.
There will be 20 inclusions to the index and there will be a big reduction in the weight of the Financials sector with Real Estate being the biggest winner.


KLCI Index: Impact of Move from 30 to 50 Stocks

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunway-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11025:1" rel="noopener">Sunway Bhd (SWB MK)</a> released its circular regarding its cash/scrip conditional voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>, valued at RM3.15. The Sunway EGM is on 26 March. </li>
<li>Sunway shareholder approval will be forthcoming. The satisfaction of the 50% minimum acceptance condition, the key risk, is largely a political call which can go either way.</li>
<li>Risk/Reward is favourable. The shares trade marginally above the "true" undisturbed price while the gross spread at last close is 35.2% (23.8% based on Sunway’s last close). </li>
</ul>



Sunway Bhd (SWB MK) released its circular regarding its cash/scrip conditional voluntary offer for Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK), valued at RM3.15. The Sunway EGM is on 26 March. 
Sunway shareholder approval will be forthcoming. The satisfaction of the 50% minimum acceptance condition, the key risk, is largely a political call which can go either way.
Risk/Reward is favourable. The shares trade marginally above the "true" undisturbed price while the gross spread at last close is 35.2% (23.8% based on Sunway’s last close). 


IJM Corp (IJM MK): Risk/Reward as Sunway’s EGM Set for 26 March

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Feb 6th. The aggregated short interest is USD547m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SP Setia, Datasonic, Hong Leong Bank, JCY International, Genting Malaysia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Feb 6th. The aggregated short interest is USD547m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SP Setia, Datasonic, Hong Leong Bank, JCY International, Genting Malaysia.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): SP Setia, Datasonic, Hong Leong Bank, JCY International

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a> disclosed a cash/scrip conditional voluntary offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunway-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11025:1" rel="noopener">Sunway Bhd (SWB MK)</a> valued at RM3.15, a 14.5% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>The offer is unattractive as the terms favour Sunway rather than IJM shareholders. The timing is opportunistic, given Sunway’s relative share-price strength vs. IJM. </li>
<li>The key conditions are Sunway shareholder approval and a 50% minimum acceptance condition. Despite an unattractive offer, both these conditions are low risk. </li>
</ul>



Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK) disclosed a cash/scrip conditional voluntary offer from Sunway Bhd (SWB MK) valued at RM3.15, a 14.5% premium to the last close price. 
The offer is unattractive as the terms favour Sunway rather than IJM shareholders. The timing is opportunistic, given Sunway’s relative share-price strength vs. IJM. 
The key conditions are Sunway shareholder approval and a 50% minimum acceptance condition. Despite an unattractive offer, both these conditions are low risk. 


IJM Corp (IJM MK): Sunway’s Cash/Scrip Conditional Voluntary Offer

Malaysia

IOI Properties Group Berhad operates as an investment holding company, with operations in property development and investment, leisure, and hospitality business in Malaysia and Singapore. The Company develops residential, commercial, and industrial properties and invests in shopping malls, office complexes, and other properties.

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IOI Properties Group (IOIPG MK)

Helping People Own a Home

A key issue facing many Government across the globe is how to keep home affordable while maintaining an environment attractive for foreign...

TAN Kok Keong

KLCI Index: Impact of Move from 30 to 50 Stocks

The number of index constituents could increase to 50 and 10% capping could be introduced. Liquidity will play a big role in determining which 20...

Brian Freitas

IJM Corp (IJM MK): Risk/Reward as Sunway’s EGM Set for 26 March

The satisfaction of the 50% minimum acceptance condition, the key risk, is largely a political call which can go either way. Nevertheless, the risk...

Arun George

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): SP Setia, Datasonic, Hong Leong Bank, JCY International

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SP Setia, Datasonic, Hong Leong Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

IJM Corp (IJM MK): Sunway’s Cash/Scrip Conditional Voluntary Offer

The offer is unattractive as the terms favour Sunway rather than IJM shareholders. However, the offer's key conditions are low-risk.

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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