Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China has responded to Japan's military rhetoric and actions by announcing a ban on all exports deemed dual-use for Japan's military, including rare earths.</li>
<li>China launched an anti-dumping probe into Dichlorosilane, a material primarily used in thin films for producing logic, memory, analog, and other types of chips.</li>
<li>The trade measures affect a broad range of Japan's industries, including automotive, chemicals, electronics, semiconductor equipment, chip-making materials, and robotics.  The U.S. response to tensions between China and Japan remains limited.</li>
</ul>


China has responded to Japan's military rhetoric and actions by announcing a ban on all exports deemed dual-use for Japan's military, including rare earths.
China launched an anti-dumping probe into Dichlorosilane, a material primarily used in thin films for producing logic, memory, analog, and other types of chips.
The trade measures affect a broad range of Japan's industries, including automotive, chemicals, electronics, semiconductor equipment, chip-making materials, and robotics.  The U.S. response to tensions between China and Japan remains limited.


Japan Trade: CHINA SAYS, "YOU MADE YOUR FUTON, NOW LIE IN IT!"

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Helium, the invisible cooling and purging gas without which chip factories physically cannot operate, has lost one-third of global supply leading to doubling of Helium Price.</li>
<li>Without helium, fabs cannot etch circuits, cool wafers, or run implantation lines, meaning every advanced chip powering AI today faces a real production stoppage risk within months.</li>
<li>Bull case buys time, the base case hurts margins, but the bear case, an extended blockade plus structural damage at Ras Laffan, could freeze the entire semiconductor upcycle through 2027.</li>
</ul>



Helium, the invisible cooling and purging gas without which chip factories physically cannot operate, has lost one-third of global supply leading to doubling of Helium Price.
Without helium, fabs cannot etch circuits, cool wafers, or run implantation lines, meaning every advanced chip powering AI today faces a real production stoppage risk within months.
Bull case buys time, the base case hurts margins, but the bear case, an extended blockade plus structural damage at Ras Laffan, could freeze the entire semiconductor upcycle through 2027.


The Iran War's Helium Shock: What Happens to Semiconductor Industry?

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>US profit-taking in tech/growth will set a muted tone to start as the market holds its breath for comments from BoJ Gov. Ueda who addresses parliament this morning.</li>
<li>China chip imports at record highs may add to pressure for the US to broaden its export restrictions for specific technologies as well as  for legacy node equipment.</li>
<li>Koizumi leading the polls will be positive for renewable energy names which remain highly oversold after the multi-year weakness in Japanese small caps.</li>
</ul>


US profit-taking in tech/growth will set a muted tone to start as the market holds its breath for comments from BoJ Gov. Ueda who addresses parliament this morning.
China chip imports at record highs may add to pressure for the US to broaden its export restrictions for specific technologies as well as  for legacy node equipment.
Koizumi leading the polls will be positive for renewable energy names which remain highly oversold after the multi-year weakness in Japanese small caps.


Japan Morning Connection: BoJ Anticipation and Koizumi Taking an Early Lead in the Polls

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.
</li>
<li>
OVERSEAS.  US recession fears dominate,  SPX -0.7%/-3.7%WoW; Nov PPI print higher vs Cons, Cements +50bp Fed hike; China stocks win WoW amid COVID loosening + Property rescue;  Tech looks supported</li>
<li>
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash, USDJPY ¥136.56;  US asks JP to help curb China chip access; More  Boeing orders, +ve JP related;  FY23 Defense to rise by ¥1trn</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.


OVERSEAS.  US recession fears dominate,  SPX -0.7%/-3.7%WoW; Nov PPI print higher vs Cons, Cements +50bp Fed hike; China stocks win WoW amid COVID loosening + Property rescue;  Tech looks supported

JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash, USDJPY ¥136.56;  US asks JP to help curb China chip access; More  Boeing orders, +ve JP related;  FY23 Defense to rise by ¥1trn


Good Morning Japan |+50bp Fed Hike in the Bag, but Watching Tuesday's US CPI Print

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

There are signs of movement in Japan in order to try and hit its 2050 carbon neutrality goal. The clearest sign was the recent restart of an old nuclear reactor and nuclear power is likely to be a key contributor towards this goal, however, in addition to solar, onshore and offshore wind and geothermal, on a timeline that long, hydrogen may actually be the key play here.

There are signs of movement in Japan in order to try and hit its 2050 carbon neutrality goal. The clearest sign was the recent restart of an old nuclear reactor and nuclear power is likely to be a key contributor towards this goal, however, in addition to solar, onshore and offshore wind and geothermal, on a timeline that long, hydrogen may actually be the key play here.

Japan

IWATANI CORPORATION is a trading company supplying gases for industrial and household use.  The Company also handles fuel, consumer products, industrial materials, minerals, construction, agriculture, and medical products.  Iwatani produces liquid hydrogen with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.

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Iwatani Corp (8088 JP)

Japan Trade: CHINA SAYS, "YOU MADE YOUR FUTON, NOW LIE IN IT!"

China has responded to Japan's military rhetoric and actions by announcing a ban on all exports deemed dual-use for Japan's military, including...

David Mudd

The Iran War's Helium Shock: What Happens to Semiconductor Industry?

Global chip production faces a real risk of stoppage due to a one-third loss of helium supply after Iran's war shut Qatar's Ras Laffan complex,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Japan Morning Connection: BoJ Anticipation and Koizumi Taking an Early Lead in the Polls

US profit-taking in tech/growth may dampen market, China chip imports at record highs could broaden US export restrictions, Koizumi leading polls...

Andrew Jackson

Good Morning Japan |+50bp Fed Hike in the Bag, but Watching Tuesday's US CPI Print

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Hydrogen Plays

As interest continues to build in Japan's hydrogen economy plans it is still difficult to identify attractive thematic plays on the idea... except...

Mio Kato

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Japan Trade: CHINA SAYS, "YOU MADE YOUR FUTON, NOW LIE IN IT!"

China has responded to Japan's military rhetoric and actions by announcing a ban on all exports deemed dual-use for Japan's military, including...

David Mudd

The Iran War's Helium Shock: What Happens to Semiconductor Industry?

​Global chip production faces a real risk of stoppage due to a one-third loss of helium supply after Iran's war shut Qatar's Ras Laffan complex,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Japan Morning Connection: BoJ Anticipation and Koizumi Taking an Early Lead in the Polls

​US profit-taking in tech/growth may dampen market, China chip imports at record highs could broaden US export restrictions, Koizumi leading polls...

Andrew Jackson

Good Morning Japan |+50bp Fed Hike in the Bag, but Watching Tuesday's US CPI Print

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Hydrogen Plays

As interest continues to build in Japan's hydrogen economy plans it is still difficult to identify attractive thematic plays on the idea... except...

Mio Kato

Global chip production faces a real risk of stoppage due to a one-third loss of helium supply after Iran's war shut Qatar's Ras Laffan complex,...

US profit-taking in tech/growth may dampen market, China chip imports at record highs could broaden US export restrictions, Koizumi leading polls...