Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Generative AI (GAI) helps capex, no doubt. But key question is whether capex can yield to revenue and profits;</li>
<li>Content creation industry is sure to realize revenue and profits. iQiyi and NetEase already said so with concreate examples;</li>
<li>Advertising can realize revenue by better matching of ads inventory and perhaps improve inventory utilization.</li>
</ul>


Generative AI (GAI) helps capex, no doubt. But key question is whether capex can yield to revenue and profits;
Content creation industry is sure to realize revenue and profits. iQiyi and NetEase already said so with concreate examples;
Advertising can realize revenue by better matching of ads inventory and perhaps improve inventory utilization.


GAI-Related Numbers and Quotes from C1Q24 Earnings

<ul>
<li>The key takeaway from this earning season on the topic of generative AI (GAI) is that in-house generated content has the greatest potential for cost savings;</li>
<li>Taking a step further, mid-sized video platforms can also use AI to skip the curator layer, similar to Pinduoduo using algorithm to bypass small merchants to connect directly to factories;</li>
<li>We also notice that general media platforms with ample advertising inventories tend to perform better with AI's help, which is why ads of Tencent's advertising performed better than Baidu's.</li>
</ul>


The key takeaway from this earning season on the topic of generative AI (GAI) is that in-house generated content has the greatest potential for cost savings;
Taking a step further, mid-sized video platforms can also use AI to skip the curator layer, similar to Pinduoduo using algorithm to bypass small merchants to connect directly to factories;
We also notice that general media platforms with ample advertising inventories tend to perform better with AI's help, which is why ads of Tencent's advertising performed better than Baidu's.


A Few Generative AI Takeaways From C1Q24 Earnings

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>On February 15, OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities. The evolution speed of AI inspired awe;</li>
<li>We estimate rival equivalent of SORA, delivered over cloud, will appear in 4-6 months of time but on-device version will take years.</li>
<li>We suggest 2C AI applications, especially video, will be the prime beneficiary</li>
</ul>


On February 15, OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities. The evolution speed of AI inspired awe;
We estimate rival equivalent of SORA, delivered over cloud, will appear in 4-6 months of time but on-device version will take years.
We suggest 2C AI applications, especially video, will be the prime beneficiary


[Blue Lotus Technology Sector Update]: LLM Advances Give China and US Both Opportunities

<ul>
<li>US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;</li>
<li>We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.</li>
<li>Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.</li>
</ul>


US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;
We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.
Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

<ul>
<li>We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) </li>
<li>However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;</li>
<li>We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.</li>
</ul>


We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) 
However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;
We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

China

iQIYI, Inc. offers video entertainment services. The Company provides movies, television dramas, variety shows, and other video contents. iQIYI offers services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

iQIYI Inc (IQ US)

A Few Generative AI Takeaways From C1Q24 Earnings

C1Q24 generative AI has made explicit impact on listco earnings. We summarized the observed trends and found China has a great deal of potential to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Technology Sector Update]: LLM Advances Give China and US Both Opportunities

OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities.We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GAI-Related Numbers and Quotes from C1Q24 Earnings

Generative AI (GAI) is already contributing revenues in content creation (game) and ad load optimization (advertising). But the bigger pay off must...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

A Few Generative AI Takeaways From C1Q24 Earnings

C1Q24 generative AI has made explicit impact on listco earnings. We summarized the observed trends and found China has a great deal of potential to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Technology Sector Update]: LLM Advances Give China and US Both Opportunities

OpenAI, Google and Amazon launched respective AI advances in video LLM (SORA), long text (Gemini 1.5), and text-to-speech (BASE) abilities.We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

​US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

​The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...