Bond market data and technology, BondEvalue

BondEvalue

Bond market data and technology

BondEvalue is a Singapore-based Fintech that specializes in bond market data and technology. The company's information services business offers bond market data on hard-currency corporate & sovereign bonds across Asia, Middle East, Europe and the Americas. The data, which includes bond prices, yields, news and analytics, is offered to end investors via interactive Mobile and Web Apps. Investors can sign up for a free trial of the service either via the company's website (https://bondevalue.com) or by downloading the BondEvalue Mobile App (http://onelink.to/wej7jq). BondEvalue is also developing an electronic bond exchange, BondbloX in Singapore that allows investors to trade bonds electronically in smaller sizes (US$1,000 or equivalent). For more information, visit https://www.bondblox.com/

Bond Market Data and Technology

Credit

S&amp;P rose 1.2% yesterday and Nasdaq was up 0.7%, slightly recovering losses in the prior few days. US 10Y yields had risen ~10bp to 1.70% on Wednesday in the aftermath of the inflation report , but cooled-off yesterday to 1.66%. Headline and Core CPI rose by 4.2% and 3% YoY, significantly above forecasts even after accounting for base effects causing a rout in equities. Despite the rise in inflation, Fed’s Vice-Chair Richard Clarida played down fears  citing transitory factors. Oil prices dropped 3% as the US pipeline reopened after the cyber attack after paying a $5mn ransom to the hackers. US IG CDS spreads tightened 1.5bp and HY spreads tightened 6.6bp. EU main and crossover spreads tightened 0.4bp and 1.8bp. Asian equity indices have started positive, up over 1% while Asia ex-Japan CDS spreads are 2.8bp wider.

Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; Top Gainers & Losers

Wall Street closed lower on Monday as investors veered away from growth stocks on possible inflation fears. S&amp;P ended 1% lower yesterday after setting a new record on Friday while Nasdaq saw a drop of 2.5%. The drop was on the back of a selloff in tech stocks led by semiconductors companies. Among the losers were Tesla, which dropped 6.4% and Facebook, down 4.2%. Friday’s ransomware cyber-attack continues to paralyze the US’s largest fuel pipeline. US IG CDS spreads were 1.5bp wider and HY widened 4.9bp.  EU main and crossover CDS spreads were flat. Asian equity markets are following the US, off to a negative start, down over 1%. Asia ex-Japan CDS spreads were 0.2bp wider. Asian primary bond markets are at its busiest in over a month with 12 new bond deals today that includes names like Country Garden , Fosun, Studio City  and Vista Land .

12 New Deals Incl. COGARD, Fosun, Studio City; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; ...

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

iShares China CNY Bond UCITS ETF / Equity Bottom-Up

iShares China CNY Bond UCITS ETF (CNYB NA)

<ul>
<li>
Over the first four months of 2021 the Xtrackers FTSE Vietnam Swap UCITS ETF, SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF, SPDR Straits Times Index ETF, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF and Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF were the strongest performers of SGX’s suite of 30 ETFs, averaging 13% total returns.  </li>
<li>
Of the five ETFs that were recipient to the highest net inflows over the four months, three were Fixed Income ETFs:  the ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond ETF, the iShares Barclays USD Asia High Yield Bond Index ETF and the ABF Singapore Bond Index Fund, which saw S$285 million of combined net inflows, 58% of the total net inflows.   </li>
<li>Combined AUM of the 30 ETFs is S$9.2 billion, up from S$5.5 billion 12 months ago. Equity and REIT ETFs have continued to represent 40% of the combined AUM. However, the share of Fixed Income ETF AUM within the total AUM has grown from 34% to 46%, while the share of Gold ETF AUM has declined from 27% to 16%. </li>
</ul>



Over the first four months of 2021 the Xtrackers FTSE Vietnam Swap UCITS ETF, SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF, SPDR Straits Times Index ETF, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF and Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF were the strongest performers of SGX’s suite of 30 ETFs, averaging 13% total returns.   

Of the five ETFs that were recipient to the highest net inflows over the four months, three were Fixed Income ETFs:  the ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond ETF, the iShares Barclays USD Asia High Yield Bond Index ETF and the ABF Singapore Bond Index Fund, which saw S$285 million of combined net inflows, 58% of the total net inflows.    
Combined AUM of the 30 ETFs is S$9.2 billion, up from S$5.5 billion 12 months ago. Equity and REIT ETFs have continued to represent 40% of the combined AUM. However, the share of Fixed Income ETF AUM within the total AUM has grown from 34% to 46%, while the share of Gold ETF AUM has declined from 27% to 16%. 


