Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Mori Hills REIT Investment Corporation / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past 24 months, J-REIT sponsors have bought units in their REITs at sharp discounts to PNAV to raise PNAV and reduce overhang pressure. </li>
<li>The goal is, basically transparently, to get PNAV to a level at which the REIT can buy more properties from the sponsor, who carries them at a much higher WACC.</li>
<li>Mori Building has announced a 4.99% buy on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mori-hills-reit-investment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:56:1" rel="noopener">Mori Hills REIT Investment Corporation (3234 JP)</a> which is a Very Big portion of Max Real World Float. This should influence price.</li>
</ul>


In the past 24 months, J-REIT sponsors have bought units in their REITs at sharp discounts to PNAV to raise PNAV and reduce overhang pressure. 
The goal is, basically transparently, to get PNAV to a level at which the REIT can buy more properties from the sponsor, who carries them at a much higher WACC.
Mori Building has announced a 4.99% buy on Mori Hills REIT Investment Corporation (3234 JP) which is a Very Big portion of Max Real World Float. This should influence price.


Mori Hills REIT (3234) - Large Sponsor Buy in Market as % of Max Real World Float

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Global capital flowing into Australian logistics market as it reaches turning point, attracting investments.</li><li>Japan REIT makes deals in Tokyo, buying Tokyo Tower for $120M and selling office block for $62M.</li><li>CapitaLand India Trust acquires Bengaluru offices for $170M after project funding, expanding its portfolio.</li></ul>

Global capital flowing into Australian logistics market as it reaches turning point, attracting investments.Japan REIT makes deals in Tokyo, buying Tokyo Tower for $120M and selling office block for $62M.CapitaLand India Trust acquires Bengaluru offices for $170M after project funding, expanding its portfolio.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Feb-2025): Global capital flows boost Australian logistics market.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The three-way merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a> will be implemented in less than 3 weeks.</li>
<li>With the market cap of the merged entity at US$4.85bn, there will be upgrades to indices with larger tracking assets and significant passive buying at the time of merger implementation.</li>
<li>All three stocks have outperformed their peers since merger announcement and over the last month and at least part of the upcoming passive flow is baked into the price.</li>
</ul>


The three-way merger of Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP), Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) and Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP) will be implemented in less than 3 weeks.
With the market cap of the merged entity at US$4.85bn, there will be upgrades to indices with larger tracking assets and significant passive buying at the time of merger implementation.
All three stocks have outperformed their peers since merger announcement and over the last month and at least part of the upcoming passive flow is baked into the price.


Kenedix Merger: Significant Passive Inflows Expected in Three Weeks

<ul>
<li>The shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment (8972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a> meet in a couple of weeks to vote on the merger.</li>
<li>The stocks are trading in line with the merger ratio and the initial spike following merger announcement has been followed by some selling.</li>
<li>The market cap of the combined entity should now be large enough for migration to indices with larger tracking assets bringing in large passive flows on merger completion.</li>
</ul>


The shareholders of Kenedix Office Investment (8972 JP), Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) and Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP) meet in a couple of weeks to vote on the merger.
The stocks are trading in line with the merger ratio and the initial spike following merger announcement has been followed by some selling.
The market cap of the combined entity should now be large enough for migration to indices with larger tracking assets bringing in large passive flows on merger completion.


Kenedix Merger: Big Passive Inflows on the Cards

David Blennerhassett

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (9432 JP)</a> will likely buy back more shares than previously expected as the government sells shares down. Buy dips vs peers KDDI and Softbank Corp. This is a long-term tilt.</li>
<li>There are some doubts over the fate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)</a>'s SET50 membership, at present, but it should escape deletion in December 2023. </li>
<li>Don't punt <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)</a> on the off-chance of a change of control in the wake pf the Forrest split. If anything, there might be a leakage of shares.</li>
</ul>



NTT (9432 JP) will likely buy back more shares than previously expected as the government sells shares down. Buy dips vs peers KDDI and Softbank Corp. This is a long-term tilt.
There are some doubts over the fate of Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB)'s SET50 membership, at present, but it should escape deletion in December 2023. 
Don't punt Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) on the off-chance of a change of control in the wake pf the Forrest split. If anything, there might be a leakage of shares.


Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Delta Electronics, Fortescue Metals, Nomura Real Estate

Japan

Japan Excellent, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT), which mainly invests in office buildings in Tokyo area and major cities in Japan.

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Japan Excellent (8987 JP)

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Feb-2025): Global capital flows boost Australian logistics market.

Major investments and partnerships in the logistics, real estate, and rental housing sectors across Australia, Tokyo, Bengaluru, Hong Kong, and...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Kenedix Merger: Significant Passive Inflows Expected in Three Weeks

The Kenedix merger will be implemented in less than 3 weeks and there will be large passive inflows. All 3 stocks have outperformed their peers...

Brian Freitas

Kenedix Merger: Big Passive Inflows on the Cards

The Kenedix REITs are trading around the merger ratios and have outperformed peers since merger announcement. The increased market cap could result...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Delta Electronics, Fortescue Metals, Nomura Real Estate

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

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Mori Hills REIT (3234) - Large Sponsor Buy in Market as % of Max Real World Float

Mori Building has announced a big buy of Mori Hills REIT, the cheapest PNAV J-REIT in the office sector, and an above-average div yield. The goal...

Travis Lundy

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Feb-2025): Global capital flows boost Australian logistics market.

Major investments and partnerships in the logistics, real estate, and rental housing sectors across Australia, Tokyo, Bengaluru, Hong Kong, and...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Kenedix Merger: Significant Passive Inflows Expected in Three Weeks

The Kenedix merger will be implemented in less than 3 weeks and there will be large passive inflows. All 3 stocks have outperformed their peers...

Brian Freitas

Kenedix Merger: Big Passive Inflows on the Cards

The Kenedix REITs are trading around the merger ratios and have outperformed peers since merger announcement. The increased market cap could result...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Delta Electronics, Fortescue Metals, Nomura Real Estate

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett