IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-soken-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20535:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Soken (4812 JP)</a> announced a preconditional tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> at JPY2,880, a 35.0% premium to the undisturbed price but below Nikkei’s rumoured JPY250 billion valuation.</li>
<li>The precondition concerns approvals from Japan, China, and the EU. The offer is expected to commence in early November.</li>
<li>While the offer represents a pre-announcement all-time high, it is below the midpoint of the target IFA valuation range. However, activists face a formidable task to force a bump. </li>
</ul>



Dentsu Soken (4812 JP) announced a preconditional tender offer from Itochu Corp (8001 JP) at JPY2,880, a 35.0% premium to the undisturbed price but below Nikkei’s rumoured JPY250 billion valuation.
The precondition concerns approvals from Japan, China, and the EU. The offer is expected to commence in early November.
While the offer represents a pre-announcement all-time high, it is below the midpoint of the target IFA valuation range. However, activists face a formidable task to force a bump. 


Dentsu Soken (4812 JP): Itochu (8001 JP)’s Offer Deflates Expectations

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In early July, there was a Nikkei article suggesting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12434:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)</a> had settled on possible partners to buy out the minority stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-soken-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20535:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Soken (4812 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>This would give it more scale, and a better future, and would rid Dentsu of a "dual listing" problem. There was a delay. Now 8 weeks later we have news.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> has apparently decided it will buy it. The structure suits everyone. Oasis has since reported a 5% stake, but I think this gets done.</li>
</ul>


In early July, there was a Nikkei article suggesting Dentsu Inc (4324 JP) had settled on possible partners to buy out the minority stakes in Dentsu Soken (4812 JP). 
This would give it more scale, and a better future, and would rid Dentsu of a "dual listing" problem. There was a delay. Now 8 weeks later we have news.

Itochu Corp (8001 JP) has apparently decided it will buy it. The structure suits everyone. Oasis has since reported a 5% stake, but I think this gets done.


[Japan M&A] Nikkei Reports Itochu to Buy Out Dentsu Soken (4812) Minorities, Co Suggests ¥2,880

<ul>
<li>Nikkei <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/business/business-deals/japan-s-itochu-to-take-1.5bn-stake-in-dentsu-group-system-developer-unit" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12434:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> will privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-soken-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20535:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Soken (4812 JP)</a> at a total cost of around JPY250 billion.</li>
<li>The rumoured JPY250 billion valuation for the 38.12% stake not owned by Dentsu suggests an offer of JPY3,360 per share, a 22.7% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>Oasis’s emergence as a substantial shareholder ensured a generous offer. The rumoured offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei reported that Dentsu Inc (4324 JP) and Itochu Corp (8001 JP) will privatise Dentsu Soken (4812 JP) at a total cost of around JPY250 billion.
The rumoured JPY250 billion valuation for the 38.12% stake not owned by Dentsu suggests an offer of JPY3,360 per share, a 22.7% premium to the last close.
Oasis’s emergence as a substantial shareholder ensured a generous offer. The rumoured offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.


Dentsu Soken (4812 JP): Oasis’s Presence Results in Itochu's Rumoured Generous Offer

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Fitch downgrade spurs risk off as S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 sold off;  US Treasuries sold off as well, but note new Treasury issuance are indeed coming </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY  Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4;  Japan had most of the selling yesterday but could see some follow-through;  EARNINGS; TDK, Sumi Elect misses; TOB: Itochu takes CTC private</li>
<li>NUGGET. ANA(9202) to begin offsetting GHG via the purchase of carbon credits. We estimate that if DAC  removes 10% of its emissions, 70% of OP will disappear!  Bears watching. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Fitch downgrade spurs risk off as S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 sold off;  US Treasuries sold off as well, but note new Treasury issuance are indeed coming 
JAPAN. NKY  Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4;  Japan had most of the selling yesterday but could see some follow-through;  EARNINGS; TDK, Sumi Elect misses; TOB: Itochu takes CTC private
NUGGET. ANA(9202) to begin offsetting GHG via the purchase of carbon credits. We estimate that if DAC  removes 10% of its emissions, 70% of OP will disappear!  Bears watching. 


Ohayo Japan|Fitch Downgrade Spurs Global Risk Off; NUGGET: ANA(+JAL) - Direct Air Capture, Not Cheap

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/future-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5485:1" rel="noopener">Future Corporation (4722 JP)</a> announced a Chairman-led MBO at JPY2,451, a 2.9% premium to the last close of JPY2,382.  </li>
<li>The low takeover premium could be explained by the mysterious 65.13% share price surge from 24 June to 27 July. Also, the offer represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>However, the offer is below the midpoint of the special committee's IFA DCF valuation range and is light relative to precedent transactions, potentially attracting activists.</li>
</ul>



Future Corporation (4722 JP) announced a Chairman-led MBO at JPY2,451, a 2.9% premium to the last close of JPY2,382.  
The low takeover premium could be explained by the mysterious 65.13% share price surge from 24 June to 27 July. Also, the offer represents an all-time high. 
However, the offer is below the midpoint of the special committee's IFA DCF valuation range and is light relative to precedent transactions, potentially attracting activists.


Future Corp (4722 JP): A Chairman-Led MBO Could Invite Activism

Japan

ITOCHU Techno-Solutions Corporation develops and constructs computer network systems and software.  The Company also provides system maintenance services. Itochu Techno-Solutions also offers solution consulting services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP)

Dentsu Soken (4812 JP): Itochu (8001 JP)’s Offer Deflates Expectations

While the offer represents a pre-announcement all-time high, it is below the midpoint of the target IFA valuation range. However, activists face a...

Arun George

[Japan M&A] Nikkei Reports Itochu to Buy Out Dentsu Soken (4812) Minorities, Co Suggests ¥2,880

It appears Itochu is the partner to Dentsu in ownership of Dentsu Soken. It probably leads to Itochu rolling it into CTC. Two activists are in but...

Travis Lundy

Dentsu Soken (4812 JP): Oasis’s Presence Results in Itochu's Rumoured Generous Offer

Oasis’s emergence as a substantial shareholder ensured a generous offer. The rumoured offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared...

Arun George

Ohayo Japan|Fitch Downgrade Spurs Global Risk Off; NUGGET: ANA(+JAL) - Direct Air Capture, Not Cheap

Fitch downgrade spurs risk off; NKY Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4; Japan likely sees some follow-through on yesterday's sell-off; ...

Mark Chadwick

Future Corp (4722 JP): A Chairman-Led MBO Could Invite Activism

While an all-time high, the offer is below the midpoint of the special committee's IFA DCF valuation range and is light relative to precedent...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)