External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ITC’s 3QFY25 results were below our estimates in all categories except agribusiness</li><li>Cigarette volume growth of 5%+ exceeded our estimate of 3%, driven by: a) strong performance in differentiated variants and premium segments, b) sustained volume recovery from the illicit segment, and c) in our view, channel filling ahead of the Union Budget</li><li>Cigarette EBIT margin contracted by 211bps YoY to 60.5% due to a sharp escalation in tobacco prices (up 25-30% YoY), higher trade incentives, and increased competitive intensity.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

ITC’s 3QFY25 results were below our estimates in all categories except agribusinessCigarette volume growth of 5%+ exceeded our estimate of 3%, driven by: a) strong performance in differentiated variants and premium segments, b) sustained volume recovery from the illicit segment, and c) in our view, channel filling ahead of the Union BudgetCigarette EBIT margin contracted by 211bps YoY to 60.5% due to a sharp escalation in tobacco prices (up 25-30% YoY), higher trade incentives, and increased competitive intensity.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ITC (3QFY25): Core Disappoints once Again, Agri Surprises. Maintain REDUCE

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> Hotels demerger aims to unlock the intrinsic value of the hotels business and enable a sharper focus on growth.</li>
<li>ITC Hotels is aiming to reach a portfolio of 200+ hotels with 18,000+ keys by 2030 from a robust pipeline of 140 Hotels with about 13000 Keys in 2024.</li>
<li>ITC Hotels inheriting a strong balance sheet with zero debt and cash reserves may list around 113-170 per share.</li>
</ul>



ITC Ltd (ITC IN) Hotels demerger aims to unlock the intrinsic value of the hotels business and enable a sharper focus on growth.
ITC Hotels is aiming to reach a portfolio of 200+ hotels with 18,000+ keys by 2030 from a robust pipeline of 140 Hotels with about 13000 Keys in 2024.
ITC Hotels inheriting a strong balance sheet with zero debt and cash reserves may list around 113-170 per share.


ITC Hotels Demerger: An Emerging Behemoth & Hospitality Play

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> will demerge its Hotels business with the ex-date set as 6 January and shareholders receiving 1 share of ITC Hotels for 10 shares of ITC Ltd.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> shareholders will own 100% of ITC Hotels - 60% will be owned directly and 40% will be owned through their shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>.</li>
<li>There will be a lot of selling in ITC Hotels within a few days of listing from different passive index trackers and that could provide buying opportunities for those interested.</li>
</ul>



ITC Ltd (ITC IN) will demerge its Hotels business with the ex-date set as 6 January and shareholders receiving 1 share of ITC Hotels for 10 shares of ITC Ltd.

ITC Ltd (ITC IN) shareholders will own 100% of ITC Hotels - 60% will be owned directly and 40% will be owned through their shareholding in ITC Ltd (ITC IN).
There will be a lot of selling in ITC Hotels within a few days of listing from different passive index trackers and that could provide buying opportunities for those interested.


ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Travel Food Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travel-food-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44175:1" rel="noopener">Travel Food Services Ltd (1450229D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Travel Food Services Limited (TFS) operates a network of travel quick service restaurants (Travel QSRs) and private lounges in airports.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Travel Food Services Ltd (1450229D IN) is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO.
Travel Food Services Limited (TFS) operates a network of travel quick service restaurants (Travel QSRs) and private lounges in airports.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.


Travel Food Services IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> has broken its four-week decline and reversed direction. This raises the prospect for a bull run.</li>
<li>Continued decline or relief rally? Technical and fundamental arguments lend support to both directional views.</li>
<li>We identify options with attractive cost vs. upside profiles to implement tactical trades in this environment.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) has broken its four-week decline and reversed direction. This raises the prospect for a bull run.
Continued decline or relief rally? Technical and fundamental arguments lend support to both directional views.
We identify options with attractive cost vs. upside profiles to implement tactical trades in this environment.


EQD | Nifty 50 – Option Strategy for Bulls and Bears

India

ITC Limited, a member of BAT Group of UK, is a holding company, which has a diversified presence in Cigarettes, Hotels, Paperboards & Specialty Papers, Packaging, Agri Business, Packaged Foods & Confectionery, Branded Apparel, Greeting Cards and other FMCG products.

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ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

ITC (3QFY25): Core Disappoints once Again, Agri Surprises. Maintain REDUCE

Cigarette EBIT margin contracted by 211bps YoY to 60.5% due to a sharp escalation in tobacco prices (up 25-30% YoY), higher trade incentives, and...

HDFC Securities

ITC Hotels Demerger: An Emerging Behemoth & Hospitality Play

ITC Hotels Limited(ITCHL) has informed us today that ITCHL has received approval from the NSE and BSE for listing and trading of its equity shares...

Nimish Maheshwari

ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

ITC Hotels demerges from ITC on 6 Jan. There will be an SPOS on 6 Jan to determine ITC's price post demerger. There will be a LOT of selling in ITC...

Brian Freitas

Travel Food Services IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Travel Food Services (TFS) is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

EQD | Nifty 50 – Option Strategy for Bulls and Bears

The NIFTY 50 snaped its four-week decline. Options with attractive cost vs. upside profile make for tactical trades ahead of a recovery rally, or...

Gaudenz Schneider

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ITC (3QFY25): Core Disappoints once Again, Agri Surprises. Maintain REDUCE

Cigarette EBIT margin contracted by 211bps YoY to 60.5% due to a sharp escalation in tobacco prices (up 25-30% YoY), higher trade incentives, and...

HDFC Securities

ITC Hotels Demerger: An Emerging Behemoth & Hospitality Play

ITC Hotels Limited(ITCHL) has informed us today that ITCHL has received approval from the NSE and BSE for listing and trading of its equity shares...

Nimish Maheshwari

ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

ITC Hotels demerges from ITC on 6 Jan. There will be an SPOS on 6 Jan to determine ITC's price post demerger. There will be a LOT of selling in ITC...

Brian Freitas

Travel Food Services IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Travel Food Services (TFS) is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

EQD | Nifty 50 – Option Strategy for Bulls and Bears

​The NIFTY 50 snaped its four-week decline. Options with attractive cost vs. upside profile make for tactical trades ahead of a recovery rally, or...

Gaudenz Schneider

The NIFTY 50 snaped its four-week decline. Options with attractive cost vs. upside profile make for tactical trades ahead of a recovery rally, or...