Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$49.6bn (US$6.33bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>The stocks with forecast inflows marginally outperformed the stocks with forecast outflows prior to announcement of the changes, but there has been underperformance since announcement.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$49.6bn (US$6.33bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.
The stocks with forecast inflows marginally outperformed the stocks with forecast outflows prior to announcement of the changes, but there has been underperformance since announcement.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.3bn of Flows Post Capping (June 2026)

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Parcel volume in Q1 accelerated, posting growth of 13% Y/Y, and Revenue was up 22%</li>
<li>But Cost of Revenue grew even faster due to an increase in Key Account (KA) customers</li>
<li>With Net Income growth of just 5%, and unchanged guidance, little to excite investors</li>
</ul>


Parcel volume in Q1 accelerated, posting growth of 13% Y/Y, and Revenue was up 22%
But Cost of Revenue grew even faster due to an increase in Key Account (KA) customers
With Net Income growth of just 5%, and unchanged guidance, little to excite investors


ZTO Express Q126: Volume, Revenue Accelerate, But Net Profit Lags as 'Key Accounts' Crush Margins

<ul>
<li>The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.</li>
<li>There are 3 adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, 2 changes each for the<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener"> HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.</li>
<li>There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.
There are 3 adds for the HSI, 2 changes each for the HSCEI and HSTECH, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.
There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.


Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng indices announced June 2026 index review changes on Friday. Most changes to indices with significant tracking AUM were as expected. Quiddity correctly predicted 11/11 ex-HSI.</li>
<li>HSI was, as always, a process of dart-throwing. HSI is trying to add stocks to increase count, and by our analysis, needed to add names from Healthcare, Industrials, and Materials. </li>
<li>HSI selected one from each. Among the 6 top indices affected, there is HK$29bn to trade across 200 names, but only 12 with more than one day of ADV.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng indices announced June 2026 index review changes on Friday. Most changes to indices with significant tracking AUM were as expected. Quiddity correctly predicted 11/11 ex-HSI.
HSI was, as always, a process of dart-throwing. HSI is trying to add stocks to increase count, and by our analysis, needed to add names from Healthcare, Industrials, and Materials. 
HSI selected one from each. Among the 6 top indices affected, there is HK$29bn to trade across 200 names, but only 12 with more than one day of ADV.


[Quiddity Index] HSI Rebal Results Almost All As Predicted - HK$29bn One-Way

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announced three HSI ADDs and no DELETE for the May 2026 review after market close.</li>
<li>We reviewed three ADDs against 13 prior HSI rebalance cycles and the completed post announcement setup.</li>
<li>The prior forecast identified BeOne and no DELETE, while J&amp;T Express and Chalco were outside the forecast slate.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announced three HSI ADDs and no DELETE for the May 2026 review after market close.
We reviewed three ADDs against 13 prior HSI rebalance cycles and the completed post announcement setup.
The prior forecast identified BeOne and no DELETE, while J&amp;T Express and Chalco were outside the forecast slate.


HSI June 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

China

J&T Global Express is an investment holding company primarily engaged in providing integrated express delivery and global logistics services. The company offers parcel sorting, line-haul transportation, dispatching, cross-border services, and cash-on-delivery. It was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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J&T Global Express (1519 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.3bn of Flows Post Capping (June 2026)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use 2 June closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

ZTO Express Q126: Volume, Revenue Accelerate, But Net Profit Lags as 'Key Accounts' Crush Margins

ZTO in Q126 reported faster volume and Revenue growth in Q126, but Net Income growth lagged, up just 5% Y/Y. We blame increased exposure to 'Key...

Tracking Traffic

Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

There are a number of constituent, float and capping changes for the Hang Seng family, leading to a US$6.6bn trade. Stock Connect additions, lock...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] HSI Rebal Results Almost All As Predicted - HK$29bn One-Way

The Hang Seng indices announced review results on Friday. The inclusion/exclusion date is 5 June. Capping is finalised three days before. 14...

Travis Lundy

HSI June 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSI May 2026 post-announcement cycle is starting. ADD setup is cleaner after all three ADDs fell during WPreA2. No DELETE keeps the short-side read...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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