Equity ETFs Rank as Top YTD Performers, as Bond ETFs Capture Most Inflows 

S&amp;P ended up 0.7%, setting a new record while Nasdaq closed 0.9% higher with tech stocks rallying. US non-farm payrolls (Term of the Day, explained below) for April rose by just 266k vs. a forecast of 978k, and significantly lower to March’s reading of 770k. US 10Y Treasury yields rebounded to 1.59% after hitting a two month low of 1.47%. The 30Y yield also dropped to 2.16%, its lowest since March 1 before recovering to 2.29%. Friday also witnessed a ransomware cyber-attack on the largest fuel pipeline in US. A prolonged shutdown of the pipeline could result in a spike in the gasoline and diesel prices. US IG CDS spreads were 0.9bp tighter and HY tightened 3.3bp. EU main CDS spreads were 0.8bp tighter and crossover spreads tightened 3.2bp. Asian equity markets are off to a positive start, up ~0.5% while Asia ex-Japan CDS spreads were flat. It’s a busy Monday at the Asian primary markets with nine new dollar deals, including ones from Agile, KWG, CIFI, JSW Hydro and Cathay Pacific .

9 New $ Deals Incl. Agile, KWG, CIFI, JSW Hydro; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads...

Financials Credit Analyst

Hank Calenti, CFA

CreditContinuum

Executive Summary: Friday’s jobs report shocker capped off a week which included US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen needing to be Mirandized. This was followed by the Fed stating the obvious in its financial stability report. Unmentioned in this report is that the role of this Fed is no longer to take away the punchbowl, but instead it is the bartender. The week ended with a jobs report that was the biggest miss in nominal terms, ever.The report was at odds with recent PMI surveys in which respondents stated that it was difficult to hire. This may be the result of frictions in hiring as unemployment benefits as well as child-care needs and postponed school re-openings delay employee re-entry. The truth serum for the US economy may occur around September when extended unemployment payments expire.The market impact was an immediate 10 basis point (bp) drop in the 10-year Treasury while the 2-year note even fell 1bp. Prices on the 10-year gave up these gains as the day progressed, but the smart money, that is the bond market, may be correct with the recent dampening of interest rates suggesting a longer time period to a less accommodative Fed.  The US Treasury bond curve ended the week flatter with short-end yields falling by much less than the longer part of the curve.With rates continuing to push credit spreads, Asia- and European-headquartered banks generated negative total returns in all but the lowest duration notes. There was a clear preference for Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond issuance over the past week while over US$11 billion equivalent was raised by financial institutions globally in USD and Euros. In what may have been the busiest AT1 bond issuance weeks of the year, five institutions brought over US$6.5 billion in six securities.Nonetheless, this is a great credit environment and spreads which could go even tighter into year-end. A single piece of data, such as April’s non-farm payroll figure, is unlikely to change investor positioning. It may be a little too early to fade the market as fundamentals catch-up.Next week we will get a record-matching $126 billion slate of Treasury auctions. We may also see a robust serving of corporate and financials debt issuance. US consumer-price data is set to be published on Tuesday, 12 May. A sharp annual acceleration is forecast, although the market is likely to dismiss the figure as resulting from a comparison to depressed levels of a year earlier.With peak Q1 earnings season now behind us, Japanese banks will deliver their year-end results over the next week while several other stragglers pepper the remainder of the month. US banks signaled that they anticipate significantly higher interest rates by raising record breaking amounts in the debt capital markets following their Q1 earnings announcements. Other banks may follow with material debt issuance over the next few weeks after reporting earnings.Market Outlook: The question is whether the over-heating narrative will make a comeback and bring rate and tapering expectations closer. Financial stability risks appear binary from here. Either the Fed is over-accommodative, and it sits on its hands too long while asset bubbles over-inflate so that it gets nasty when it moves, or the Fed gets impatient, and it lowers accommodation unexpectedly which creates a risk off reaction. In both cases, curves flatten in a risk-off environment. We suspect the former is more likely, and for now, the Fed remains the bartender.

