Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&amp;P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth.</li><li><p>The purchasing managers’ index and various leading indicators continue to suggest economic deceleration is in store for 2022</p></li><li>Meanwhile, healthcare stocks generally have attractive valuations. They’ve not been piled into by hedge funds or meme traders</li></ul>

Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&amp;P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth.The purchasing managers’ index and various leading indicators continue to suggest economic deceleration is in store for 2022Meanwhile, healthcare stocks generally have attractive valuations. They’ve not been piled into by hedge funds or meme traders

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections. Additionally, 10-year yields in the US and Germany are breaking down below key support. These deteriorating market dynamics raise concerns of a deeper pullback, however other indicators remain largely positive. As a result, we continue to see a mixed, but overall constructive market. Actionable themes highlighted in today's report include Health Care and Real Estate.</p>

The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections. Additionally, 10-year yields in the US and Germany are breaking down below key support. These deteriorating market dynamics raise concerns of a deeper pullback, however other indicators remain largely positive. As a result, we continue to see a mixed, but overall constructive market. Actionable themes highlighted in today's report include Health Care and Real Estate.

Global Equity Strategy: Mixed Market Environment Continues As Yields Break Down

Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

Jacobio Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut - a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,100+ insights shared on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>In this cut, we look at optics as a bottleneck in AI infrastructure, the arguments against Indonesia even with low positioning, and some opportunities within Asian healthcare. </li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut - a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,100+ insights shared on Smartkarma.
In this cut, we look at optics as a bottleneck in AI infrastructure, the arguments against Indonesia even with low positioning, and some opportunities within Asian healthcare. 
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.


Curator's Cut: Seeing the Light in AI, Indonesia at Record Lows & Offbeat Ideas in Asia Healthcare

iShares Global Healthcare ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.</li>
<li>MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
<li>This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe</li>
</ul>


As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.
MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).
This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe


Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

United States

iShares Global Healthcare ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the S&P Global Healthcare Index. The ETF holds global largecap health care stocks. Its investments are focused in pharmaceutical, biotech, and medical device companies; with its largest allocation to the United States. A market capitalization methodology is used for weighting.

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iShares Global Healthcare ETF (IXJ US)

A Healthy Long for Your Portfolio

Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth. The purchasing...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Global Equity Strategy: Mixed Market Environment Continues As Yields Break Down

The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections and 10-year yields in the US and Germany are...

Vermilion Research

Curator's Cut: Seeing the Light in AI, Indonesia at Record Lows & Offbeat Ideas in Asia Healthcare

Discover standout themes in AI infrastructure, Indonesia's challenges, and Asian healthcare opportunities in this Curator's Cut issue. Share your...

Pranav Rao

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A Healthy Long for Your Portfolio

Healthcare stocks tend to do better than the broad S&P 500 in risk-off environments and periods of slowing economic growth. The purchasing...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Global Equity Strategy: Mixed Market Environment Continues As Yields Break Down

The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections and 10-year yields in the US and Germany are...

Vermilion Research

Curator's Cut: Seeing the Light in AI, Indonesia at Record Lows & Offbeat Ideas in Asia Healthcare

​Discover standout themes in AI infrastructure, Indonesia's challenges, and Asian healthcare opportunities in this Curator's Cut issue. Share your...

Pranav Rao

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Discover standout themes in AI infrastructure, Indonesia's challenges, and Asian healthcare opportunities in this Curator's Cut issue. Share your...