Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

Indonesia: Surprising 2Q15 GDP, prudent&nbsp;policy making sorely needed<ul><li>GDP surprised above expectations at 4.67% y/y in 2Q15, down marginally from 4.72% y/y in 1Q15.</li><li>Risks remain as growth drivers continue to be weak, increasing pressure on government spending to bridge the infrastructure gap that is curbing the archipelago's growth potential.&nbsp;</li><li>A lack of consistency in policy making continues to deter investors and could be the downfall of the Indonesian economy.</li></ul>

Indonesia: Surprising 2Q15 GDP, prudent&nbsp;policy making sorely neededGDP surprised above expectations at 4.67% y/y in 2Q15, down marginally from 4.72% y/y in 1Q15.Risks remain as growth drivers continue to be weak, increasing pressure on government spending to bridge the infrastructure gap that is curbing the archipelago's growth potential.&nbsp;A lack of consistency in policy making continues to deter investors and could be the downfall of the Indonesian economy.

Indonesia's outlook marred by commodity prices and currency woes

Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based model<ul><li>China is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively.</li><li>The Philippines is behind the curve and needs to tighten.</li><li>India and Malaysia are ahead of the curve and need not hurry to ease in our view.</li><li>In general, an easing bias is likely in Asian monetary policy.</li></ul>

Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based modelChina is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively.The Philippines is behind the curve and needs to tighten.India and Malaysia are ahead of the curve and need not hurry to ease in our view.In general, an easing bias is likely in Asian monetary policy.

Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut — a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,100+ insights published on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>In this cut, we examine the exodus of capital from Indonesia, a web of corporate actions in the delivery sector, and the structural hurdles to a Glencore/Rio Tinto merger. </li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut — a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,100+ insights published on Smartkarma.
In this cut, we examine the exodus of capital from Indonesia, a web of corporate actions in the delivery sector, and the structural hurdles to a Glencore/Rio Tinto merger. 
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.


Curator's Cut: Indonesia's Outflows, Delivery Deal-Flow, & Rio's Dual-Listed Dilemma

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Central banks globally are making rate decisions, with the Fed holding steady while Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, and the UK announce their decisions today.</li>
<li>Mexico and Canada are central banks to watch, with Fitch forecasting both economies to enter recession in 2025 due to their high US trade exposure.</li>
<li>The US's global reciprocal tariffs, set to be revealed on April 2, have significant implications for the global economy, with the potential to influence central bank policies worldwide.</li>
</ul>


Central banks globally are making rate decisions, with the Fed holding steady while Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, and the UK announce their decisions today.
Mexico and Canada are central banks to watch, with Fitch forecasting both economies to enter recession in 2025 due to their high US trade exposure.
The US's global reciprocal tariffs, set to be revealed on April 2, have significant implications for the global economy, with the potential to influence central bank policies worldwide.


Central Banks Hold Steady Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Pertamina Geothermal Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) is looking to raise around US$500m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which utilizes geothermal energy to produce electricity.</li>
<li>PGE currently manages 13 Geothermal Working Areas with a total capacity of 1,877 MW, of which 672 MW is owned by it, while 1,205 MW is via joint operations.</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the IPO.</li>
</ul>


Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) is looking to raise around US$500m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which utilizes geothermal energy to produce electricity.
PGE currently manages 13 Geothermal Working Areas with a total capacity of 1,877 MW, of which 672 MW is owned by it, while 1,205 MW is via joint operations.
In this note, we take an early look at the IPO.


Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO Early Look- Ticks the ESG Box but Has Missed Its Targets in the Past

Indonesia

iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks investment results that correspond to the performance of the MSCI Indonesia Investable Market Index.

iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF (EIDO US)

Indonesia's outlook marred by commodity prices and currency woes

Indonesia: Surprising 2Q15 GDP, prudent policy making sorely needed GDP surprised above expectations at 4.67% y/y in 2Q15, down marginally from...

Manu Bhaskaran

Asian Monetary Policy Outlook

Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based model China is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively. The...

Manu Bhaskaran

Curator's Cut: Indonesia's Outflows, Delivery Deal-Flow, & Rio's Dual-Listed Dilemma

This Curator's Cut issue highlights the capital exodus from Indonesia, corporate actions in the delivery sector, and the DLC hurdles to Glencore...

Pranav Rao

Central Banks Hold Steady Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Reminder. China Mobile (941 HK) will release 2024 results tonight at 19:00h (HK time) and announce their dividend. Large volume traded yesterday in...

Gaudenz Schneider

Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO Early Look- Ticks the ESG Box but Has Missed Its Targets in the Past

Pertamina Geothermal Energy is looking to raise around US$500m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which...

Sumeet Singh

Indonesia's outlook marred by commodity prices and currency woes

Indonesia: Surprising 2Q15 GDP, prudent policy making sorely needed GDP surprised above expectations at 4.67% y/y in 2Q15, down marginally from...

Manu Bhaskaran

Asian Monetary Policy Outlook

Asian monetary policy outlook: results of our Taylor Rule-based model China is behind the curve and needs to ease more aggressively. The...

Manu Bhaskaran

Curator's Cut: Indonesia's Outflows, Delivery Deal-Flow, & Rio's Dual-Listed Dilemma

This ​Curator's Cut issue highlights the capital exodus from Indonesia, corporate actions in the delivery sector, and the DLC hurdles to Glencore...

Pranav Rao

Central Banks Hold Steady Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Reminder. China Mobile (941 HK) will release 2024 results tonight at 19:00h (HK time) and announce their dividend. Large volume traded yesterday in...

Gaudenz Schneider

Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO Early Look- Ticks the ESG Box but Has Missed Its Targets in the Past

Pertamina Geothermal Energy is looking to raise around US$500m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which...

Sumeet Singh

This Curator's Cut issue highlights the capital exodus from Indonesia, corporate actions in the delivery sector, and the DLC hurdles to Glencore...