Executive Summary: Friday’s jobs report shocker capped off a week which included US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen needing to be Mirandized. This was followed by the Fed stating the obvious in its financial stability report. Unmentioned in this report is that the role of this Fed is no longer to take away the punchbowl, but instead it is the bartender. The week ended with a jobs report that was the biggest miss in nominal terms, ever.The report was at odds with recent PMI surveys in which respondents stated that it was difficult to hire. This may be the result of frictions in hiring as unemployment benefits as well as child-care needs and postponed school re-openings delay employee re-entry. The truth serum for the US economy may occur around September when extended unemployment payments expire.The market impact was an immediate 10 basis point (bp) drop in the 10-year Treasury while the 2-year note even fell 1bp. Prices on the 10-year gave up these gains as the day progressed, but the smart money, that is the bond market, may be correct with the recent dampening of interest rates suggesting a longer time period to a less accommodative Fed.  The US Treasury bond curve ended the week flatter with short-end yields falling by much less than the longer part of the curve.With rates continuing to push credit spreads, Asia- and European-headquartered banks generated negative total returns in all but the lowest duration notes. There was a clear preference for Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond issuance over the past week while over US$11 billion equivalent was raised by financial institutions globally in USD and Euros. In what may have been the busiest AT1 bond issuance weeks of the year, five institutions brought over US$6.5 billion in six securities.Nonetheless, this is a great credit environment and spreads which could go even tighter into year-end. A single piece of data, such as April’s non-farm payroll figure, is unlikely to change investor positioning. It may be a little too early to fade the market as fundamentals catch-up.Next week we will get a record-matching $126 billion slate of Treasury auctions. We may also see a robust serving of corporate and financials debt issuance. US consumer-price data is set to be published on Tuesday, 12 May. A sharp annual acceleration is forecast, although the market is likely to dismiss the figure as resulting from a comparison to depressed levels of a year earlier.With peak Q1 earnings season now behind us, Japanese banks will deliver their year-end results over the next week while several other stragglers pepper the remainder of the month. US banks signaled that they anticipate significantly higher interest rates by raising record breaking amounts in the debt capital markets following their Q1 earnings announcements. Other banks may follow with material debt issuance over the next few weeks after reporting earnings.Market Outlook: The question is whether the over-heating narrative will make a comeback and bring rate and tapering expectations closer. Financial stability risks appear binary from here. Either the Fed is over-accommodative, and it sits on its hands too long while asset bubbles over-inflate so that it gets nasty when it moves, or the Fed gets impatient, and it lowers accommodation unexpectedly which creates a risk off reaction. In both cases, curves flatten in a risk-off environment. We suspect the former is more likely, and for now, the Fed remains the bartender.

Bank Credit Weekly: Jobs Report Shocker Flattens Curves

Singapore

iShares Barclays USD Asia High Yield Bond Index ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in Singapore. The Fund seeks to track the performance of the Bloomberg Barclays Capital USD Asia High Yield Bond Index.

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Asia High Yield Bond Index (AHYG SP)

Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; Top Gainers & Losers

S&P rose 1.2% yesterday and Nasdaq was up 0.7%, slightly recovering losses in the prior few days. US 10Y yields had risen ~10bp to 1.70% on...

BondEvalue

12 New Deals Incl. COGARD, Fosun, Studio City; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; ...

Wall Street closed lower on Monday as investors veered away from growth stocks on possible inflation fears. S&P ended 1% lower yesterday after...

BondEvalue

Equity ETFs Rank as Top YTD Performers, as Bond ETFs Capture Most Inflows

Over the first four months of 2021 the Xtrackers FTSE Vietnam Swap UCITS ETF, SPDR S&P 500 ETF, SPDR Straits Times Index ETF, SPDR Dow Jones...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

9 New $ Deals Incl. Agile, KWG, CIFI, JSW Hydro; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads...

S&P ended up 0.7%, setting a new record while Nasdaq closed 0.9% higher with tech stocks rallying. US non-farm payrolls (Term of the Day,...

BondEvalue

Bank Credit Weekly: Jobs Report Shocker Flattens Curves

Job data raises uncertainty as the Fed continues to act as bartender. Financial stability risks appear binary while rates push credit spreads. Can...

Hank Calenti, CFA

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