Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Merchandise exports grew 11.9%YoY in Feb'24 (+7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb'24) amid a broad-based rebound in engineering, pharma, chemical, electronic exports. With exports outpacing imports, the merchandise deficit declined 8.2%YoY in Apr'23-Feb'24. </li>
<li>Services exports are robust, with many hitherto-imported services also moving onshore. The services trade surplus widened 20%YoY in Apr'23-Jan'24, likely enabling the FY24 CAD to shrink to 0.6% of GDP.</li>
<li>With goods exports set to accelerate, and crude oil prices relatively tame, we expect the current account to swing to a surplus in CY24 (and +0.5% of GDP in FY25). </li>
</ul>


Merchandise exports grew 11.9%YoY in Feb'24 (+7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb'24) amid a broad-based rebound in engineering, pharma, chemical, electronic exports. With exports outpacing imports, the merchandise deficit declined 8.2%YoY in Apr'23-Feb'24. 
Services exports are robust, with many hitherto-imported services also moving onshore. The services trade surplus widened 20%YoY in Apr'23-Jan'24, likely enabling the FY24 CAD to shrink to 0.6% of GDP.
With goods exports set to accelerate, and crude oil prices relatively tame, we expect the current account to swing to a surplus in CY24 (and +0.5% of GDP in FY25). 


India: Merchandise and Services Both Help Toward a CA Surplus in CY24

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt up.</li><li>Welcome to our weekly Portfolio Watch, where we assess the tradeable themes and discuss our portfolio composition.</li><li>In this revamped version of the series, we will touch upon the developments in our Macro Alpha Portfolio and our Digital Assets Portfolio.</li></ul>

The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt up.Welcome to our weekly Portfolio Watch, where we assess the tradeable themes and discuss our portfolio composition.In this revamped version of the series, we will touch upon the developments in our Macro Alpha Portfolio and our Digital Assets Portfolio.

Portfolio Watch: What if We Add a Rate Cut to This Fire..

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

<ul>
<li>Ironically, the country with the central bank that refuses to tighten extremely loose monetary policy has hit a recession first. Congrats Japan!</li>
<li>Bitcoin has breached the USD 1 billion threshold again. The reason is that US spot ETFs must buy every bitcoin available to meet demand. Investors are extremely hungry for digital gold!</li>
<li>And my bellwether global earnings indicator points to positive earnings growth for the first time in a long time.</li>
</ul>


Ironically, the country with the central bank that refuses to tighten extremely loose monetary policy has hit a recession first. Congrats Japan!
Bitcoin has breached the USD 1 billion threshold again. The reason is that US spot ETFs must buy every bitcoin available to meet demand. Investors are extremely hungry for digital gold!
And my bellwether global earnings indicator points to positive earnings growth for the first time in a long time.


The Weekly Market Monitor – Recession Strikes the Most Accommodative Economy, Bitcoin Shines!

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotel / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apeejay-surrendra-park-hotel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40871:1" rel="noopener">Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotel (PARK IN)</a> (ASPH) plans to raise up to US$111m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.</li>
<li>ASPH ranks as the eighth largest in India in terms of chain affiliated hotel rooms inventory as of Sep 2023, as per Horwath HTL Report.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the past performance and our thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotel (PARK IN) (ASPH) plans to raise up to US$111m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.
ASPH ranks as the eighth largest in India in terms of chain affiliated hotel rooms inventory as of Sep 2023, as per Horwath HTL Report.
In this note, we talk about the past performance and our thoughts on valuations.


Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels IPO - Has Bounced Back Strongly, at a Decent Discount

Reliance Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


India

iShares MSCI India Index ETF is an exchange-traded fund registered in Singapore. The Fund seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, closely correspond to the performance of the MSCI India Index. The Fund invests all or substantially all of its assets in shares comprising the MSCI India Index in substantially the same weightings as constituted in the underlying index.

iShares MSCI India Index ETF (INDIA SP)

India: Merchandise and Services Both Help Toward a CA Surplus in CY24

Goods exports grew 7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb24, leading to a decline in the merchandise deficit. With the services surplus up 20%YoY, a swing to a...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Portfolio Watch: What if We Add a Rate Cut to This Fire..

The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt...

Steno Research

The Weekly Market Monitor – Recession Strikes the Most Accommodative Economy, Bitcoin Shines!

The likelihood that the Bank of Japan will not tighten has risen sharply. So has the price of bitcoin, now worth over USD 1 billion, which is still...

Jeroen Blokland

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels IPO - Has Bounced Back Strongly, at a Decent Discount

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotel (PARK IN) (ASPH) plans to raise up to US$111m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.

Sumeet Singh

India: Merchandise and Services Both Help Toward a CA Surplus in CY24

​Goods exports grew 7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb24, leading to a decline in the merchandise deficit. With the services surplus up 20%YoY, a swing to a...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Portfolio Watch: What if We Add a Rate Cut to This Fire..

The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt...

Steno Research

The Weekly Market Monitor – Recession Strikes the Most Accommodative Economy, Bitcoin Shines!

The likelihood that the Bank of Japan will not tighten has risen sharply. So has the price of bitcoin, now worth over USD 1 billion, which is still...

Jeroen Blokland

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels IPO - Has Bounced Back Strongly, at a Decent Discount

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotel (PARK IN) (ASPH) plans to raise up to US$111m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, following up with India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.

Sumeet Singh

Goods exports grew 7.5%YoY in Jan-Feb24, leading to a decline in the merchandise deficit. With the services surplus up 20%YoY, a swing to a...