Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The year has generally speaking been a forecasting challenge for most to say the least, and not a lot of people forecasted the ending that we’re left with, but how does the current price action and massive inflows into both equities and bonds leave us for 2024?</li><li>Sentiment has been EXTREMELY bullish in Q3 and Q4 based on our z-score sentiment model but almost solely built on equity momentum, which is rarely a good sign.</li><li>Both option ratios, credit-spreads and market breadth have turned bearish in Q4, which should leave markets vulnerable after the boost from positive liquidity trends dwindles during Q1 2024.</li></ul>

The year has generally speaking been a forecasting challenge for most to say the least, and not a lot of people forecasted the ending that we’re left with, but how does the current price action and massive inflows into both equities and bonds leave us for 2024?Sentiment has been EXTREMELY bullish in Q3 and Q4 based on our z-score sentiment model but almost solely built on equity momentum, which is rarely a good sign.Both option ratios, credit-spreads and market breadth have turned bearish in Q4, which should leave markets vulnerable after the boost from positive liquidity trends dwindles during Q1 2024.

Positioning Watch – How are markets positioned ahead of a turbulent 2024?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doms-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40059:1" rel="noopener">Doms (DOMS IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$140m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>DOMS is a leading player and brand in India’s stationery and art products market. It designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of products, primarily under its flagship brand ‘DOMS’.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Doms (DOMS IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its India IPO.
DOMS is a leading player and brand in India’s stationery and art products market. It designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of products, primarily under its flagship brand ‘DOMS’.
We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


DOMS Industries IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - Isn't Cheap, Neither Are Its Peers Cheap

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>China continues losing US market share at 1pp+ per year since Mar’18 (when its share was 21.8%); in the year to Sep’23, China’s share of US imports declined to 14%. </li>
<li>US imports have declined YoY in 10 of the past 11 months. Although we expect the US to go into recession this quarter and next, US imports have already troughed.                </li>
<li>Although the US economy will weaken (as PCE is slowed by student-loan repayments, and fiscal pullback begins), US imports should start rebounding in Q1CY24, boosting India and ASEAN, not China. </li>
</ul>


China continues losing US market share at 1pp+ per year since Mar’18 (when its share was 21.8%); in the year to Sep’23, China’s share of US imports declined to 14%. 
US imports have declined YoY in 10 of the past 11 months. Although we expect the US to go into recession this quarter and next, US imports have already troughed.                
Although the US economy will weaken (as PCE is slowed by student-loan repayments, and fiscal pullback begins), US imports should start rebounding in Q1CY24, boosting India and ASEAN, not China. 


US Recession Still Likely but Imports to Rebound Sooner, Benefiting India-ASEAN

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doms-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40059:1" rel="noopener">Doms (DOMS IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$140m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>DOMS is a leading player and brand in India’s stationery and art products market. It designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of products, primarily under its flagship brand ‘DOMS’.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Doms (DOMS IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its upcoming India IPO.
DOMS is a leading player and brand in India’s stationery and art products market. It designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of products, primarily under its flagship brand ‘DOMS’.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.


DOMS Industries Pre-IPO - Strong Earnings Growth but Will Probably Peter Out

Bajaj Finance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a>, one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise up to US$1bn via a QIP.</li>
<li>Bajaj Finance is an NBFC offering auto, consumer and home loans, along with other products as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN), one of India’s largest NBFCs, aims to raise up to US$1bn via a QIP.
Bajaj Finance is an NBFC offering auto, consumer and home loans, along with other products as well.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and recent updates.


Bajaj Finance US$1bn QIP Early Look -Doesn’t Really Need the Raise, All past Deals Have Done Well

India

iShares MSCI India Index ETF is an exchange-traded fund registered in Singapore. The Fund seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, closely correspond to the performance of the MSCI India Index. The Fund invests all or substantially all of its assets in shares comprising the MSCI India Index in substantially the same weightings as constituted in the underlying index.

iShares MSCI India Index ETF (INDIA SP)

Positioning Watch – How are markets positioned ahead of a turbulent 2024?

Hello everyone. We hope you have enjoyed the holiday season and are slowly but surely getting ready for New Years and the new year ahead of you in...

Steno Research

DOMS Industries IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - Isn't Cheap, Neither Are Its Peers Cheap

Doms (DOMS IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its India IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes, in this note we...

Sumeet Singh

US Recession Still Likely but Imports to Rebound Sooner, Benefiting India-ASEAN

US imports fell in 10 of the last 11 months. While PCE and fiscal pullback will push US economy into recession, US imports should rebound from...

Prasenjit K. Basu

DOMS Industries Pre-IPO - Strong Earnings Growth but Will Probably Peter Out

Doms (DOMS IN) is looking to raise around US$140m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at teh company's past performance.

Sumeet Singh

Bajaj Finance US$1bn QIP Early Look -Doesn’t Really Need the Raise, All past Deals Have Done Well

Bajaj Finance QIP is now live with the company looking to raise around US$1bn from investors. The deal is a very well flagged one.

Sumeet Singh