Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).</li>
<li>Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold</li>
<li>The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS</li>
</ul>


We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).
Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold
The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS


Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>3SBio will spin-off and separately list the shares of Mandi, a subsidiary of the company. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid, world’s first liquid formulation of IV infliximab.</li>
<li>Hanmi Pharmaceutical is acquiring all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Aptose Biosciences that are not currently owned or controlled by Hanmi.</li>
<li>Otsuka got CHMP positive opinion for donidalorsen for the prevention of recurrent attacks of HAE. CSL plans to expand U.S. presence over the next five years, with ~$1.5B U.S. capex.</li>
</ul>


3SBio will spin-off and separately list the shares of Mandi, a subsidiary of the company. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid, world’s first liquid formulation of IV infliximab.
Hanmi Pharmaceutical is acquiring all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Aptose Biosciences that are not currently owned or controlled by Hanmi.
Otsuka got CHMP positive opinion for donidalorsen for the prevention of recurrent attacks of HAE. CSL plans to expand U.S. presence over the next five years, with ~$1.5B U.S. capex.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 23) – 3SBio, Celltrion, Hanmi Pharm, HK Inno.N, Otsuka, CSL

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Suzhou Ribo Life Science / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Suzhou Ribo Life is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and Citi are the deal sponsors.</li>
<li>While our previous note provides a brief background overview of the company, we look at the updates and competition in this note.</li>
<li>We become more conservative when looking at its competitive landscape.</li>
</ul>


Suzhou Ribo Life is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and Citi are the deal sponsors.
While our previous note provides a brief background overview of the company, we look at the updates and competition in this note.
We become more conservative when looking at its competitive landscape.


Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated

Circle Internet Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.</li>
<li>Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.
Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.


Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ono-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8979:1" rel="noopener">Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP)</a> guided Opdivo revenue in FY26 to be ¥138.5B (Japan: ¥125B, up 4% and Overseas: ¥13.5B, up 3%), up 4% YoY.</li>
<li>Opdivo in combination with Yervoy (from Bristol Myers Squibb) was approved in Europe, US, South Korea, and Japan for the first-line treatment of patients with unresectable or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma.</li>
<li>In FY26, Opdivo’s revenue growth will come from indication expansion but smaller addressable patient population remains a concern for long term.</li>
</ul>



Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP) guided Opdivo revenue in FY26 to be ¥138.5B (Japan: ¥125B, up 4% and Overseas: ¥13.5B, up 3%), up 4% YoY.
Opdivo in combination with Yervoy (from Bristol Myers Squibb) was approved in Europe, US, South Korea, and Japan for the first-line treatment of patients with unresectable or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma.
In FY26, Opdivo’s revenue growth will come from indication expansion but smaller addressable patient population remains a concern for long term.


Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Label Expansion Helps, But Long-Term Growth Momentum Calls for More

United States

Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a biotechnology company. The Company researches in RNA-targeted drug discovery and development that focuses on drugs for patients who have unmet medical needs. Ionis Pharmaceuticals serves customers in the United States.

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Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS US)

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 23) – 3SBio, Celltrion, Hanmi Pharm, HK Inno.N, Otsuka, CSL

3SBio will spin-off and separately list its subsidiary. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid. Hanmi Pharm is acquiring Aptose...

Tina Banerjee

Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated

Suzhou Ribo Life seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing with CICC and Citi as deal sponsors. We note understate of the competitive...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Label Expansion Helps, But Long-Term Growth Momentum Calls for More

Ono Pharmaceutical expects 4% YoY growth in Opdivo revenue for FY26, driven by indication expansion but faces long-term concerns due to smaller...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 23) – 3SBio, Celltrion, Hanmi Pharm, HK Inno.N, Otsuka, CSL

3SBio will spin-off and separately list its subsidiary. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid. Hanmi Pharm is acquiring Aptose...

Tina Banerjee

Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated

​Suzhou Ribo Life seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing with CICC and Citi as deal sponsors. We note understate of the competitive...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Label Expansion Helps, But Long-Term Growth Momentum Calls for More

​Ono Pharmaceutical expects 4% YoY growth in Opdivo revenue for FY26, driven by indication expansion but faces long-term concerns due to smaller...

Tina Banerjee

Suzhou Ribo Life seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing with CICC and Citi as deal sponsors. We note understate of the competitive...

Ono Pharmaceutical expects 4% YoY growth in Opdivo revenue for FY26, driven by indication expansion but faces long-term concerns due to smaller...